作者abc12812 (Sudba tseloveka)
看板Diamondbacks
标题Re: [讨论] 可以展望明年球季了
时间Sat Oct 4 16:42:16 2008
提出一些个人看法
※ 引述《abc12812 (Sudba tseloveka)》之铭言:
: ※ 引述《abc12812 (Sudba tseloveka)》之铭言:
: : 大家对明年球队阵容有什麽看法呢?
: : 欢迎提出来讨论
: http://tinyurl.com/4d3zns
: The Diamondbacks are next in our Offseason Outlook series. Their setup for
: 2009:
: C - Chris Snyder - $1.85MM+
: C - Miguel Montero - $401K
: 1B - Chad Tracy - $4.75MM
: 2B -
: SS - Stephen Drew - $1.5MM
: 3B - Mark Reynolds - $400K
: IF - Augie Ojeda - $550K+
: IF/OF - Chris Burke - $955K+
: LF - Conor Jackson - $420K+
: CF - Chris Young - $1.75MM
: RF - Justin Upton - $1.3MM
: OF - Eric Byrnes - $11MM
: OF - Alex Romero - $400K
: SP - Brandon Webb - $6.5MM
: SP - Dan Haren - $7.5MM
: SP - Doug Davis - $8.75MM
: SP - Edgar Gonzalez - $411K+
: SP - Max Scherzer - $1.075MM
: RP - Chad Qualls - $1.3125MM+
: RP - Jon Rauch - $2MM
: RP - Tony Pena - $406K
: RP - Yusmeiro Petit - $400K
: RP - Doug Slaten - $401K
: RP - Leo Rosales - $400K
: RP - Billy Buckner - $400K
: Non-tender candidates: Wil Ledezma - $620K+, Chris Burke - $955K+
这两个都留下来是最好
Ledezma有stuff可以练,练得起来会是下个Cruz,还可以便宜用三年
练不起来也没啥损失
Burke应该还有些潜力可以开发
最低限度,他的防守很好,会是不错的工具人
: The D'Backs have about $55MM committed, plus arbitration raises to Snyder,
: Burke, Jackson, Gonzalez, Qualls, and Ledezma. A few of those guys could be
: non-tendered, keeping the D'Backs under $60MM. They started '08 at $66.2MM,
: though I believe the D'Backs take more of a long-term view toward payroll.
: MLB.com's Steve Gilbert figures they'll have less than $10MM to spend.
: The Diamondbacks were in the middle of the NL for OBP and SLG. They have
: positional flexibility with Jackson, Reynolds, Tracy, and Byrnes, though only
: Jackson posted a strong OBP among those four.
: Looking at the market, it probably makes sense to put Jackson at first base
: and acquire a left fielder if possible. Raul Ibanez, Adam Dunn, Pat Burrell,
: and Manny Ramirez are the top free agent left fielders. Bobby Abreu could
: also fit. However, these players will all cost more than $10MM a year. GM
: Josh Byrnes says he's more likely to hit the free agent market than make
: trades, since the D'Backs traded so many prospects in '08. Byrnes will have
: to find a bargain, maybe a Juan Rivera type. The D'Backs also need a second
: or third baseman depending on where Reynolds plays. There's just not enough
: money unless payroll goes up.
: The team's pitching staff looks respectable, though losing Randy Johnson would
: hurt. I can't see how they can re-sign him and add an offensive player for a
: total of $10MM. Scherzer will have to have a big year if Johnson leaves.
: With Qualls, Rauch, and Pena, it seems the pen can withstand the losses of
: Juan Cruz and Brandon Lyon.
: It's kind of awkward having Byrnes as the highest-paid player on the team, as
: he could end up the fourth outfielder if Jackson plays left. With $22MM
: remaining on his deal (and a no-trade clause), the D'Backs would have to take
: on a bad contract in return. Nick Piecoro had an interesting idea with Luis
: Castillo.
: Once again the D'Backs will look to improve offensively mainly through
: development of their young players. Young and Upton do seem poised for
: breakouts. It also seems likely the D'Backs will make a few midseason trades
: as they did in '08.
明年重点大概就三个:
1.二垒
2.牛棚
3.大炮
二垒补强部分,其实可以考虑Edgar Renteria看看
他今年打烂了,明年应该会是寻求一年的打工机会打出身价,刚好符合我们的需求
而老虎队给他薪资仲裁的机会我想是不太高,所以不用担心损失选秀的问题
预测会是7M/1y的合约(当然不一定会是响尾蛇签下)
重签David Eckstein也是不错的选择
攻守都有一定水准,运气好还可偷到个type B选秀
牛棚部分,大概还是老样子
不会稳,但也不至於说很差,毕竟该补的人选都有补到
就看Melvin明年洗牛会不会聪明一点
再来就是看Daniel Schlereth什麽时候要上来
大炮方面,我知道很多版友都想re-sign Dunn,但其实这不是聪明的做法
Adam Dunn的打击贡献被他的全垒打数字灌水许多,加上防守很烂
其实他的价值是被市场高估许多的
今年他替响尾蛇多打下14分,但防守也多丢8分,真正的贡献其实只有打击分数的一半
而且这种型态的球员会是衰退迅速的型态,长约风险又比其他人高了许多
签他还不如再多加码一些抢Teixeira,签Giambi或是Delgado赌赌看也是不错的选择
Brian Giles也是可以观察的对象(如果教士不捡他的选择权)
剩下还有一些想讲的,不过改天再说...
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 140.112.7.59
1F:推 uptwou:多丢87分? 10/04 16:54
※ 编辑: abc12812 来自: 140.112.7.59 (10/04 17:03)
2F:推 siegemode:我虽然没有看进阶的数字,不过我认同你的讲法 10/04 17:18
3F:→ siegemode:Dunn在Dbacks这一段时间长打率其实也不怎麽样 10/04 17:19
4F:→ siegemode:只有全垒打数字好看 10/04 17:19
5F:推 Tapriz:我也赞成原po跟楼上 Teixeira是不错的选择!!! 10/05 21:00