课程名称：外交决策分析 课程性质：必修 课程范围： 开课教师：黄奎博 开课系级：外交三 考试日期：2011/11/10 考试时限： 115 mins 试题本文： 一、名词解释(五选四)20% 1.bounded rationality 2.mirror images ( in foreign policy studies) 3.Alexander L. George 4.public persona 5.poliheuristic theory 二、填空题(答案可为英文)20% 1.There're two primary forms of content analysis: __(a)__ and __(b)__. 2.If we label sensory inputs __(c)__, then we percive more than we can notice, The mind apparently builds a "filter" that helps if decide which sensory inputs are worthy of more detailed processing, which processing we could call __(d)__. These "filter" might include stereotypes, biases, and heuristics. 三、申论题(第一题必答，第二题与三题任选一题作答；每题30%) 1.What is the basic unit of analysis of Graham Allison and Philip Zelikow's Organization Behavior Model? How do they define it? Please indicate and explain three organizing concepts of this model. 2.What is the methodology used in the table next page? Tell the grader what you know about it as much as you can. Here is a list of question for a systemic approach that permitted comparisons of different leaders who had been evaluated using the methodology indicated in essay question No.2. ┌──────────┬────────────────────────┐ │A.Philosophical │1.What is the "essential" nature of political │ │ Questions │ life? What is the fundamental charater of │ │ │ one's political oppinents? │ │ │2.What are the prospects for the eventual │ │ │ realization of one's fundamental political │ │ │ value and aspirations? Can one be optimistic, │ │ │ or must one be pessimistic on the scores, and │ │ │ in what respects the one or the other? │ │ │3.Is the political future predictable? In what │ │ │ sense and to what extent? │ │ │4.How much "control" can one have over │ │ │ historical development? │ │ │5.What is the role of "chance"in human affairs │ │ │ and in historical development? │ ├──────────┼────────────────────────┤ │B.Instrumental │1.What is the best approach for selecting │ │ Questions │ political goals or objective for action? │ │ │2.How are the goals of action pursued most │ │ │ effectivelly? │ │ │3.How are the risks of political action │ │ │ calculated, controlled, and accepted? │ │ │4.What is the best "timing" of action to advance│ │ │ one's interest? │ │ │5.What is the utility and role of different │ │ │ means for advancing one's interests? │ └──────────┴────────────────────────┘ 3.Please explain the rise and fall of comparative foreign policy. --

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