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http://ppt.cc/4jVB Three Texas Rangers make Top 50 Trade Value list 游骑兵3人列前50交易价值球员 Jonah Keri has released his annual MLB Top 50 Trade Value list (you can read part 1 here and part 2 here) and three Texas Rangers make the cut. Jonah Keri最近列了大联盟前50大交易价值球员-条子队有3人入列。 Third baseman Adrian Beltre, who has three years left at $51 million (assuming he hits the mark for his vesting option in 2016 to actually vest) on his current deal, is #46 on the list. 三垒手-吹哥,目前合约还剩下3年/51M,名单排#46。 Shortstop Jurickson Profar is grouped with Boston Red Sox shortstop Xander Bogaerts at #32 (with Bogaerts at #31). Profar drops from #18 last year due to his offensive struggles, and its still weird to see him below guys like Bogaerts, Wil Myers and Manny Machado -- peers who he had been considered clearly ahead of not long ago. 游击手-Profar与红袜的Xander Bogaerts在同组,去年Profar排第18 今年跌至#32,是因为今年的打击没很出色,但是将在他排在Bogaerts, Wil Myers and Manny Machado之後仍觉得怪怪的。(之前小普评价太高) Pitcher Yu Darvish is grouped with Chris Sale (they are 11th and 10th, respectively) as young aces under team control. Darvish was #33 last year, and Keri says Darvish has established himself "as a perennial Cy Young candidate." The only pitcher ahead of Yu, besides Chris Sale, is Jose Fernandez. 投手-达比修跟Chris Sale在一群组(分别为第11,10),球队的年轻ACE且被球队绑住 达比修去年排#33,作者Keri表示,达比修已展示他的能力是可以成为一个"perennial Cy Young candidate"每年都有能力去角逐赛扬奖的。目前交易价值比达比修高的投手只有 Chris Sale和Jose Fernandez。 Derek Holland makes the Honorable Mention list, and Keri also references Martin Perez as someone who nearly cracked the list. Derek Holland和 Martin Perez也是差一点进入前50大名单。 http://ppt.cc/TFn3 TOP #1~~#35 http://ppt.cc/TPEj TOP #36~#50 & 特别名单 撷取达尔#11 Group 17: The K Kings 11. Yu Darvish, SP, Texas Rangers (33): Both pitchers in Group 17 move up this year after huge seasons. In 2013, Darvish posted a 2.83 ERA in one of the toughest environments in the majors for pitchers. He also led the league in strikeout rate by a mile. The contract that he signed after getting posted by the Nippon-Ham Fighters always projected as a bargain, once the posting fee was covered. With Darvish establishing himself as a perennial Cy Young candidate, though, the four years and $41 million he has left on his deal look like typos. 11. Yu Darvish, SP, Texas Rangers (33):二位投手在第17组2013年球季皆是大跃进, 2013年达比修在联盟里其中一座对投手最不利的的球场内缴出2.83 ERA的成绩,且三 振率领先其他人-大概有不是只有一点点的差距,自从他从日本火腿到游骑兵,这张合 约一直被认为是一个划算的合约(即使已含入札),达比修今年展示他的能力可以成为 每年都有能力去角逐赛扬奖,他剩下的4年/41M的合约让人以为是打错数字。 -- http://www.baseballprof.com/2013/12/are-all-strikeouts-the-same/ Are All Strikeouts the Same ? 三振都一样 ? "Are all strikeouts valued the same in the eyes of a scout?" Are strikeouts earned via swing and miss worth more valuable than strikeouts where the batter is looking? They both said they preferred strikeouts that come from the swing and miss. "所有的三振在球探眼中都是一样的吗?" "挥空三振比站着被K更有价值吗" 当被问到这个问题,球探皆回答,他们比较喜欢挥空三振。 I sought out to see if starting pitchers with higher WHIFF (swing and miss) rates are more likely to have higher strikeout percentages. 刚好,一个投手有高挥空率,他的K/9也会是高的。 When I evaluate pitchers I look at strikeout percentage rather than K/9 because it provides a clearer picture a pitcher’s true ability to strikeout batters. K/9 is a flawed statistic because it uses a static number in innings to determine the strikeout percentage and does not take into an account the actual numbers of hitters he faced. 当我去衡量一个投手,比起 K/9 ,我宁看 K %, 因为它才是一个投手真正的三振能力。 K/9 是有些缺点的,它只衡量一局里面三振了几位打者。 而不管在这局里面,投手面对了几位打者。 Pitchers who allow a lot of base runners will benefit from K/9 while pitchers who minimize the hitters who reach base will get the short end of the stick. Not every pitcher will face the same number of batters in an inning so it’s important to understand what percentage of batters he is striking out. That is what strikeout percentage accomplishes; it divides strikeouts by plate appearances. 一个投手如果让打者不断上垒,对於K/9 也不能说不利,一个都没让人上垒的 投手,也有可能少了一些冲K/9的机会。不是每个投手每局都面对一样数量的打者, 所以,最好的衡量反而是 K% (一局里面上来的打者有几个被三振)。 For example, suppose a pitcher walks the bases loaded and strikes out the side in one inning. His K/9 for that inning would be three and his strikeout percentage would be 50 percent. However, suppose instead of walking the bases loaded he strikes all three of the batters he faced. The K/9 would still be three, but his strikeout percentage would be 100 percent. 举例来说,假设投手让垒包全部塞满,然後连续再K掉3个人,他的K/9 将会是3 而 K% 会是50%,但如果完全没有塞垒包,而是连三K,K/9一样会是3,但K%=100%。 . . 接下来太专业...我们直接跳结论吧 Yu Darvish’s 2012 and 2013 Opponents’ Contact Rates are the two lowest in in the league in the last nine years. 达尔2012/2013 连二年打者打不到球的% ,在联盟里是9年来最低的二年。 (2013 K/9第一;2012 K/9是第二名,仅次Scherzer) --



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