※ [本文转录自 NBA 看板 #1KvTBjWd ] 作者: ddrose (Windy City Assassin) 看板: NBA 标题: [专栏] 公牛交易大限前分析 时间: Thu Feb 19 20:11:17 2015 http://ppt.cc/7vI7 公牛交易大限前分析 By JayPatt The trade deadline is Thursday, but don't expect many fireworks from the Bulls. While the Bulls have some assets and could use a bit more help on the bench, they don't have a track record of making in-season moves, and there's little reason to expect that to change this season. 交易截止日是美国时间礼拜四, 从历史来看, 不要太期待公牛在季中会有甚麽动作, 以下 是几点原因 Taj Gibson was mentioned as a possible trade candidate, but that was more speculation than a legitimate trade rumor. The Bulls have also been linked to Arron Afflalo,but Grantland's Zach Lowe says the Nuggets' asking price for Afflalo is high (multiple first-rounders), and Chicago seems hesitant to part ways with those types of assets: 虽然Taj陷入各种交易流言中,但可能性都不高, 公牛交易Affalo也是一个常出现流言, 但 消息来源指出,金块要价太高, 要求多个首轮签, 使得公牛却步 I understand the hesitation about trading future firsts, because those rookie contracts are valuable (and will become even more valuable with the exploding cap) and the Bulls have generally done a nice job picking late. But the Bulls are in position to win now, and if there's a good deal out there that could be made by cashing in on a future draft pick, I'd be for it. 我明白首轮签的价值, 尤其公牛近年挑选秀的挑不错, 但是公牛追求Win Now, 如果有值 得交易的对象, 公牛应该去寻求 For what it's worth, Lowe barely mentions the Bulls in his trade deadline primer, giving even more reason to believe nothing much will happen. However, the trade of Luol Dengwas a surprise after many said it wouldn't happen, so never rule anything out. If nothing does happen, definitely keep an eye on the buyouts. Could a guy like Gary Nealfeel rejuvenated in Chicago? Maybe. 然而别忘了Deng被交易的惊讶, 永远别说不可能, 公牛也许会密切注意被买断的球员, 也 许Gary Neal会在芝加哥焕发青春也说不定 Even if a trade is unlikely, let's take a look at the assets the Bulls have at their disposal. I'm not going to include Derrick Rose, Jimmy Butler, Joakim Noah, Pau Gasol, Nikola Mirotic and Mike Dunleavy because I'm assuming there's no chance any of them are dealt. 即使交易发生机率很低, 但让我们来检视一下公牛所拥有的资产, 我不会包括Rose JB Noah Gasol Dunleavy 还有Nikola Mirotic Taj Gibson: While Gibson has regressed this season, he's on an affordable contract for the next two years and still plays a significant role on the team. The Bulls will need his normal defensive prowess (which he must regain) against the other Eastern Conference contenders in the postseason, so I'd be wary of dealing him. I'm not trading Gibson in any deal for Afflalo for Wilson Chandler, although I would be intrigued by Goran Dragic, who supposedly is on the block thanks to the glut of guards in Phoenix. The issue with Dragic, though, is he would almost certainly be gone at the end of this year after he opts out of his current. Could you imagine the Bulls paying big money to both Dragic and Butler? Hell no. There's also the whole don't trade big-for-small thing, although I'd probably try and snag Miles Plumlee as well to help replace Gibson. 即使Taj表现有点退步, Taj未来两年的薪水是合理且负担的起, 他依旧在球队扮演重要角 色, 公牛会需要他的防守来对抗其他东区季後赛队伍, 因此我不会交易他来换取Affalo 或是Wilson Chandler虽然我被Dragic所吸引, Dragic 看来本季结束是走定了,但公牛有 钱同时花在Jimmy Butler以及Dragic身上吗?不可能, 尤其别忘了,千万不要拿大个子锋线 换取小个子後卫, 如此会对球队产生个大洞, 虽然我会试着让Miles Pumplee来填补Taj如 果交易掉的空缺 Tony Snell: Snell is an interesting case. A few weeks ago, I'm actively shopping him in an effort to upgrade the roster for this year. Now, the Bulls have to decide whether his recent excellent play is a flash in the pan or a positive sign of things to come. Would the Bulls sell high and take the risk of looking bad if he continues to play well? I'm guessing no, because he still has two cheap years left on his rookie contract and could be pretty valuable moving forward if Mike Dunleavy is gone after this season. Still, Snell isn't untouchable by any means. Snell的情况很有趣, 几周前, 我把他放在个种交易包裹中, 现在公牛必须决定他近几场 的好表现是意外, 还是一个破茧而出的迹象, 公牛会承担交易他, 他在别队打出好表现的 风险? 我想公牛应该不会, 别忘了他还有两年新秀便宜合约, 且他可以填补如果本季结束 Dunleavy离去的空缺, 因此Snell是绝对不能被交易的 Doug McDermott: McDermott was bad before he got hurt and can't get on the floor even when healthy now. It's become painfully obvious that Tom Thibodeau doesn't trust McDermott, and it's looking like this will be a redshirt season, even if the Bulls could use his shooting. Even so, it's unlikely that the Bulls will trade the rookie. We know the front office loves him, and they invested a lot by trading up to get him in this past draft. And while he looked awful at the beginning of the year, I still feel like he can at least carve out a niche in the NBA thanks to his shooting, which is sure to improve. 新秀Doug Mcdermott在他受伤前就表现不佳, 悲伤的说, McD得不到Thib的信任, 即使他 是一名公牛所需的射手, 他本季大部分时间应该还是会坐板凳, 即使如此, 公牛不太可能 交易他, 尤其我们都知道公牛office爱他, 当初花了不少功夫才拿到选他的选秀权, 即使 他看来有点挣扎, 但相信未来他可以藉由他的神射来突破瓶颈, 这是毫无疑问的 Kings pick: The Kings first-rounder acquired from the Cavaliers in the Deng trade is top 10 protected until 2017, and it turns into a second-rounder if the Kings don't draft outside the top 10 by 2017. Sacramento currently has the sixth-worst record in the league this season, but a strong close to the year under new head coach George Karl could get the Kings outside the top 10. (The Kings are 2½ games worse than the Celtics, who have the 11th-worst record.) And even if it doesn't happen this year, there's reason to believe Sacramento will be better next year. 对选秀签不熟, 有错请见谅 国王从骑士Deng交易案得到的的首轮签, 是受保护到2017, 如果国王没有掉到选秀第十顺 位以後, 这支首轮签会变成二轮签, 本季国王在联盟拥有第六烂成绩, 目前国王距离第十 一名烂塞尔提克有两场半, 但相信在Karl值教後, 国王战绩会比今年好(结论应该这支会 变二轮签) Bulls picks: When it's all said and done, the Bulls' own first-rounder is sure to fall in the 20s. However, if the Bulls finish with a better record than the Cavaliers, the two teams will swap picks, so Chicago has that going for them. The Bulls don't own any second-round picks in the 2015 draft. 以目前看来公牛自己的首轮签将会掉到20名以後, 但是如果公牛战绩比骑士好, 公牛可以 跟骑士对换首轮签, 公牛2015没有任何二轮签 Trade filler: If the Bulls need to match salaries on a trade, they could look to include guys like Kirk Hinrich, Aaron Brooks, E'Twaun Moore, Nazr Mohammed and Cameron Bairstow. Hinrich and Mohammed both have the right to veto any trades they're included in because of the one-year contracts with full Bird rights they signed this past offseason (Hinrich's second year is an option), while Kirk also has a 15 percent trade kicker. 公牛如果想要完成交易, 可以运用Kirk Hinrich 小AB E'Twaun Moore, 老穆和Cameron Bairstow, K队长跟老穆都有交易否决权 ddrose 源自於对DRose的热爱 -- → kerry0496x: 久违的双手爆扣!!!!!!!! 12/28 14:35 → kerry0496x: 他拿MVP那年 双口爆扣跟吃饭一样QAQ 12/28 14:36 推 FredHe: Rose也懂口爆!? 请洽KG... 12/28 14:47 推 chht40040: 双口爆跟吃饭一样QAQ 12/28 15:00 推 jtch: XD 吃饭 12/28 15:30 --

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※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ※ 转录者: AhUtopian (39.10.31.250), 02/20/2015 00:12:53