课程名称：外交决策分析 课程性质：必修 (必修/选修/群修/通识) 课程范围：期中考 开课教师：黄奎博 开课系级：外交三 考试日期：2015/11/19 考试时限：110 mins 试题本文： 壹、 Multiple choices questions(each answer will have one or more correct choices)：40% 1. ( ) Who is/are not noted for the study of organization behavior? ① James March ②Donald MacKenzie ③Harold Sprout ④Herbert Simon 2. ( ) Who is/are famous for his/her/their psychological approach to the study of foreign policy decision? ① Margaret Hermann ② Jonathan Wilkenfeld ③Karl Deutsch ④Robert Jervis 3. ( ) Who in 1966 provided a “pre-theories and theories” article that inspired the other researchers for the importance of theorizing foreign policy decision? ① Michael Brecher ② James Rosenau ③ Charles Kegley ④ Robert Jervis 4. ( ) The analysts put themselves in the place of the nation or government in order to examine the strategic characteristics of the problem when facing a puzzling government action. This is best called as ①vicarious problem solving ②empirical rationality ③rational choice ④content analysis. 5. ( ) As the rational actor model is applied, in the “thinnest” case with the least informational, the agent(state) is called ①notional state ②generic state ③identified state ④personified state. 6. ( ) The core concept of a rational action could include, ① Goals→Consequences→Alternatives→Choice ② Goals→Alternatives→Consequences→Choice ③ Goals→Consequences→Choice→Alternatives ④ Goals→Alternatives→Choice→Consequences 7. ( ) Identify the correct statements regarding the organizational Behavior Model. ①Dramatic organizational change occurs in response to major disasters. ②Both learning and change are influenced by existing organizational capabilities and procedures. ③Organizations as loosely formulated units amount to tendencies which can be held more or less. ④ Organiations create capabilities for achieving humanly chosen purposes and performing tasks that would otherwise be impossible. 8. ( ) Identify the argument(s) possibly made by skeptics of good judgment in foreign policy decision-making. ①Even the most well- executed decision process cannot guarantee a satisfactory outcome. ②Good judgment is impossible because decision-makers cannot think critically. ③It is best for leaders to stay focused on the geopolitical forces that influence the relative power of states in the global arena. ④It is much more to luck than wisdom that a good decision process results in a satisfactory outcome. 贰、 Explanation of Terms(choose 2 out of the 3 questions)：30% 1. Decision Frame 2. Operational code 3. Poliheuristic theory 参、 Essay Question：40% In Graham Allison and Philip Zellikow’s Essence of Decision, what is the basic unit of analysis of the Organizational Behavior Model (OBM)? What is their explain about it? In OBM’s organizing concepts, among others, they touch upon “special capacities and culture” and “action as organizational output.” Explain and elaborate on them. --

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