作者Zamned (扎姆德)
看板Cubs
标题Fw: [情报] Keith Law版2015百大新秀&各队农场排名
时间Fri Jan 30 21:41:33 2015
※ [本文转录自 MLB 看板 #1KonnQuW ]
作者: vg175 (非典型废言) 站内: MLB
标题: [情报] Keith Law版2015百大新秀&各队农场排名
时间: Fri Jan 30 13:53:27 2015
1. Kris Bryant 3B Chicago Cubs
Everyone is aware of Bryant by now, after his pro baseball-leading 43 home
runs and a .325/.438/.661 line across two levels in his first full year in
the minors. Bryant is the best prospect in baseball for 2015, a true
middle-of-the-order bat who should be in the Cubs' Opening Day lineup for the
next six-plus seasons.
Bryant was drafted late out of high school despite showing first-round
abilities, matured quickly once he began playing at the University of San
Diego and landed as the No. 2 pick in the 2013 draft. After he tore through
the low levels of the minors that summer, the Cubs pushed him to Double-A to
start the 2014 season and he proceeded to demolish the level in half a season
before a promotion to Triple-A that saw him nearly repeat the performance
against older competition.
Bryant's swing is very balanced, with a wide setup and good use of his lower
half to generate power. While there were concerns when he was an amateur that
his bat speed might not catch up to major league velocity, he really has had
no problem with better stuff in the pros, probably because his eye is so good
and his swing is very short from load to contact. He's a good enough athlete
to be able to handle third base, although he'd probably be better defensively
in right field with his plus arm and fewer quick-reaction plays to challenge
him. Wherever he ends up, he has 30-homer, .400 OBP potential, and should
challenge for MVP awards once he has a few years in the majors.
4. Addison Russell SS Chicago Cubs
His performance left behind in much of the publicity around more famous Cubs
prospects, Russell continued to rake in 2014 once he recovered from an
early-season hamstring tear, and he kept right on producing after he was the
big piece going to Chicago in the Jeff Samardzija trade.
Russell is a true shortstop with one of the best pure hit tools in the
minors, both of which are a function of his outstanding hands, which are
strong enough to produce hard contact yet smooth enough that he makes
difficult plays look easy at short, whether it's a tough ground ball or a
quick transfer on a 4-6-3 double-play turn. His swing did get a little longer
in 2014, producing more power but also more ground ball contact, as he would
get on top of balls he didn't square up. Russell always will face questions
about his position because he's not a runner, but his footwork is more than
adequate, and he has the hands and arm to be above-average there. Shortstops
with the potential to hit .300-plus with double-digit homers are rare
commodities -- Troy Tulowitzki was the only major leaguer to do it in 2014 --
which makes Russell's skill set extremely valuable.
14. Jorge Soler RF Chicago Cubs
After a year and a half of good performance interrupted by numerous injuries
that left him struggling to stay on the field, Soler reached the majors at
the end of August and set expectations at an impossible level at least
initially, going 10 for his first 19 with three bombs across five games. He
scuffled the rest of the way as pitchers took advantage of his overaggressive
approach, but the explosive bat speed and plus-plus raw power will still be
enough to make him a star.
Soler has gotten much stronger since he first signed a nine-year, $30 million
contract with the Cubs in 2012, retaining much of his athleticism but losing
some running speed as he bulked up. He always had enormous power thanks to
very rapid hand acceleration and a beautiful, rotational swing with long
extension through contact. He has a right fielder's arm and the ability to be
an average or better defender there, but for now his routes are a bit suspect
and he'll need more work out there to avoid being the new Domonic Brown.
Soler wasn't patient in the majors, but he had been so in the minors, and I
expect that skill to return as he gains experience in the majors and stops
trying to recreate what he did in those first five games. He projects as a
25-30 homer guy who hits .270-280 with a solid OBP and, we hope, average
defense, which would make him maybe the Cubs' third- or fourth-best hitter in
their suddenly loaded lineup.
90. Kyle Schwarber C Chicago Cubs
Schwarber was the fourth overall pick in the 2014 draft as a power-hitting
catcher from Indiana University, then went and destroyed three different
leagues after signing, ending the year in high-A just a few months out of
college. Schwarber has very little chance to catch in the majors, as he's a
poor receiver and is very muscular for the position, but his bat should make
him a regular at another position, possibly first base, but most likely left
field.
He has a chance to end up with a plus hit tool and plus power, showing much
better plate discipline this summer than he did as an amateur, although his
front side can get soft and he can be vulnerable to soft stuff away because
his typical swing is so hard. If he hits .280 or so with a strong OBP and
25-30 homers, he'll be a good everyday player even if he ends up as a bad
left fielder, and the Cubs certainly believe he has a chance to exceed even
those marks.
各队入选百大人数:
金莺 2 老虎 1 天使 2
洋基 2 皇家 2 运动家 2
蓝鸟 3 印地安人 3 水手 2
光芒 2 白袜 3 太空人 5
红袜 5 双城 6 游骑兵 6
国民 6 红雀 4 道奇 4
勇士 6 海盗 5 巨人 1
大都会 6 酿酒人 1 教士 2
马林鱼 2 红人 2 洛矶 6
费城人 2 小熊 4 响尾蛇 3
各队农场系统排名:
1. 小熊
2. 双城
3. 太空人
4. 大都会
5. 红袜
6. 勇士
7. 海盗
8. 洛矶
9. 国民
10. 道奇
11. 游骑兵
12. 白袜
13. 红雀
14. 响尾蛇
15. 皇家
16. 印地安人
17. 红人
18. 教士
19. 蓝鸟
20. 洋基
21. 水手
22. 金莺
23. 光芒
24. 马林鱼
25. 费城人
26. 运动家
27. 天使
28. 酿酒人
29. 巨人
30. 老虎
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 1.34.47.100
※ 文章网址: https://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/MLB/M.1422597210.A.E20.html
1F:推 Zamned: 可恶 被你抢先喏( ̄(工) ̄ ) 01/30 14:03
2F:推 carrhung: 果然是老虎垫底XD 农场还要几年才看的到苗啊 01/30 14:10
3F:推 true317: 大都会慢慢养 01/30 14:30
4F:→ TBDuke: 光芒农场也太被低估了 01/30 14:43
5F:→ searoar: rondo和sale都是高中第一年就上3A 今年会不会直接上? 01/30 14:44
6F:→ searoar: Rodon... 01/30 14:44
7F:推 nasalei: Sale不只3A当年就直升大联盟 01/30 14:53
8F:→ nasalei: 话说ESPN硬是比官网早1天发布竞争意味浓啊 01/30 14:55
9F:推 SlamKai: O"_"O 红袜真强 01/30 15:03
10F:推 secpeda: Sano这麽後面喔 01/30 15:04
11F:→ JustinIdiot: 光芒农场的深度很好 问题是top prospect的数量不多 01/30 15:06
12F:→ JustinIdiot: 不过Keith Raw的想法说真的是比较独特… 01/30 15:06
13F:推 Zamned: Keith Law就是一个病情不轻的守位控啊 01/30 15:12
14F:推 ZaneTrout: 老大 01/30 15:12
15F:推 mison80086: 其实SANO一整年没打,不觉得这排名很後面 01/30 15:15
16F:推 alex710707: Blake Swihart, Braden Shipley, Eduardo Rodriguez, 01/30 15:30
17F:→ alex710707: 排名高得意外 01/30 15:30
18F:推 csy1911: Law比较重视新秀的upside,但Silverman补强农场比较希望 01/30 16:37
19F:→ csy1911: 新秀有一定的即战力,观念是相反的。与其说Law在选Baseba 01/30 16:37
20F:→ csy1911: ll prospects,倒不如说他在选适合打棒球的Athletes。 01/30 16:38
21F:推 csy1911: 过去像Shields、Cobb、Zobrist这些球员在Law的评价肯定 01/30 16:43
22F:→ csy1911: 都不会太高。 01/30 16:43
23F:推 mamaya3: 好多Top SS 01/30 17:06
24F:推 maxspeed150: 都有人把Swihart比作Posey了....不过这有点自嗨 01/30 17:16
25F:推 alex710707: 应该比较像Russell Martin 01/30 17:27
26F:推 lover19: K. Bryant 01/30 17:29
27F:推 bbbruce: 强到爆炸 01/30 17:42
28F:推 turkeyma: 勇士清仓之後,从29th 坐直昇机跳到 6th 01/30 17:57
29F:推 fountainNess: Bradley掉好多喔~ 01/30 17:59
30F:推 LBJCHA: 喔喔梅子~~~ 01/30 18:23
31F:推 FreeFly: Law本来就口味特殊 但是他也很有自己的一套 01/30 18:27
32F:→ FreeFly: 不然以他这麽机歪的嘴早就混不下去了 XD 01/30 18:28
33F:→ vg175: Law一直认为Luis Severino最後会进牛棚 显然到现在都没改变 01/30 19:08
34F:推 ChrisDavis: Gallo 3A撞墙排名直直掉 01/30 19:19
35F:推 weed222: 我梅好前面呀!! 01/30 19:33
36F:推 hakk: 很好奇目前各队的明星球员当初的排名是怎样 01/30 19:34
37F:推 julyrui92: 进来第一眼就看到老大(误) 01/30 19:35
38F:推 alex710707: 我记得好像在国外讨论网站看过,有一次有个live节目 01/30 19:40
39F:→ alex710707: 开放过外乡民问问题call in,Law被问倒恼怒挂电话,然後 01/30 19:40
40F:→ alex710707: 事後大骂节目工作人员 01/30 19:40
41F:推 k33536: 这篇出来又有人准备抢ID惹 01/30 20:59
42F:推 Zamned: Keith Law对他不看好的球员的评价是恶毒出名的 01/30 21:27
43F:推 alex710707: 他讲话真的蛮贱的 网路上回答球迷的问题也屌的要命 01/30 21:29
44F:→ alex710707: 写得好不好就不知道了 ESPN的要付钱 我宁愿花钱看BP 01/30 21:30
45F:推 Zamned: 他是真得有料,只是团队不大,而且他挺固执的。这份名单看 01/30 21:35
46F:→ Zamned: 看就好,按照往例,老美应该开骂了。 01/30 21:35
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
※ 转录者: Zamned (118.166.2.86), 01/30/2015 21:41:33
※ 编辑: Zamned (118.166.2.86), 01/30/2015 21:44:49
47F:→ Zamned: Didn't deserve any serious consideration. Call me when 01/30 21:55
48F:→ Zamned: he takes a pitch. 01/30 21:55
49F:→ Zamned: Keith Law对询问Almora的回应 01/30 21:56