终於轮到Tigers Top20, John Sickels的参考价值是我认为最高的 今年因为Grandy跟E.Jackson的交易农场丰盛许多... (个人是不能接受Grandy到Yankees Jackson则是我们大赚) 作者的英文满浅显易懂 我不是照翻 大多是自己的观察 希望大家一起来讨论阿!!XDD ============================================================================ 1) Casey Crosby, LHP, Grade B+: Has some of the best southpaw stuff in the minors and seems fully recovered from Tommy John. Further command refinements in 2010 would move him into the A- and maybe a pure A category. 眉批:TJ手术後第一个球季完全宰制1A,下半季防御率甚至不到1...!!! high-90快速球 不错的曲球 有待加强的变速球跟控球 典型的左手power pitcher comparison是Kershaw..当年选秀错过在选一个就行了XD 新球季预定A+出发,顺利的话季中升2A 2011上大联盟 DD大总管连两年说他是untouchable 希望是真的XD 2) Jacob Turner, RHP, Grade B+: Outstanding high school pitcher, but I want to see some pro numbers before giving him a higher grade. Even a B+ is aggressive in my grading scheme, but I like him a lot. Like Crosby, he has A-/A potential if all goes well. 眉批:09选秀高中第一大腕,又一个Porcello ?! (个人认为要重复Porcello表现难度太高) 签约金700万的大联盟约是差不多 希望表现不要差太多 没看过实绩就不评论了 可以肯定的球速比Porcello快 但控球跟完成度都还差一截 要多点耐心才是 不是每个人都可以当Porcello阿... 3) Austin Jackson, OF, Grade B: I like him more than the numbers say I should. 眉批:跟他不熟 而且因为Grandy的关系 如果表现不好... 不用我..美国那边的乡民也会酸死他 好消息是Sickels很爱他 他看人很准 除了受伤回不来的以外 预定开季先发CF 但不是保证 还需要成绩来证明他值得 4) Alex Avila, C, Grade B: Won't slug .590 in a full season, but I expect him to have a long and solid career. I was thinking B+ earlier but am backing off that now. . .a B is still a strong grade remember. 眉批:去年选秀的大乐透!! 第五轮才转职一年的捕手可以站稳大联盟 想当初还被质疑是靠关系才比预期早几轮选 (老爸是DD总管左右手) 打击能力无庸置疑 重点是在捕手这个位置上的成长 我觉得不用一定要开季在25人名单 3A也是可接受的选项 毕竟这才是他第二个full season,最快今年慢则明年 老虎主战捕手就是他了!! 5) Dan Schlereth, LHP, Grade B: Excellent relief prospect, needs to sharpen command but was rushed by Arizona. 眉批:Perry大学队友, comparison是Billy Wagner 就知道他的类型啦 叫人不期待都不行 去年小联盟成绩好的吓人 上big後很明显的控球还需加强 Sickels觉得他被rushed (我觉得Perry Porcello Avila都被rushed...但表现XDD) 开季我觉得应该让他继续待3a磨控球 大联盟交给Ni & Seay or Thomas就好 6) Scott Sizemore, 2B, Grade B: Like Avila, I don't think he's going to be a star, but he should be a solid regular, will be a Rookie of the Year candidate assuming he's healthy in spring training. 眉批:预定的开季先发2b 希望不会有任何变数 (Hudson的rumor已被否决) 跟Poly做比较的话 守备当然不能比 average的稳定表现 拥有更好的选球跟长打能力 更重要的是Sickels曾经提过 Sizemore即将取代Grandy在老虎的地位 说的是甚麽 他的比赛拼劲 笑容 乃至於跟队友相处场外活动 都让人很难不喜欢他!! 怎麽说说又更想念Grandy了... 7) Ryan Strieby, 1B-OF, Grade B-: Love the power bat, but I don't think he'll repeat the .303 average and .427 OBP. Can he really handle left field? 眉批:季外放Thames的主因 Sickels不认为去年鬼神般成绩可以继续 但长打力是真的 选球也是真的 (427obp!?) 而且经过2a的考验 big也不远了 唯二的疑问:1.连续困扰他两年的手腕伤到底复原如何 (也使他今年无法在AFL出赛) 2.守备位置...1B确定是胖卡布的 不多练其他位置就没机会 球团要他练外野代表对他还有待期 但最好也是近平均值 我还满期待看他跟Larish share DH 可惜卡了个Guillen... 8) Andy Oliver, LHP, Grade B-: We need to see some professional data aside from the Arizona Fall League, but he seems like the kind of pitcher who could be more effective in the pros than in college. Big upside arm. 眉批:我很确定在3月的时候老虎在第一轮的名单里有他 还特地派球探去观察 所以能够第二轮选到想必是乐翻了 但也花了些手脚才签下 11X万签约金 (不确定) 会掉到第二轮 是因为这球季他患了曲球失忆症 (好险快速球都还记得XD) 可以投到97MPH加上评价很高的变速 再怎样 当个称职的中继没问题 只要变化球让她找回来的话...嘿嘿嘿... 刚选上就直接让他投AFL 除了证明老虎对他的期待 更肯定他的实力 今年参加AFL 09梯的其他全都第一轮 而表现的也非常不错 (AFL是个极端打者联盟) 看来他现在放弃曲球 改练Slider 明年a+出发 希望老虎是把它当SP来养 但快的话也许季中就会看到他出现在老虎的牛棚 9) Casper Wells, OF, Grade C+: Scouts are starting to warm to him. He's produced in Double-A and in the Arizona Fall League, but there will always be skeptics until he hits in the Show. Personally I like the guy. 眉批：前年三级跳 从1a直接杀到2a ( 还真的是"杀爆"2a) 今年受伤一段时间 不过这次 他把握机会杀爆AFL的投手 351 (top 10) 1.096 OPS /25RBI (top 3) 穷人版5-tools 有长打 有速度 保送多 而且可以守CF 这是Wells跟下一位相比最大的优势 毕竟Tigers现在CF摆在那给大家抢 缺点：年纪大了点 要不是前年神奇之旅 现在应该已经不在了 三振…超级多 根据数据他很少去挥坏球 所以就是打不到… contact是他能否在大联盟生存的关键 春训抢CF的其中一员 10) Wilkin Ramirez, OF, Grade C+: Hard to grade...excellent tools are still here, but performance remains spotty with no clear indication that will change. 眉批：真正的5-tools在这里!! 九月call-up後 甚至是全队代跑的第一人选 优点就是想像的那样 缺点呢！ 更多… 三振还是一样多 但保送跟Wells比就差多了 简单说有点盲… 守备从3b到of评价都不高 不能守cf是他跟Wells价值上最大的差距啦 Winter league 从选球到守备都"据说"进步许多 (练很多场cf 现在大家都想抢XDD) 跟Wells相较起来 我认为他被当成交易筹码的机会高得多 Tools球员人人爱 老虎并不缺corner Outfielders 除非他突然变成合格的CF 这样还可以有更多期待 11) Daniel Fields, SS, Grade C+: Excellent tools with local Detroit ties, but how raw is he and where does he fit with the glove? Need pro data before ranking higher. 眉批：09选秀三巨头 最後一位 老爸在以前在老虎当过教练 Michigan 当地双栖球员 (棒/美足) 花了150万才签下 就知道老虎有多爱他了 对他了解都是看scouting就不多说了 大型SS 左打 充满POWER 运动力…等都不在话下 我倒期待他成为老虎未来三垒手的解答 顺利的话开季在1A 等到6月A- 也是可以接受的 he needs time 12) Cody Satterwhite, RHP, Grade C+: Part of large collection of potential bullpen arms that could be ready soon. 眉批：08选秀第二轮 将跟随Perry的脚步来支援牛棚 老虎最爱的类型 Big right power arm with High-90 fastball K/9不错 B/9还需要加强 原本要打AFL但受伤没去 新球预计3A出发 大联盟不远了 13) Robbie Weinhardt, RHP, Grade C+: Another relief arm who could help quickly. 眉批：08选秀第十轮 又一牛棚 但没这麽火球 极速95MPH 但控球好 还有2-seam /slider/change-up 这两年小联盟的成绩很销魂 08年在A+ whip 0.85!! 在AFL被打爆前三场後 又再度统治了这些打击明日之星 在他关门下拿下冠军 一样在球季中就有机会看到他现身牛棚 我认为他已经ready了 14) Brayan Villareal, RHP, Grade C+: Sleeper prospect, could rank as high as 10th depending on what you want to emphasize. Need some higher level data but he was great at West Michigan. 眉批：动TJ手术回来 可以投到97MPH 去年算是找回身价 今年是关键年 投出成绩的话送礼自用两相宜 15) Alfredo Figaro, RHP, Grade C: Looks more like a reliever to me than a starter. They have a lot of good material for a pen here. 眉批：Rodney表弟 可惜不能一起同披战袍了 不过我不看好他的表现 除了快速球 其他都不令我惊艳 去年季末关键球赛派他先发 就知道老虎去年先发投手出了多大问题… 16) Luis Marte, RHP, Grade C: Not as effective in Double-A as some expected, but live arm will get him plenty of chances. 眉批：我一直以为他是我们下一个Jurrjens 各项投球数据都不错的小个子投手 拥有农场最好的slider 可惜是个痛痛人 季末转牛棚 希望可以让他保持健康 但不能先发价值差很多 17) Gustavo Nunez, SS, Grade C: hit .315 with 45 steals in the Midwest League, but the scouting reports I have emphasize his rawness. 眉批：1a成绩很好看 标准球往地上打的类型 能不能在高阶打出一样的成绩还要观察 老虎最近在南美签了满多有浅力的SS Nunez得把握机会才行 18) Melvin Mercedes, RHP, Grade C: Another hard-throwing relief arm, but needs to show he can throw strikes. 眉批：不熟 two-pitch投手 (fastball/slider) 去年GCL的CLOSER 老虎在Gulf Coast League唯一进top20的选手 新球季预计会直上full season 1A 慢慢观察 19) Ramon Lebron, RHP, Grade C: Another high-ceiling arm from rookie ball with command issues. 眉批：火球投手一枚 极速99MPH 去年在GCL先发 除了三振其他数据都不好看 但在winter league投得很杀 很多消息说他会进1A rotation 如果是真的 很积极也很冒险的动作 投的好的话 又再次证明在rookie league等级 成绩不重要 资质 浅力才是真的 20) Cale Iorg, SS, Grade C: Frankly I think this is generous. I don't think he'll ever hit enough to be a regular, but the glove and major league bloodlines will get him to the majors. 眉批：这个球员的故事很多 大一打出first round身价 家里是虔诚的摩门教徒 硬是到土耳其传教两年 完全没碰球 回来还没回校队 就在第五轮选了这迷样球员 签约金还飙高到140万 (没记错的话) DD总管非常爱他 去年开季前还说Iorg两年内会在大联盟成为all-star !!?? 最大的特点在於他的防守 我还没看过他出赛的联盟里 Iorg的防守评价(range/glove/arm) 不是联盟最佳的 打击就是很大的反差啦...现在看来像有长打的Everett 说打击像Everett绝对不是称赞... 有人说Iorg因两年没碰球 打2a虽然即将满25 但还是有被rushed 简单的说就是他还需要点时间 而球团也会尽一切力量帮助他成功 有趣的是 我看了不知道多少评论他的文章 没有人不看好他能在大联盟生存 除了Sickels 以外...这次我们要相信谁呢??XD Others (all Grade C): Brennan Boesch, OF (40-Man Roster 2A全垒打王 but..."超级大盲炮") Audy Ciriaco, SS (40-Man Roster 成绩不好看 老虎看好他的浅力 今年爆发!?) Jay Sborz, RHP (40-Man Roster 火球男配上大曲球 有机会上来) Casey Fien, RHP (40-Man Roster 不错的牛棚投手 我喜欢他) Zach Simons, RHP (刚移出40-Man Roster 但不是因为投不好 还有机会看到他) Scott Green, RHP (08选秀牛棚投手再一位 受伤後再出发 大只的cutter投手) Jared Gayhart,RHP (again..08梯牛棚 一路从1a投到2a 有转sp的浅力) Brett Jensen, RHP (浅水艇中继投手 成绩一直不错 但不是球团喜欢的类型) Austin Wood, LHP (09第五轮 最红事迹是在冠军赛投12局160多球,当成日本投手了 可以当很好的一人左 最新球探报告说他今年就有可能上来!!??) Brandon Douglas,2B Charles Furbush,LHP Jamie Johnson, OF; John Murrian, C Billy Nowlin, OF Luke Putkonen, RHP; James Robbins, 1B Adam Wilk, LHP 以下照翻 ============================================================================== The Tigers seem to like drafting college pitchers with names that would make Beavis and Butt-head chuckle. This system was looking a bit thin at the top aside from Turner and Casey, but the trade acquisitions of Jackson and Schlereth provide some depth. DD总管当家後偏爱大学投手,农场在Turner跟Crosby之後有些差距,不过交易来Jackson. Schlereth增加点深度 On the pitching side, both Crosby and Turner have number one starter potential,and both could be A-/A types a year from now. The pitching thins out after that,but there is a large group of relief arms on the way up, with Schlereth the most advanced but quite a bit behind him. Mercedes and Lebron bear close watching in 2010; both have the potential to take large steps forward. 投手方面Turner跟Crosby都有ace浅质,接下来有一堆快要relief arms即将ready (DD总管说有10位有实力在10season上大联盟,大家可以数数看XD) Schlereth最被看好(CLOSER ceiling) Mercedes跟Lebron两位有可能在新球季大跃进 There are no sure-fire stars on the hitting side, but Jackson, Avila, and Sizemore all look like solid regulars to me. I like Jackson more than the numbers say I should, but sometimes you have to go with your gut. Strieby and Wells also have the potential to play regularly, although I'd like to see some Triple-A data for both. Wilkin Ramirez is the toolsiest of the bunch but also the least refined. Daniel Fields has a huge ceiling but we need some solid performance data about him. 野手没有elite等级,但Jackson,Avila,Sizemore看来都会是称职的先发 Strieby,Wells也有机会达到 (需要的是机会) Ramirez是整个organization最toolsiest,但还需调整些机制 Fields也拥有高天花板 在真正上场比赛前甚麽都别说 Overall, this system has a lot going for it, but they could use more depth in position players. They love the high ceiling high school arms, and it will be interesting to see if they keep that focus on the '10 draft. 整体而言,position player的缺乏还需要DD总管努力,毕竟重整的脚步已经来临 这几年在首轮我们总是有办法捡到充满天份的高中投手,明年是否还是如此值得 观察. 我看到的消息是10梯高中生天分比大学好很多,也代表养成的功力更为重要 一个首轮加两个三明治 要好好选阿!! --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 114.44.118.188