原文从6-4-2撷录 http://6-4-2.blogspot.com/ Now, Maddux had given the Pads 13 quality starts in 26, a mixed bag certainly, about what you can get by with from a fourth or fifth starter. Can he continue to perform around that level, and around a level that can get the Dodgers past the Snakes and into the playoffs? As much as Maddux's ability to make things work out should be a matter of legend, I have a few nagging concerns. Maddux is something of a ground-ball pitcher this year (1.5 ground-ball outs for every fly), so while you might think that means that leaving Petco in his past might not hurt him all that much, he's derived a huge benefit from pitching in San Diego this season, allowing 3.3 runs per nine at home for the Pads against 6.4 everywhere else. Everything goes up for him on the road in terms of his rates, even his strikeouts, but risking a few more direct challenges of hitters because he's working in less forgiving environments than Petco means more hard-hit balls heading towards the gaps or over the fence, and more extra-base hits. Maddux在教士投出了十三场 qs,他的加入是否有机会帮助道奇打败小蛇进入季後赛呢?事 实上今年Maddux是比较像滚地球投手,所以也许你会觉得离开petco不会影响他的成绩太多 ,但事实上,他今年在petco主场打的成绩跟在客打的成绩差很打多.在petco,他每场掉3.3 分,但在客场每场平均掉6.4分.他的所有数据在客场都变高,包括他的三振,而他在客场被 打了很多很强劲的球在gap或被打出场,而长打也被打比较多. It's also a bit of a dodgy proposition that the Dodgers' infield defense can pick him up. Even if the Pads and Dodgers rank just about the same in terms of Defensive Efficiency, keep in mind that the Dodgers aren't really the team that compiled those numbers, not any more. They don't have Raffy Furcal or Chin-Lung Hu at short, they have Nomar Garciaparra. They don't have light-footed Blake DeWitt at third, they have the more leaden Casey Blake. They have Manny being Manny in left, in a market that doesn't have legions waiting to make every conceivable excuse for more basic ineptitude. They have Jeff Kent at the keystone; add that to Nomar, and that's the very definition of creaky double-play combos. Maddux had been getting a slightly better performance from his supporting cast afield than your average Pad pitcher, with his players getting outs on 70.9 percent of all balls in play, where Pads in general were getting 69.8 percent; if he winds up getting the less than 69.9 percent performance the Dodgers probably can't continue to achieve with their current alignment, how's that supposed to work out with a pitcher who needs his defense to help him out on 80 percent of all plate appearances against him? 也许有人会因为道奇的守备数据和教士差不多,所以认为Maddux在道奇球场应该不会有太差 的成绩.但事实上,提供道奇现在看似不错守备数据的球员,事实上现在都没有在球队上,举 几例子,SS现在是Nomar,而不是Furcal或胡金龙,3B是blake而不是Dewitt,更不要提现在的 左外野是Manny,而jeff Kent和Nomar大概是一个最不好防守双杀组合.因此,如果道奇的守 备如果不能提供像教士守备的所提供的帮助,那会相当不乐观. 今天对费城的比赛似乎被说中了不少... 说真的,我还是不很喜欢这个交易... --

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