原文连结 https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-jayson-tatum-changed-his-game-and- became-a-star/ https://reurl.cc/245jyO How Jayson Tatum Changed His Game And Became A Star By Jared Dubin Filed under NBA https://i.imgur.com/CfgXAZk.jpg Jayson Tatum of the Boston Celtics seems to be making the leap to stardom. CARMEN MANDATO / GETTY IMAGES Back in 2017, the Boston Celtics secured the No. 1 overall selection in the NBA draft thanks to a pick swap acquired in the famed Paul Pierce/Kevin Garnett blockbuster trade. Just about everyone thought that University of Washington guard Markelle Fultz was the top available prospect, but Celtics general manager Danny Ainge saw things differently. Rather than standing pat and selecting the player nearly everyone viewed as the best prospect, Ainge traded down and almost immediately declared that he expected to get the same player at No. 3 that he would have taken at No. 1. 早在2017，波士顿赛尔提克队在选秀会上获得了第一顺位，由於在着名的PP/KG的重磅炸弹 交易案中获得了选秀签交换权。几乎每个人都认为华盛顿大学後卫Fultz是最佳潜力新秀， 但是安吉却有不同见解。没有打安全牌去选择公认的最佳新秀，安吉向下交易而且几乎立 即宣布他在第三顺位得到他预期会在第一指名选择的新秀。 The twists and turns taken by Fultz’s career were hardly foreseeable, but three years in, Ainge is looking pretty prescient for having identified Jayson Tatum as his guy. Fresh off the first All-Star appearance of his career, Tatum is in the process of taking the leap to stardom. Fultz的职涯曲折是无法预料的，但是三年下来，安吉选择Tatum似乎颇具先见之明。Tatum 在他职涯第一个全明星赛场崭露头角後，就开始跃向明星之路。 He’s working on career-best averages in points, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks, free throws and threes per game and per 36 minutes, as well as high marks in more advanced measurements like player efficiency rating and rates for usage, rebounds, assists, steals and blocks. In his last 14 games prior to the break (and specifically in the first half finale against the Clippers), Tatum seemed to reach even greater heights: He averaged 26.6 points, 7.0 rebounds, 3. 1 assists, 1.5 steals and one block per game during that stretch, scorching the nets to the tune of 50 percent from the field, 44.5 percent from three and a 61.8 true shooting percentage. Tatum的得分，篮板，助攻，抄截，火锅，罚球跟三分球不管是per game或per 36 mins都 达到生涯新高，并在进阶数据上如PER，Usage rate，篮板率，助攻率，抄截率，火锅率等 也很突出。而在明星赛周前14场比赛（特别是上半季最後一场对快艇的比赛），Tatum达到 更高的高度。这段期间他场均26.6分7.0篮板3.1助攻1.5抄截还有1个火锅，同时有火热手 感，FG% 50.0%，3P% 44.5%，TS% 61.8%。 Last year, Tatum was often criticized for indulging in too many of the game’s worst shots: long twos. He came into this season vowing to get better looks, and he has indeed shifted his shot distribution in a far more desirable direction. Only 8.8 percent of his shot profile is comprised of attempts between 16 and 23 feet from the basket, down from 16.9 percent a year ago. Overall, he is taking a far greater share of his shots from three and inside the paint, and far fewer from the midrange area. 去年，Tatum因沉迷在比赛中屡次出手那些高难度投篮(long two)而饱受批评。他进入这个 赛季发誓要看起来更好，实际上，Tatum的投篮分布已经朝着更理想的方向发展。他只有 8.8%的出手是介於16尺-23尺，从去年的16.9%下降了不少。总体而言，他内线还有三分线 的出手比例提高许多，而中距离则下降不少。 Share of shots by area on the court for Jayson Tatum in each of his first three seasons https://i.imgur.com/CXxbKq2.png Those tweaks have allowed Tatum to take a step forward in shooting efficiency despite increasing his usage rate by 6 percentage points, not finishing quite as well near the rim and only shooting a tick better from beyond the arc than he did a year ago. Perhaps even more impressively, Tatum has made these strides while creating more of his own looks than ever before. During his rookie year, 56.5 percent of his 2-point baskets were assisted, according to Basketball- Reference.com. That figure is now down to 46.2 percent. The same trend is apparent with his triples, which were assisted 92.4 percent of the time during his rookie season but have been so only 60.3 percent of the time this year. 尽管Tatum的USG%提高了6%，但是这些调整使Tatum的投篮效率向前迈进一步，虽然在禁区 附近的命中率没以前好，而且只比前一年的3P%高一点。或许更令人印象深刻的是，Tatum 取得了这些进步，同时创造了自己前所未有的样貌。根据B-R网站数据，他的新秀赛季两分 球受助攻率56.5%。现在这个数字已经降到46.2%。同样的趋势在他的三分球也很明显，新 秀赛记三分球受助攻率达92.4%，今年则只有60.3%。 Tatum was a clear-cut complementary player(His 19.5 percent usage rate was below the league average.) as a rookie and more of a secondary option behind Kyrie Irving last year (Tatum and Jaylen Brown tied for second among Celtics rotation players in usage last season, each checking in 7.5 percentage points behind Irving., but his shot-creating ability was one ) of his selling points as a college player, and tapping into that skill set this year has allowed him to take on co-lead scorer duties with Kemba Walker. Tatum在菜鸟时是明显的绿叶球员（他的USG%是19.5%，比联盟平均低。)，去年则是KI後 大多数的第二选择（Tatum和Brown上赛季USG%并列轮替第二，落後给KI 7.5%），但是他 的投篮创造能力在大学时期是一大卖点。而今年这项技能使他得以跟Kemba Walker共同 承担第一出手点的责任。 The Celtics’ confidence in Tatum’s ability to create with the ball in his hands is apparent in the distribution of his touches, which now allow him to work on the ball far more often. According to Second Spectrum, 63 percent of action involving Tatum during his rookie season was off the ball (i.e., off- ball screens and dribble hand-offs) compared with 37 percent on the ball (i.e., pick and rolls, isolations and post-ups). This season, those numbers have nearly flipped: On-ball action now accounts for 58 percent of Tatum’s total. 赛尔提克对於Tatum处理球的能力充满信心，从他触球分布上可以明显看出，他现在更频繁 持球。根据Second Spectrum的数据，新秀赛季中Tatum所进行的动作中有63%处於无球状态 （即无球掩护以及运球递手传球），而在持球状态（挡拆、单打以及背框单打中仅37%）。 这个赛季这些数据几乎翻背：现在持球状态几乎来到58%。 Jayson Tatum's share of on-ball vs. off-ball plays by season https://i.imgur.com/ACEmFpE.png Tatum has also rewarded the Celtics for their faith in his ability to self- create. He has been a more efficient scorer in all of the aforementioned actions this season, but the strides he’s taken in isolation and the pick and roll have been particularly impressive. Tatum以优异的表现回报赛尔提克相信他的得分创造能力。这个赛季他在上述所有持球动作 已经是更有效率的得分手，但他单打脚步还有挡拆特别令人印象深刻。 Boston Celtics points per possession with Jayson Tatum as a ball handler on isolation and pick-and-roll plays https://i.imgur.com/fH0dlkb.png Tatum has always had a strong package of scoring moves, but this season — and especially in recent weeks — he has used the whole set of tools together with more regularity. His handle has gotten tighter, and he’s turning the ball over less often. He’s added some shake to his game, which has allowed him to create more separation with his defender and get to his spots on the drive more consistently. He’s been more decisive in isolation situations, putting together quick combinations of moves that leave his defender in the dust and don’t allow time for a helper to get over and disrupt his path. Tutam总是有很好的得分脚步，但是这个球季，特别是近几周，他把他所有的得分工具一并 使出且更加规律。他处理球越来越严密，而且回球频率下降了。他增加了一些假晃，使他 与防守者拉开空间，并更加稳定到切入攻击点。在单打情况下，他更果段将快速的脚步组 合在一起，使後卫只能在後面吃土，而且没有足够的时间让协防者去阻挠他的切入。 https://streamable.com/6ir3w In pick and rolls, he has shown a particular affinity for “putting the defender in jail.” Tatum will often take the screen moving in one direction, then slow down while he snakes back behind the screener, stick his butt into the defender’s stomach, use a subtle forearm shiver to create some space and finally hit the jets toward the rim — all of which allows him to finish more cleanly than if he had just attacked the defender right away. Tatum’s change of pace can result in the helper backing off and occasionally backpedaling his way right into an additional screen, which prevents him from challenging Tatum ’s shot. 在挡拆中，他表现出特别的吸引力「将防守者送入监狱」。Tatum通常会把掩护者朝一个方 向移动，然後放慢速度，当他蜿蜒回到掩护者後，将他屁股顶住防守者肚子，用细微的前 臂颤抖来创造一些空间，最後像喷射机加速攻击篮框，比直接攻击防守者乾净许多。Tatum 的脚步变话可能会使协防者退缩，并偶尔将自己的脚步退後到另一个掩护者，以避免协防 者封阻Tatam的投篮。 https://streamable.com/yh7cr As impressive as he’s been offensively, Tatum has probably been even better on defense this season. He currently ranks third in the entire NBA in ESPN.com’s Defensive Real Plus-Minus and is a legitimate candidate for a spot on the All- Defensive first team. 尽管Tatum在进攻方面让人印象深刻，但是Tatum本赛季在防守上可能会更好。目前，他在 ESPN的防守真时正负值排行榜中名列联盟第三，并且是入选最佳防守阵容一队合情合理的 候选人。 His activity level is higher than ever, which has led to his posting career highs so far in blocks, steals and deflections per game and per 36 minutes. And playing almost exclusively as a power forward or center has freed Tatum to roam a bit more often, which has helped the Celtics stave off the defensive drop-off many (myself included) predicted when they lost Al Horford to the 76ers and traded Aron Baynes to the Suns last offseason. Tatum的活动水平比以往更高，这导致他迄今为止每场比赛或每36分钟的火锅、抄截和 Deflection都达职业生涯高峰。而且几乎完全是以大前锋或中锋出赛，这让Tatum更加自由地 协防，帮助赛尔提克避免许多人（包括作者本身）预测争夺Horford输给76ers以及交易 Baynes会出现的防守漏洞。 注：deflections这项数据是用来评断「防守者干扰到球的路径上，不论是让球的方向改变、失 误 或是让球出界」依照此数据来评断一个球员的防守积极性。 Boston has done well to weaponize Tatum’s versatility, freely switching him onto opponents at any position, at any time. According to an analysis of Second Spectrum matchup data by Krishna Narsu of Nylon Calculus, Tatum is one of only three players in the league (Minimum 500 minutes played.) who has spent at least 19 percent of his defensive possessions guarding each of point guards, shooting guards, small forwards and power forwards. He has done so well against primary ball-handlers that the Celtics have even had him defending players like Chris Paul and Trae Young in the fourth quarter of recent games. 波士顿在利用Tatum多样性使其武器化作得很好，可以随时随地让他自由换防任何位置的对 手。根据Nylon Calculus网站作家Krishna Narsu在Second Spectrum的分析，Tatum是联盟 唯三至少花19%防守回合在防守控球後卫、得分後卫、小前锋和大前锋上。 （至少打500分钟） 他在与主要控球手的表现十分出色，甚至在最近第四节都让他防守Chris Paul、Trae Young等球员。 Tatum has done a better job of defending with his feet and his chest rather than his arms and his hands, which has helped him slash his blowby rate to the lowest point of his three-year career, per Second Spectrum. In this montage, his prowess is on display: He can quickly transition from defending a ball- handler to switching onto a screener to helping on the drive to closing out on a shooter, and make it all look fairly routine — even while working against some of the NBA’s best players. Tatum在用脚还有胸部防守而不是用上肢防守做得很好，这使他漏人率降到生涯新低。在这 剪辑中，他的才华得以展现，他可以迅速从防守控球员替换为防守掩护者，再去封阻射手 ，这一切都显得相当常规，即使在防守的对手是NBA最佳球员之一。 https://streamable.com/mkxsm As if his improvements as an individual offensive hub and an all-around defender weren’t enough, Tatum has also made gains as both a rebounder and a passer. 似乎他作为独立进攻中枢和全能防守者的提升还不够，Tatum同时在篮板手跟传球手也有所 成长。 According to Second Spectrum, he’s corralling rebounds 2.33 percent more often than expected, which ranks 38th out of the 160 players who have been on the floor for at least 2,000 rebound chances this season through the All-Star break . That rate is also nearly double the one he posted during his rookie campaign. Tatum has also notched career highs in his 5.1 potential assists per game, as well as the 7.6 points per game he’s created with those assists. Tatum’s dishes have yielded a career-best 52.6 percent expected effective field-goal percentage this season, and he is creating more high-value opportunities than ever before. (While 89 percent of the shots created by his passes this season have resulted in shots in the paint or beyond the arc, that number was 80.1 percent last season and 81.2 percent during his rookie season.) 根据Second Spectrum的统计，Tatum的控制篮板率比预期高2.33%，在上半季至少有2000个 篮板机会的160名球员中，他排名第38位。这个数据也几乎是他在新秀期间的两倍。Tatum 还创造职涯新高的单场5.1潜在助攻，他藉由这些助攻创造每场7.6分。Tatum的传球创造的 机会在本赛季预期eFG%52.6%达生涯新高，而且他创造前所未有的高效出手机会。 （这些出手机会89%是在禁区或三分线，这个数字在上季是80.1%，菜鸟赛季是81.2%） Tatum’s strides as a defender, rebounder and playmaker have allowed him to contribute at a high level even in the odd game when his shot isn’t falling. This type of all-around growth is what takes a player from promising young talent to All-Star. Continuing that growth and also building consistency on a night-to-night basis takes that same player from All-Star to superstar. Tatum has conquered the first part of that process, and he may be on his way to achieving the second. Tatum作为防守者、篮板手和组织者的显着进步，让他即使在打铁的少数几场比赛也能发挥 高水平。这种全方位的成长是使球员从有前途的年轻天赋好手成长到全明星的原因。继续 成长，并在每晚都持续发挥将使Tatum从全明星成长成超级巨星。Tatum目前已经做到第一 部分，他可能正在实现第二部分，走在通往超级巨星的路上。 作者: Jared Dubin is a New York writer and lawyer. He covers the NFL for CBS and the NBA elsewhere. @jadubin5 Reddit看到的538网站好文，虽然538在预测2016总统大选烙赛XD 很少有翻译这种长篇的机会，有错请指正，感恩! 另外JT持续明星赛周前的表现说不定有机会拿年度最佳进步球员。 -reddit乡民懒人包 Tl;dr less mid range shots, more shots at rim (though still could improve efficiency here), more 3s and better in pick and roll Tl;dr = too long; didn't read 懒人包：少投中距离，多打禁区（虽然禁区命中率还有提升效率空间），多打三分和更好 的pick and roll。 --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 114.34.235.99 (台湾) ※ 文章网址: https://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/Celtics/M.1582449010.A.1BF.html ※ 编辑: Coetzee (114.34.235.99 台湾), 02/24/2020 01:12:21 ※ Coetzee:转录至看板 NBA 02/24 07:25