作者abc12812 ()
看板Diamondbacks
标题[讨论] 不如先来计算一下...
时间Sat Nov 15 18:00:13 2008
要补强多少才会有季後赛
目前已经释出的预测有ZIPS和Bill James
Bill James: ZIPS:
Stephen Drew .279/.336/.470 .274/.327/.449
Chris Snyder .243/.342/.429 .246/.347/.425
Justin Upton .263/.356/.488 .265/.349/.457
Conor Jackson .296/.379/.459 .296/.377/.454
Mark Reynolds .269/.350/.515 .257/.334/.484
Chad Tracy .283/.340/.449 .274/.332/.422
Chris Young .255/.325/.480 .254/.319/.484
Chris Burke .254/.342/.388 .255/.336/.388
James D'Antona .286/.334/.450
Eric Byrnes .257/.319/.428 .262/.323/.436
Augie Ojeda .236/.317/.298 .240/.332/.304
Miguel Montero .255/.330/.430 .253/.322/.425
Jeff Salazar .261/.346/.398 .263/.343/.405
Alex Romero .271/.309/.388 .276/.312/.385
Joshua Whitesell .249/.345/.417
假如没有补强的话,先发阵容应该会长的像这样:
C: Chris Snyder
1B:Chad Tracy
2B:Chris Burke
3B:Mark Reynolds
SS:Stephen Drew
LF:Conor Jackson
CF:Chris Young
RF:Justin Upton
照Bill James的预测,这组打线平均每场可攻下4.66分,ZIPS的预测每场可攻下4.44分
换算成162场比赛加上替补球员因素
明年总共约可得732分(Bill James) 699分(ZIPS)
待续...
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◆ From: 140.112.5.3
※ 编辑: abc12812 来自: 140.112.5.3 (11/15 18:02)
1F:推 siegemode:其实自2002之後年度总得分最高的是2006年的773分 11/15 18:21
2F:推 siegemode:该年Byrnes打了26支全垒打 11/15 18:23
3F:推 siegemode:07年Byrnes有着金手套等级的守备,还有21支全垒打50盗 11/15 18:25
4F:→ siegemode:结果08~10花了30M在他身上,现在看来他居然不在先发打线 11/15 18:26
5F:→ siegemode:对穷困的小蛇这10M现在看来好关键啊 11/15 18:26
6F:推 EricByrnes:当然被骗的还有申请帐号的我... 11/15 21:16
7F:→ zdjyepcst:fb也被骗了... 11/16 18:57
8F:→ siegemode:刚刚21:50是谁穿着Dbacks的T恤上纬来棒球周报受采访? 11/16 21:50
9F:→ siegemode:看背景在圆山大直桥河滨球场一带 11/16 21:51
10F:推 seeyou1002:林敬民 11/17 02:28