作者Zamned (扎姆德)
看板Cubs
标题Re: Re: Fw: [情报] Keith Law版2015百大新秀&各
时间Sat Jan 31 01:01:17 2015
KLaw曾的报告
The Cubs paid Taiwanese RHP Jen-Ho Tseng last July for $1.625 million, a
dubious investment to begin with given the track record of Taiwanese arms,
but one that looks even more questionable now given how ordinary his stuff
and arm speed are. Note: Of the five Taiwanese pitchers who signed for the
highest bonuses with MLB clubs as amateurs, three blew out their arms at
least once after signing, one hurt his shoulder and was done after a single
season, and the last, Ching-Lung Lo, lost 5 to 7 mph off his fastball without
suffering a catastrophic arm injury. Taiwanese teenagers pitch far more than
their U.S.-born counterparts, and throw more breaking stuff, so it's not
terribly surprising that their track record here isn't very good.
Tseng threw Friday and was 89-92 with little life, flashing an 89-90 mph
sinker as well that was probably the better weapon for him. He threw two
breaking balls, a pretty but slow curveball with two-plane break but very
soft rotation at 73-76 mph and a short slider at 84-85 that moved like a
cutter without the benefit of cutter velocity. His arm wasn't quick at all,
and at 6-foot-1 and 210 pounds, he doesn't offer any kind of projection. Like
Zastryzny, Tseng might have a little more in the tank once we get into the
regular season, but I couldn't write him up as a future starter.
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※ 编辑: Zamned (59.115.130.61), 01/31/2015 07:47:42
1F：推 tony123839: 英文不好只能勉强看个六分懂,很多细节看不太懂... 02/01 14:33
2F：推 tony123839: 不过Law不提他投很好的变速球反而提到滑球?? 02/01 14:37
3F：推 JustinIdiot: 他说滑球看起来像卡特 但没有卡特该有的速度优势 02/01 15:58
4F：→ JustinIdiot: 另外他觉得曾没变法变成先发… 02/01 15:59
5F：推 tony123839: 那边大概看得懂 纳闷的点是不提优点反而只提缺点..... 02/02 00:56
6F：→ tony123839: 目前应该还是普遍相信曾能在MLB当个先发投手才对... 02/02 00:57
7F：推 Aroyo: 优点在sinker阿 02/02 02:52
8F：推 nickyang: 曾本来就不是Keith会喜欢的型，能上榜还满意外的 02/02 08:47
9F：→ nickyang: 现在没有普遍相信他可以先发，多半对直球跟身材有疑问 02/02 08:49
10F：推 s9527206: 太久没看球探报告，原来曾的评价比我印象中低很多... 02/02 12:08
11F：推 nickyang: Keith给的其实没有差其他家太多，曾的upside是中段 02/03 07:18
12F：→ nickyang: 比较可能後段或牛棚，其实跟陈伟殷本来的projection 02/03 07:19
13F：→ nickyang: 差不太多，陈的评价低吗？一点也不 02/03 07:20
14F：→ nickyang: 大联盟就是这麽强啊！ 02/03 07:20
15F：→ Zamned: 身材的问题是大概定型了，缺少成长空间。滑球老问题了，变 02/03 13:16
16F：→ Zamned: 速球一直再练习，KLaw可能刚好没看到吧。KLaw这模板没什麽 02/03 13:16
17F：→ Zamned: 问题，反正投手新秀养成牛本来就很正常。 02/03 13:16
18F：推 tony123839: 因为曾的变速球理论上应该是他目前最优秀的变化球种 02/04 13:39
19F：→ tony123839: 所以看到Law连提都没提到就觉得很奇怪... 02/04 13:39
20F：→ tony123839: 倒是养成牛方面，记得之前不是有人拿黑田来比?? 02/04 13:40
21F：→ tony123839: 虽然小弟非专业，不过毕竟好几次看过他的投球实力 02/04 13:40
22F：→ tony123839: 对於他评价只有这样还是让我满讶异的 02/04 13:41
23F：→ tony123839: 记得之前不知道看到哪个球探报告至少还能当个4.5号SP 02/04 13:41
24F：→ tony123839: 又或者是我记错了..... 02/04 13:42
25F：推 nickyang: 比较可能是中後段没错啊，不会有人讲低阶球员至少如何 02/04 14:14
26F：→ nickyang: 黑田那是模板，模板是长得顺利变那样 02/04 14:15
27F：→ nickyang: 投球实力很强也没错，但大联盟更强呀！ 02/04 14:15
28F：→ nickyang: 可以对付日职明星队的球员连轮值都进不去，这就是大联盟 02/04 14:16
29F：→ nickyang: 非职业比赛可以有末段轮值支援就是神一般的存在了 02/04 14:17
30F：→ Zamned: 每个球探报告都有不同的看法 02/04 20:57
31F：→ Zamned: 对KLaw来说 就当他是个没有球速且速球品质普通 02/04 20:58
32F：→ Zamned: 唯一亮点是曲球的右投手。 02/04 20:58
33F：→ Zamned: 实际状况真如他的观察状况那般 这样去牛棚真的不冤枉 02/04 20:59
34F：→ Zamned: 但是KLaw的问题就是他要负责太多小联盟球员了 02/04 20:59
35F：→ Zamned: 而且他又不像John Sickels愿意去参考各方意见 02/04 21:00
36F：→ Zamned: 作人G8、决策团队小、实际的观察不足都可能让他的评价失真 02/04 21:03
37F：→ Zamned: (不过，他是真的很厉害就是了) 02/04 21:03
38F：→ Zamned: 所以这份报告不喜欢曾仁和不是天塌下来 02/04 21:05
39F：→ Zamned: 你知道James Shields还是小联盟新秀时最高的排名只有 02/04 21:05
40F：→ Zamned: 在BA 光芒TOP12还是13的名次吗？ 02/04 21:06
41F：→ Zamned: 但是那又如何？真正重要的还是球队内部的看法 02/04 21:08
42F：→ Zamned: David Kaplan说小熊在追求James Shields 02/05 12:13
43F：→ Zamned: 是给红鸟抬价还是真心想买啊? 02/05 12:13
44F：→ Zamned: 如果James Shields够便宜，合约长度合理也不是不能考虑啦 02/05 12:14