作者HotAirFlow (热流)
看板Economics
标题Re: [请益] GDP三种算法
时间Sat Dec 15 23:57:35 2012
※ 引述《chris1 (小刀)》之铭言:
: on an island in the indian ocean, people grow coconuts, and
: import fertilizers. A merchant manages all the farms. This year, they
: used $15,000 fertilizers(imported that year) and grew $75,000 coconuts.
: The merchant pays $30,000 to the landlord. Since last year was a year of
: good harvest, the merchant of the village kept $5,000 coconuts as inventory.
: This year, the merchant ends up selling the coconuts in stock for $15,000.
: Therefore, the total value of coconuts consumed is $90,000 this year. What
: was the island's GDP for this year? Please come up with the result by
: (i) the product approach
: (ii) the expenditure approach
: (iii) income approach
: 搞不懂的点是,到底是不是消费了90000呢? 但今年明明只收成了75000不是吗...
: 题目的意思是还有加去年的5000吗? 但加起来也才80000而已...搞不懂怎麽来的
: 九万,而且,那个15000,是卖剩下来,当今年的存货吗?
: 我的想法是,假如九万是错的,那
: (i) 75000,因今年度就只生产出这75000的coconuts,要再扣进口15000吗?
: (ii) C=75000+5000-15000=65000 I=15000-5000=10000 M=15000
: GDP=65000+10000-15000=60000
: (iii) 30000(farmers)+30000(landlord)=60000
: 不知道这样对不对呢?请帮帮忙,感恩
以下用词,很多和教科书上的不太一样
(i) GDP = GVA (tax and subsidy is not mentioned)
GVA = Σoutput - Σintermediate consumption
= total output of coconut production and rental activities
minus cost of fertilizers and rent
= (75,000 + 30,000) - (15,000 + 30,000)
= 60,000
Therefore, GDP = GVA = 60,000
(ii) GDP = Final consumption expenditure + GCF + net export
= the total value of coconuts consumed (incl. export)
plus changes in inventories
minus import
(GFCF is not mentioned)
= 90,000 + (X-15,000) - 15,000
= 90,000 + (-15,000) - 15,000
(X = output of coconut production
minus (total value of coconuts consumed
minus value of coconuts sold in stock)
= 75,000 - (90,000 - 15,000) = 0 )
= 60,000
消费的九万,包括当年产出的,与之前的存货
之前存货的价值有多少,题目并没有交待
我们只知道前一年存货增加的价值为五千
题目先给定售出存货的价值为一万五,不管消费给多少,GDP 仍然是六万
(a) 如果消费等於九万,表示当年生产的椰子全部卖出,
即上述 X = 0,存货变化为 -15,000
GDP = 90,000 + (-15,000) - 15,000 = 60,000
(b) 如果消费小於九万,表示当年生产的椰子没有卖完而成为存货,
即上述 X > 0,存货变化为 X-15,000,消费为 90,000-X,
GDP = (90,000-X) + (X-15,000) - 15,000 = 60,000
(c) 如果消费大於九万,表示当年生产的椰子不仅卖完,
商人还进口其他地方生产的椰子,即上述 X 属於进口的项目,
GDP = (90,000+X) + (-15,000) - (15,000+|X|) = 60,000
(iii) GDP = gross operating surplus and mixed income
plus compensation of employees
(tax and subsidy is not mentioned)
= GVA - compensation of employees
plus compensation of employees
= GVA = 60,000
地主的租金收入为 30,000
商人与农夫的收入总和为毛利 = 销售 - 销货成本(肥料 + 租金 - 存货变化)
= 90,000 - (15,000 + 30,000 - (-15,000))
= 30,000
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