作者abc12812 (abc12812)
看板Diamondbacks
标题[心得] 大仙
时间Sun Jun 1 22:45:18 2008
唱衰後就完封了
http://tinyurl.com/3uozcd
Bringin' the Noise: Slump busters
By Brad Evans
May 29, 2008
Fantasy Lames:
Brandon Webb
'08 Stats: 74.2 IP, 9 W, 3.01 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 64:20 K:BB
Market Value: Moderate Sell (all leagues)
Lowdown: The Desert Spidey has been unmasked in his past two starts. Undeniably
the hottest pitcher in the National League through his first nine starts, Webb
has unexpectedly dropped two straight, yielding seven earned, 16 hits and three
walks in the process. He's written this script before. After sprinting out of
the gates in '06 (8-0, 2.01 ERA, 1.05 WHIP), Arizona's ace was mortal over the
remainder the season (8 Ws, 3.78 ERA, 1.19 WHIP). Although he complained that
his "velocity was bad" against Atlanta on May 26 (4.1 IP, 4 ER, 10 H, 3 BB),
his sinker routinely registered between 88-91 mph, which was in line with
season averages. All of Webb's underlying numbers are congruent with '07 and
there are no impending signs of disaster. However, based on history, if you're
looking to maximize profit, advertise. Yes, he'll obviously maintain a top-five
starter ranking but it wouldn't be a shocker if Webb posts an ERA above 3.50
from this point forward. In Y! Plus league solo deals this week, the '06 Cy
Young winner was shipped straight up for Jimmy Rollins, Josh Hamilton and
Derrek Lee.
Fearless Forecast: 215 IP, 20 W, 3.23 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 191 K
蠢到爆炸的分析,最好是有人数据是这样用的。还拿06年的成绩说会崩盘咧,有没有这麽
智障。Webb生涯上下半季ERA分别是3.12 3.28,最好是有差到多少啦,怎麽不说去年下半
季ERA是2.56所以以此类推今年会拿30胜呢?妈的yahoo的作家真的都是一群垃圾。
--
那我也来当个大仙
从Webb的连续局数无失分的趋势来看
30 ==>> 42 ==>> ??
看来今年伤当有机会打破Orel Hershiser的纪录,是吧?
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 140.112.5.3
1F:推 mittermeyer:FB作家就别理他了 大概就跟股票分析师一样 XD 06/01 22:54
2F:推 siegemode:我没玩过FB,他的意思是交易Rollins, Hamilton, Lee吗? 06/02 05:23
3F:→ siegemode:如果是一换三我愿意 06/02 05:23
4F:推 mittermeyer:应该是一换一吧 交易再交易之类的... 06/02 19:27