作者Zamned (宫园かをり R.I.P.)
看板Cubs
标题[情报] Baseball Prospectus’ Top 101
时间Tue Jan 26 16:27:45 2016
第一是Corey Seager,第二是Byron Buxton,第三是Lucas Giolito。
Lucas Giolito的说明如下:
Last year was a good one for the Giolito clan. Showtime announced a Twin Peaks
revival (Lucas’ uncle co-created it with David Lynch, and his grandfather
played Dr. Will Heyward, the remarkably normal town coroner), and the youngest
Giolito made it all the way to Double-A, striking out better than a batter
per inning and flashing true top-of-the-scouting-scale stuff along the way.
He is now more than three years removed from the UCL tear that kept him from
going first overall in the 2012 draft, and with an invitation to Nationals
spring training already secured, Giolito may soon be on the hunt for some
cherry pie and a damn fine cup of coffee in the nation’s capital.
跟小熊有乳摸的
84. Taylor Guerrieri, RHP, Tampa Bay Rays
Guerrieri’s stuff may merit a higher place on this list, but he’s yet to have
the opportunity to show that stuff across a full season:The 78 innings he threw
in 2015 were a career high, and he was drafted all the way back in 2011. Most
of the other first-round prep arms from that draft have already debuted in the
majors or are knocking on the door (e.g. Jose Fernandez, Joe Ross, Dylan Bundy,
Archie Bradley and Robert Stephenson), while Guerrieri has thrown just 36
innings above A-ball. The fastball-curve combo both show up as plus, but given
his durability issues and lack of an above-average future projection for the
change, he may end up as a late-inning reliever.
我很想要弄来的XD
21. Blake Snell, LHP, Tampa Bay Rays
Snell vaulted to the top of our Tampa Bay Top 10 list after burning through
three levels of the minors with a 1.41 ERA. Minor-league ERA not your thing?
Understandable. He also fanned 163 batters in 134 innings while giving up only
84 hits. The stuff more than matches the gaudy stats: Snell features a 92–94
mph fastball with excellent movement and life and pairs it with a plus slider
and a potentially solid-average change. The only quibble is that you'd like to
see him iron out his control issues before he debuts in the Trop, which will
likely be sometime in 2016.
後面只贴小熊部分
41. Gleyber Torres, SS, Chicago Cubs
After graduating Addison Russell, Kris Bryant and Kyle Schwarber in 2015, it
would be forgivable if the Cubs system were down a bit this year. Their
player-development system doesn't rebuild, though; it reloads. Torres may
remind you of Starlin Castro, although not so much Castro the wizened veteran
but Castro the prospect. He shows the same precocious hitting ability
(Torres hit .293 as the youngest player in the Midwest League), and there are
also questions about whether he sticks at shortstop long term. Torres cost the
current Cubs front office a few pretty pennies more than the $45,000 that Jim
Hendry and company paid for Castro, but if he can produce the same results at
the plate, it’s unlikely there will be much quibbling over the $1.7 million
“splurge.”
57. Willson Contreras, C/3B, Chicago Cubs
Contreras didn't get cut from BP's Cubs top-prospects list coming into the 2015
season because he wasn't in legit consideration in the first place. It’s a
tribute both to how outstanding their system is and how large a step forward
Contreras took in 2015 that he lands just outside the top 50 a year later.
Contreras came somewhat late to catching, as the Cubs signed him as an
infielder out of Venezuela, and he spent his first three professional seasons
playing mostly first and third. But he’s taken well to the tools, and is a
good bet to be at least an average defender behind the plate. That said, it was
the development of his bat over the last year that marks him as the best
catching prospect in baseball. Contreras hit .333 in Double-A and set a career
high with 34 doubles; his approach and plate discipline took a step forward as
well. It was a true breakout season, and another voyage of self-discovery could
rocket him into the top echelon of prospects next year, assuming he doesn't
hit his way to Wrigley first.
67. Ian Happ, OF, Chicago Cubs
It is not mere happenstance that finds Happ on this year's 101.He's another
polished college bat who the Cubs happily added to their system, selecting the
Cincinnati outfielder with the ninth-overall pick in the 2015 draft. If you
happened upon him in his professional debut last summer, you saw a switch-
hitting outfielder who never looks hapless from either side of the plate, and
shows enough present-day feel and approach to move quickly through the minors.
Happ is not quite athletic enough for center field, and has run out to all
three outfield positions so far in his brief pro career. There is some thought
that he might be able to play second base, so there is no need for the Cubs to
make a decision about his ultimate defensive home haphazardly.
74. Billy McKinney, OF, Chicago Cubs
If “left-field profile” is pejorative, “tweener” is an epitaph. But we come
to praise McKinney, not to bury him. He is, after all,the 74th-best prospect in
baseball. True, he doesn’t have the foot speed for center field, nor the arm
for right, and his yearly total of dingers should just barely creep into double
digits once his game power fully develops. What he can do is engage that most
primal of baseball skills: See ball, strike ball. If we were to rank these same
101 prospects just on their hit tools, McKinney would be much higher, and not
just because there are a lot of pitchers. He could be a perennial .300 hitter
in an era when that is a very rare thing. That may be enough to carry a left-
field profile and avoid the tweener tag.
83. Albert Almora, OF, Cubs
Almora’s well-rounded skill set hasn’t quite coalesced at the superstar speed
of some of his fellow 2012 first-rounders, but it’s getting there. An
aggressive approach has frequently undercut his promising hit tool and limited
his solid power potential as he’s journeyed up the ranks. But while the power
remains nascent he made notable progress in upping his previously abysmal walk
rate at Double-A last year, and he continued to make contact at a fine clip. He
shines in the field, and though he lacks for much more than average raw foot
speed he is blessed with an innate ability to anticipate and read contact. It
remains an open question whether the offensive package is likely to get to
first-division caliber, but the defense and drive should be more than enough to
grant him an audition to find out in the near future.
97. Eddy Julio Martinez, OF, Chicago Cubs
Martinez might want to steer clear of the Swan Oyster Depot for a while after
backing out of a deal with San Francisco to take $3 million from the Cubs. It's
not the end of the world (Chicago has almost as many Michelin stars as
offensive stars nowadays),but the 20-year-old Cuban outfielder still has a ways
to go developmentally before he'll be scoring reservations at Alinea or 42
Grams. Martinez is likely to start 2016 in South Bend (best restaurant
according to TripAdvisor: LaSalle Grill), where he will start to answer the
questions about his power potential and ultimate defensive home in the outfield.
--
やっ..........!!!!!!止めろペイモンこの野郎~~~~~~っ
地狱でいきなり圣书なんえ 読み上げやがってえ~~~~~~~~~っ!!杀すえおっ!!
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 118.160.13.196
※ 文章网址: https://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/Cubs/M.1453796869.A.5A2.html
1F:→ Zamned: 这六位就是BP还未出炉的小熊TOP 10前六新秀了~~~ 01/26 16:33
2F:→ JustinIdiot: 球队排名和top101不是同一群人排的吧 所以偶尔也会出 01/26 16:50
3F:→ JustinIdiot: 现排名不一致的情况的样子(不确定 但BA有见识过这种 01/26 16:50
4F:→ JustinIdiot: 情况)01/26 16:50
5F:→ Zamned: BA是写手们划分责任区块,负责不同队伍。BP是整个团队吧01/26 17:02
7F:→ Zamned: 名次讨论出出来後,内容交给特地人写01/26 17:08
8F:推 fountainNess: 小蛇有共估吗01/26 17:15
s
※ 编辑: Zamned (59.115.137.88), 01/26/2016 17:18:45
9F:→ Zamned: 38,48,72 三支 01/26 17:19
10F:推 fountainNess: 感谢~ 01/26 19:00
我修一下 手机贴都跑掉了
38. Braden Shipley, RHP, Arizona Diamondbacks
For variety’s sake, here are
some potential no. 3 starter Mad Libs: Shipley features a plus fastball that
sits in the mid-90s and complements it with (pitcher’s name)(scouty verb) a
plus changeup that could be a swing-and-miss offering in the bigs. His(best
off-speed pitch) (synonym for MLB) curveball lags behind his other two
offerings, but could get to average with further(third pitch) development. The
command profile here is only fringe -average, due to issues (noun that ends
in “ment”)(probably “fringe”)repeating his delivery.Shipley is a potential
manatee on the mound, capable of taking (pitcher’s name)(strong animal)the
ball every fifth day and logging innings in the middle of a major-league
rotation.
48. Archie Bradley, RHP, Arizona Diamondbacks
Last year was a bit of a lost season for the Diamondbacks' top prospect. His
major-league debut was marred by a line drive off his face and general control
struggles led to his demotion back to Triple-A. Shoulder issues followed, and
cost him most of the summer. He showed flashes of what made him a top-10
national prospect at the end of the year in Reno, but this was the second
straight year in which Bradley spent more time off the field than on it. At
his best, he features a mid-90s fastball and a hammer curve, but much to
Riverdale’s dismay, he has rarely been at his best lately.
72. Brandon Drury, 2B, Arizona Diamondbacks
Anytime a former 13th-rounder makes his big-league debut, someone somewhere in
an amateur-scouting department gets an extra half-hour of free continental
breakfast at the closest Days Inn. Drury has a legitimate shot at helping the
big club in a significant way in 2016. He’ll show four average-or-slightly-
better tools, with the power potential standing out as an expected strength
despite curiously poor home run totals in the high minors. A competent defender
at second or third, he’s capable of occupying prime real estate on the depth
chart for the next several years.
※ 编辑: Zamned (59.115.137.88), 01/26/2016 20:09:50
11F:推 LucasGiolito: Hi~ 01/27 01:08
12F:推 vg175: 楼上跑错版了 来乖乖跟我回去 01/27 08:35
13F:→ Zamned: 基本上,小熊入选的扣除EJM,都是安全牌 01/27 12:20
14F:→ Zamned: Gleyber Torres的体能要练,他太年轻,无法负荷整年出赛 01/27 12:22
15F:→ Zamned: 小熊相当看重Contreras,他在组织内的评价应该是TOP3,Jim 01/27 12:24
16F:→ Zamned: Callis的排名与我自己看法都低估他了 01/27 12:24
17F:→ Zamned: 假如Ian Happ守二垒那这个排法我觉得ok 01/27 12:25
18F:→ Zamned: 小熊已经让相当多的新秀在外界不看好的情形下留在防守热区 01/27 12:27
19F:→ Zamned: 并成为一个优秀的防守者。 01/27 12:27
20F:→ Zamned: Ian Happ是个大挑战。我还是认为他是RF/LF料,但农场大魔 01/27 12:28
21F:→ Zamned: 头说得应该有点道理 01/27 12:28
22F:→ Zamned: Jaron Madison给Almora很多爱,我也看好他爆发,私以为他 01/27 12:31
23F:→ Zamned: 应该在McKinny前才是 01/27 12:31
24F:→ Zamned: EJM有点微妙,他在球探中的评价两极。Jaron Madison说这个 01/27 12:34
25F:→ Zamned: 签约是个大偷,但是没看过他的实战power前,我认为这个落 01/27 12:34
26F:→ Zamned: 点不是我喜欢的 01/27 12:34
27F:→ Zamned: 换成Edward会更好 01/27 12:35
28F:推 JustinIdiot: 是阿…当初看到你们3M签下心里就这样想…想是他观望 01/27 12:48
29F:→ JustinIdiot: 太久了价钱才跌这麽多 01/27 12:48
30F:→ Zamned: 觉得还是信自己的球探吧 BA的Ben Badler不会给古巴人 01/27 14:35
31F:→ Zamned: 太高的评价是有历史的。Keith La则非常喜欢EJM 01/27 14:35
32F:→ Zamned: 要我二者择一。我会压Keith Law 01/27 14:38
33F:→ Zamned: 其他古巴人的新闻 Lazarito因为有点太大支,球探认为不大 01/27 14:41
34F:→ Zamned: 可能守中线,所以要价会缩减。再加上他太过年轻,要砸大钱 01/27 14:41
35F:→ Zamned: 赌他风险太高,所以不太可能追上Moncada的签约金了 01/27 14:41
36F:→ Zamned: 另外,因为Morejon表现太好,让竞争者变多。小熊已经不是 01/27 14:45
37F:→ Zamned: 最有机会签下他的大联盟球队 01/27 14:45
38F:→ Zamned: 百感交集啊....砸钱给16岁的投手风险太高,但是又好想要XD 01/27 14:47
39F:→ JustinIdiot: 不不 你看Alfredo Rodriguez拿那什麽价钱 你就知道你 01/27 15:07
40F:→ JustinIdiot: 们抢多大… 01/27 15:07
41F:→ JustinIdiot: Badler不是不给古巴人高评价 只是不会去捧没有在古 01/27 15:21
42F:→ JustinIdiot: 巴联赛累积多少纪录的球员 01/27 15:21
43F:→ Zamned: 就算有古巴联赛成绩也是低估 01/27 15:30
44F:→ Zamned: 没到美国开始职业比赛都不算数 01/27 15:31
45F:→ Zamned: 然後专捧小联盟有TOOLS的新秀 01/27 15:31
46F:→ Zamned: 究竟那些TOOLS有多少机会能转换成实绩 01/27 15:32
47F:→ Zamned: 就放比较宽松的标准 01/27 15:33
48F:→ JustinIdiot: Z大是批评他标准不一致吗XD 01/27 15:43
49F:→ Zamned: 是啊 XD 01/27 15:44
50F:→ JustinIdiot: 不过他今年评条子top10 把Ibanez排到第八 他很喜欢Ib 01/27 15:47
51F:→ JustinIdiot: anez的样子 认为他被低估了 一般不会把他排这麽高的 01/27 15:47
52F:→ Zamned: 我是觉得题的农场出了TOP5後有点落差 01/27 15:53
53F:→ Zamned: 接下来就看偏好了 01/27 15:54
54F:→ Zamned: Luke Jaxon原地踏步 Matuella有伤 01/27 15:55
55F:→ Zamned: 真的要排5-10还不好排 01/27 15:56
56F:→ JustinIdiot: 这是蛮明显的XD 不过有一些人选应该还是比较好的选 01/27 16:01
57F:→ JustinIdiot: 择 比如Yohender Mendez 01/27 16:01
58F:→ Zamned: MLB有意让好球带下缘缩减,最快到2017才会成真。对我们的 01/28 12:11
59F:→ Zamned: 打者群有利啊 01/28 12:11
60F:→ Zamned: Mendez这款的没上AA,AAA都不会让BA认真啦 XF 01/28 12:29
61F:→ JustinIdiot: 那没打过的17岁… 01/28 15:37
62F:→ Zamned: 所以我才觉得BA很XXOO啊 XD 01/29 20:46
63F:推 ToddHsu: Z大,Villanueva这位三垒手不算prospects? 02/01 07:35
64F:→ JustinIdiot: 不是 因为只有一个XD 02/01 11:00
65F:→ JustinIdiot: 没啦 我不是Z大 不过可以回一下 他当然还是潜力新秀 02/01 11:04
66F:→ JustinIdiot: 也还是有机会上来 不过自从离开条子之後他的评价就 02/01 11:04
67F:→ JustinIdiot: 滞留蛮久的了 现在感觉起来比较像是role player 而非 02/01 11:04
68F:→ JustinIdiot: regular的料 02/01 11:04
69F:→ Zamned: Villanueva得去其他队伍找机会上MLB,他不在我的农场TOP3 3 02/04 12:05
70F:→ Zamned: B内 02/04 12:05