作者Zamned (扎姆德)
看板Cubs
标题[情报] BP Jason Parks 谈新秀
时间Tue Aug 20 08:54:51 2013
短评:
这篇文章很简单,就不作翻译,这是一个讨论新秀比较的文章,说个大概就好。
一、BP相当看好Javier Baez的能力。对於Kris Bryant则不如BA那般喜爱。
BP认为现阶段Miguel Sano比Javier Baez更好,但Javier Baez的天分
更胜Miguel Sano(更好的长打潜力、更好的打者,比较对像Cano)。
二、Albert Almora这部分就没什麽好比的。Byron Buxton基本上完全碾压
Almora。BP现在把Albert Almora定调为非全明星级的新秀,而整段文
章都在告诉你Buxton有多好,虽然不是第一次看到这样的文章,但是地
板是Torii Hunter,真的盖恐怖啦~
三、Jorge Soler、Gregory Polanco那边则是由Gregory Polanco取胜。BP
认为两边很接近,但是Jorge Soler打的比赛较少(受伤),观察的时间
少,所以他选择较熟悉而更富运动能力的Gregory Polanco。
四、Jason Parks并不看好Alen Hanson,但是他认为Alen Hanson又较好的
天分,但是也不排除Arismendy Alcantara有更棒的大联盟职业生涯。
Jason Parks最後说:如果他是FO,他会选Arismendy Alcantara。
五、谈投手。Pierce Johnson会进BP TOP 101。C.J. Edwards在讨论之中,
但是Jason Parks非常不看好他。
*********
Javier Baez/Kris Bryant vs. Miguel Sano:
Parks: Baez has the highest ceiling of the trio, which is saying something
considering Bryant’s recent draft placement and Sano’s monster power
potential and present prospect status. Baez has the best bat speed in the
minors, the kind that will eventually be compared to the best in the game,
guys like Cano, et al. When discussing power, Sano is top of the food chain
in the minors (along with Joey Gallo of the Rangers), but Baez has just as
much raw power, as I’ve seen him go over the batter’s eye in dead center on
a line, a shot that was basically 440 ft. The power utility is showing its
face now, and if he can continue to temper his approach and keep himself in
favorable positions, he can continue to bring his power into the game.
He’s never going to be an on-base machine, as he’s aggressive mentality
will keep the bat moving and the ball in play. But he does have the potential
to hit for a high average, which is a big separator between him and Sano. A
good front office source just put a 6+ future on Baez’s bat, with 7 power,
meaning he could be a .285+ hitter with 30+ bombs. That’s a monster. Sano is
unlikely to find contact with such consistency, most likely developing into a
low average/high power/high strikeout type. Bryant could end up a 6/6 type,
which could put him in the same tier as Baez as far as offensive value is
concerned, but I think Baez has a much better defensive skill-set and is
likely to remain a left-side player, giving him the highest potential value
of the group.
---
Albert Almora vs. Byron Buxton:
Parks: Almora can show all five tools, with solid-average to plus projections
across the board from a premium spot on the field. Add to the equation an
intrinsic feel for the game, and his overall profile puts in the discussion
for being a top ten prospect in the game. Buxton is by far the best prospect
in baseball, with loud tools that can drown any and all in his class. He is a
legit elite runner that hasn’t even learned how to steal bases yet. His arm
is plus, his glove could be elite, and the combination makes him a potential
gold glove winner in centerfield at the highest level. His bat is more
advanced than expected, with easy plus bat speed and a knack for hard
contact. He isn’t a free swinger, and knows how to identify pitches and
shows an approach, so his attack at the plate isn’t one-dimensional. At the
end of the day, Buxton could be a high-average hitter, with elite speed and
solid-average power with top-shelf defense at a premium position. That’s one
of the best players in the game, and that’s a moderate projection, as some
in the industry have thrown 8 grades on his ceiling and compared his
potential to that of hall of famer level players. One source suggested his
floor was Torii Hunter and his ceiling was Willie Mays, and after a field
sobriety test, it was determined that the scout was stone sober and dead
serious. It’s lofty and borderline irresponsible to propagate, but his
talent is on a different level than his contemporaries.
---
Jorge Soler vs. Gregory Polanco:
Parks: I’d take Polanco over Soler, but mostly because I’ve been able to
put eyes on him during his career and I’m more familiar with his skill; I
think he’s a better all-around athlete, has more projection in the body, and
can match (if not exceed) Soler’s offensive potential. Soler’s season was
frustrating on several levels, but when he was healthy and on-the-field, it
was easy to dream on the future, as he looked the part of a prototypical
corner player, with 25+ home run potential. Polanco is most likely a right
fielder at the end of the day, but has the athleticism to play some
centerfield, and that swing from the left-side has the potential to hit for
average and power. They have similar profiles and similar ceilings, but I’ll
take the left-handed power and more projectable body. It’s close.
---
Arismendy Alcantara vs. Alen Hanson:
Parks: I’ve often felt that Hanson was overrated, despite the fact that he
was putting the bat on the ball at an advanced level at a very young age. I
still think he’s a promising player, but I don’t think he’s the
first-division talent that his early production might have suggested. He can
swing it, shows good pop for his size, and can run, so he can beat you in
several ways. He’s a legit prospect and a future major leaguer, but not a
high-impact type, in my opinion. Alcantara might not live on the same
prospect tier as Hanson, but I wouldn’t be shocked if he ends up having the
better major league career. Despite owning left-side tools, Alcantara is a
better fit for second base, where his throwing mechanics won’t be such an
issue and his range can really shine. He has the potential to be a very good
second baseman, a position that often gets overlooked next to its left-side
counterpart, but requires similar athleticism and coordination to properly
execute. At the plate, Alcantara isn’t a middle-of-the-order hitter that
will impact a lineup with his power; rather, he’s a catalytic player, with
very good speed, very quick hands capable of producing quality bat speed and
more pop than you would expect given his size. He has a lot of swing and
miss, and I don’t see a high-average player despite the speed. But he can
really drive the ball, especially to the pull-side, and if a pitcher sleeps
on his bat speed and tries to work him in, he can get the bat head around on
the ball and hurt you. Like Hanson, he’s probably a second-division type at
the highest level, but a very capable (and affordable) talent nonetheless,
and if I ran an organization and I had to pick either Hanson or Alcantara, I’
d take Alcantara.
---
有哪些投手新秀有机会进入TOP 101内:
Parks: Johnson has a shot at the 101; Edwards should be in the discussion as
well. I don’t love Edwards’ ceiling like some, but I’ve been around the
kid since he was drafted and I want to be wrong about the projection. With
Edwards, I see a short-burst reliever in the end, despite the easy delivery
and loose arm. I don’t see a high-end secondary offering, and I question his
physical ability to log 200+ a season at the highest level. The young arms
have taken a frustrating journey so far, but the potential is still in place,
so hopefully they can finish strong, take developmental steps forward this
off-season, and put their names back on prospect lists in 2014. The talent is
there.
--
やっ..........!!!!!!止めろペイモンこの野郎~~~~~~っ
地狱でいきなり圣书なんえ 読み上げやがってえ~~~~~~~~~っ!!杀すえおっ!!
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 61.228.123.63
1F:→ Zamned:妈啊 J.Zimmermann给力点啊~ 08/20 08:57
2F:→ Zamned:又一发 5:0小熊领先 08/20 09:07
3F:→ Zamned:Dioner Navarro三分炮 8:0 ... 08/20 09:28
4F:推 usausausa:这不是小熊!!!!! 08/20 09:28
5F:→ Zamned:又来一发 打疯了 08/20 10:03
6F:→ Zamned:蟹猴子双响炮 08/20 10:03
7F:→ Zamned:我们的核心球员变成打现断层 Zzzz 08/20 10:04
8F:→ Zamned:Murphy也来双响炮 08/20 10:13
9F:推 kerrywood12:感谢Jim Hendry在最後一年终於点了选秀技能 08/20 13:53
10F:推 alex710707:Baez挺屌的 以为上2A会碰钉子 结果打得更秋 08/20 17:17
11F:→ alex710707:虽然三振还是超多 08/20 17:18
12F:→ Zamned:他现在的三振是联盟平均水准 不过越低越好 08/20 18:39
13F:→ Zamned:选球也有出来 而且打击率默默的逼近三成 08/20 18:40
BA 2014 TOP10选秀
1. Carlos Rodon, lhp, North Carolina State
Spectacular summer with Team USA cements him as clear top prospect for now.
2. Jeff Hoffman, rhp, East Carolina
Starred in Cape Cod League last two summers with mid-90s fastball,
big-breaking curve.
3. Tyler Kolek, rhp, Shepherd (Texas) HS
His size (6-foot-6, 250-pounds), consistent upper-90s fastball make him the
top prep prospect.
4. Trea Turner, ss, North Carolina State
More than just a burner, he also offers hitting prowess and the ability to
stick at shortstop.
5. Alex Jackson, c/of, Rancho Bernardo HS, San Diego
Plays a premium position, has some of the best power potential in the 2014
crop.
6. Jacob Gatewood, ss, Clovis (Calif.) HS
Put on a show during Home Run Derby at Citi Field, may wind up at third base
down the road.
7. Tyler Beede, rhp, Vanderbilt
Can make hitters swing and miss with three pitches but can’t always control
and command them.
8. Touki Toussaint, rhp, Coral Springs (Fla.) Christian HS
Has struggled with command this summer but his premium stuff is impossible to
deny.
9. Brady Aiken, lhp/of, Cathedral Catholic HS, San Diego
Projectable athlete could have three plus pitches in time, reminds me of Trey
Ball at same stage.
10. Aaron Nola, rhp, Louisiana State
With his solid fastball, plus changeup and impressive pitchability, he’ll
move quickly in pro ball.
※ 编辑: Zamned 来自: 36.224.201.177 (08/20 19:00)
14F:推 fatjoe:"地板是Torii Hunter"这...这...只能说乐见其成XDDD 08/21 04:50
15F:推 tylercolvin:制服组明年会考虑日职洋将Wladimir Balentien吗? 08/21 17:17
16F:→ tylercolvin:这只今年听说已经43轰了...... 08/21 17:18
17F:推 alex710707:43场被K54次算不算平均水准我不知道 08/23 11:16
18F:→ Zamned:因为有很多三振都是刚升上来拿到的 刚上来好像就单场3-4K 08/23 11:20
19F:→ Zamned:後面就越来越好 有些三振也是在积极选球下产生的 08/23 11:21
20F:→ Zamned:在A+也是同样的问题 三振失误一开始都很惨 後面就回来了 08/23 11:22
21F:→ Zamned:而且他还很年轻 更是那种全力挥击型的 这样的数据可接受 08/23 11:26
22F:→ Zamned:当然 如果你拿他和Gary Sheffield作比较 那真的会失望 08/23 11:26
23F:→ Zamned:Javy Baez的三振率大概在23%左右 保送则是10%左右 08/23 11:33
24F:→ Zamned:确切数字是多少我有点忘了 但应相去不远 08/23 11:33
25F:推 ByronBuxton:你提供好多资料给小熊迷,认真 v( ̄︶ ̄)y 09/22 20:19
26F:→ ByronBuxton:不太想回,用推回几个想法: 09/22 20:19
27F:→ ByronBuxton:Trea Turner 大家对他了解多少? 09/22 20:20
28F:→ ByronBuxton:今年美国队的比赛有人看吗?相信我, 09/22 20:21
29F:→ ByronBuxton:他从左打击区到一垒只剩 4.15~4.3 秒的成绩 09/22 20:21
30F:→ ByronBuxton:在他没证明他可以回到大一那种 80 分的速度, 09/22 20:22
31F:→ ByronBuxton:他不会是 Top 10 的人选,Beede 的问题也说过了, 09/22 20:24
32F:→ ByronBuxton:有身材、stuff、乾净的投球动作,但是但是 09/22 20:24
33F:→ ByronBuxton:他的 command 和 control 会影响他的身价。 09/22 20:25
34F:→ ByronBuxton:Aaron Nola = Jeremy Hellickson... 09/22 20:26
35F:→ ByronBuxton:高中投手是这届最强的地方,又强又深, 09/22 20:27
36F:→ ByronBuxton:Grant Holmes、Kodi Medeiros、Cobi Johnson... 09/22 20:28
37F:→ ByronBuxton:还有一位教练这麽说:Dylan Cease 有状元身价XD 09/22 20:28
38F:→ Zamned:Beede的Command完全消失了 他可能掉到10-15这个位子 09/22 21:13
39F:→ Zamned:Trea Turner 一个小熊的职业球探满看好他的 09/22 21:16
40F:→ Zamned:他是小熊可能选的到新秀 09/22 21:17
41F:→ Zamned:至於他近况如何 我就不清楚了 09/22 21:18