FIVE REASONS FOR THE TIGERS NOT TO PANIC http://tigers.scout.com/story/1437929-five-reasons-for-the-tigers-not-to- panic?s=273 Paul Wezner Unrest among Tigers fans has picked up over the past couple weeks, as the Tigers have fallen out of first place behind the upstart Royals and there have been a few ugly losses along the way. Despite that, there are five reasons why the Tigers remain in good shape. 这阵子老虎输了几场很难看的比赛；皇家持续高潮 不得以让出盘据已久的美中龙头位置。 Paul Wezner提供5个理由告诉虎迷们不用过分恐慌，球队状况并没有完全失控。 1. The slump isn't much of a slump 球队大低潮?!?! 其实还好耶 Despite appearances, and a few losses full of crooked numbers, the Tigers sit at 11-11 in the month of August. That's nothing to write home about for a team that's aiming to win the division crown, but it's also not a horrific slump, either. Consider last year, when the Tigers won the AL Central and clinched it a week before the season ended, the Tigers were within a game of .500 in three of the six months of the season. In 2012, they had two months just like it, too, and were three games under .500 in May. Way back in 2006, the Tigers had a six week stretch over August and September where they didn't win a single series. 8月份几场大比分落败让球队看来即将崩盘 事实上，打到目前为止11胜11败，刚好5成 顶多是个小低潮 去年，老虎在球季结束前1周攻顶，6个月赛程 有3个月胜率未达5成 前年，也有2个月如此 追朔到2006最後打尽WS那年，八月到九月，老虎曾连续输掉6个系列赛 Over the course of a six month long season, teams are bound to have a few bumps in the road. When it comes to wins and losses, this recent stretch is nothing unlike what the Tigers have gone through in prior years when they had some significant postseason success. 6个月打162场例行赛，是非常漫长的赛季 高低潮在所难免 重点是目前状况根本不是大低潮 (也许更惨的还在後头XD) 去年最後惨多啦 (别忘了最後一场被no-hit, 再见暴投) 2. The pitching staff is about to get healthier 投手阵容只会越来越健康 (结果香吉士的手又出问题….) In a cruel twist of fate, the Tigers lost a pair of starting pitchers just as they were entering a stretch full of playing every day with a doubleheader mixed in. That forced the Tigers to have to not just reach down to Toledo, but down to Erie and pull up a guy like Buck Farmer, a solid pitching prospect with little experience, and certainly not someone ready to compete against big league hitters. The results were to be expected. Wezner撰文时，先发轮值少了香吉士跟V中年两位大将 迫使在双重战call up Buck Farmer这种还未准备好的小将 但这种情况在漫长赛季终在所难免 老虎的钻石轮值跟其他球队比起来已经很健康了 But Justin Verlander returned this past weekend, Anibal Sanchez could return from the disabled list and start this weekend, and Joakim Soria will be back to try and help stabilize the bullpen. V中年已经回来 香吉士快回来 or….回不来 Soria也快回来了 莫担心 A former Cy Young and MVP winner, last year's AL ERA champ, and an experienced closer. Those are some significant reinforcements for a team that was relying on Farmer, Robbie Ray and the revolving door of relievers from Toledo. 不重要~~跳过 3. Rosters expand on September 1 9月名单扩编 期待新帮手 Yes, that's true for everyone. But in the case of the Tigers, it provides an opportunity to exploit some tactical holes. Ezequiel Carrera is probably best as a late-inning defensive replacement and pinch runner, but has to be used as more than that right now. That won't be the case next week, when the Tigers can add Tyler Collins or Steven Moya to the big league roster. The catchers have also struggled mightily against left-handed pitching, with just a .231 wOBA, but Toledo's James McCann has a .350/.409/.487 slash line against lefties, and he'll be ready and able to come up as well. 其实每一队都可以借此补强啦 对老虎来而言 Carrera最适合位置是比赛末段代跑代守 可以从3A拉上Tyler Collins或Steven Moya增加板凳火力 (Moya已经确定去打AFL, 大联盟明年见, good for him) 农场最强补手James McCann终於要上来啦 Avila被左杀 McCann刚好特别会杀左投 他上来会有一定帮助 The Tigers have been juggling as best they can to manage a roster with some obvious holes and limited alternative options. But when rosters expand, those options increase substantially. 不可否认老虎阵容的缺点很明显，农场选择又不多 但9月扩编对球队来说是好消息 4. The Royals can't keep this up 皇家不可能一直猛下去 Fans are in a frenzy over a month in which the Tigers have lost their lead in the AL Central, but it's been far more about the success Kansas City has been having, winners of 24 of their last 31. That's an impressive streak, but it's unsustainable, and likely in line for a correction. No team plays .800 ball for half a season. 老虎如何在一个月内丢掉战绩首位 再次强调不是因为我们打太差 是皇家太屌 谁能跟最近31战24胜的球队比 但…总有回到地球表面时後 如果有一支球队能够半季维持8成胜率 那冠军就让给他吧 According to Baseball Prospectus, it's not just that the Royals are playing above their heads and winning a few more close games than expected. They're winning WAY more, to the tune of an additional ten games between what their projected record should be based on runs scored and what it actually is. Even when adjusted for opponents, it's still nine games higher than expected. That's a larger difference between actual and expected record than any other team in MLB. Toughness and grit and all that aside, Kansas City has gotten a favorable bounce through the first five months of the season. 从Baseball Prospectus的数据分析看来 (得失分…etc) 皇家不只最近打很嗨 整个球季下来他们比预期多赢9场比赛!! 这是很大的差距 Correcting for the past can be tough to argue, because there's no going back and changing it, but there's nothing to indicate this hot streak won't end, because all streaks do. And when it does, the underlying projections show the Royals are a .500 baseball team. 已经发生的不能改写 失去的爱找不回来 就算数据显示如此 我们也无法肯定皇家热潮即将结束 但不管怎麽看 皇家打起来是支5成胜率等级的球队无误 5. Star power matters 超级巨星的价值 Max Scherzer. David Price. Miguel Cabrera. Victor Martinez. Verlander. Five players on the Tigers roster, every one of them better than anyone else Kansas City has to offer. That's not to knock a solid Royals club, it's simply to point out the obvious. The Tigers have a track record of success, because they have some of the best players in baseball. And they still have those same players. Sure, some have had their ups-and-downs this season, but when push comes to shove, you'd still take a down year from Cabrera than the best Alex Gordon has to offer. 我们是邪恶的明星大军 Max Scherzer. David Price. Miguel Cabrera. Victor Martinez. Verlander 任何一位在皇家都可以挂头牌 (V中年现在这样我都不敢说了…) 我们有实绩、有经验、有最强的打击机器米糕 最後再说一次 不用过份恐慌 -------------------------- 截至今天8/26 (美国时间) 老虎跟皇家胜差1.5 跟水手并列外卡第二 翻这篇并不是要说老虎铁定进Playoff 皇家接下来铁定落赛 而是 最近板上气氛也太凝重了一点 就放轻松点看球吧 --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 75.46.189.239 ※ 文章网址: http://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/DET_Tigers/M.1409113339.A.879.html