作者charliee (Double E)
看板FBaseball
标题[闲聊] Dan Uggla
时间Fri May 29 16:52:09 2009
I havent had a chance to reinforce Dan Uggla's career splits in a while, so
let me take the light Thursday schedule as my opportunity. For his career
Uggla has posted this OPS by month: March/April .750, May .996, June .913,
July .749, August .773, Sept/Oct .735. Now here in 2009: Uggla posted an OPS
in April of .745, right in line with his career numbers, but hasnt had the
monstrous May we have been accustomed to, positing just an .807 OPS. While
some of this is due to a decreased EXBH Rate compared to years past
(11.9% vs. 15.4%), the majority of it is simply due to poor luck. His HR Rate
has been practically the same as his May career rates (5.9% vs. 6.2%), but
his Singles average has been drastically different (.148 vs. .251). The
Singles average has been down all year and is the primary reason for Uggla's
depressed value (50 pts below 3 year average). His HR Rate is down lightly,
but his EYE has improved significantly and his batted ball type is nearly
identical in GB, LD, and FB Rates. Uggla is the same player he always been
his power pace just isnt able to keep up with last year's monster season.
Expect the continued build in his stats through June and then the slow
decline that accelerates in the final months, which we've seen from Uggla
throughout his career. He's a nice buy-low opportunity now that if you can
flip in July would be the best possible play.
简译:
我想跟大家分享一下Dan Uggla的行程表,Uggla生涯的OPS是4月.750,5月.996,6月.913
然後七月之後又开始下降,2009年,Uggla四月份的OPS是.745几乎跟去年一样,但是他
没有像去年一样缴出一个怪物的五月,五月的ops只有.807。这其中部分的原因当然是他
的XBH%比过去下降,但更大的原因是因为他运气不好。他五月的全垒打率几乎跟生涯平
均值一样,但他的安打率却从.251大幅度下降到.148。这真的是运气不好,因为他的眼
睛其实比过往都好,而且他击出去的飞球、滚球以及平飞球的比例几乎是一模一样。
Uggla的POWER步伐其实跟去年一样,所以一个疯狂的六月绝对是可以期待的,然後再开
始降温。因此,如果你可以现在想办法去逢低买进Uggla然後在七月时卖掉,那你将会是
大赢家。
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1F:推 kimimaru:XDDD...查理大PO出来 这样交易难度便很大阿!!!! 05/29 22:44
2F:→ charliee:哈 也是 XD 05/29 23:14