http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120485693123318577.html?mod=weekend_leisure_ 这篇文章是根据上个月红鸟在网站上发起的活动而写的。 如有不适，我再删文。 If you've ever dreamed of being a Major League Baseball scout, your day has come. 你曾梦想着成为大联盟球探吗?机会来了。 Last month, the St. Louis Cardinals announced a novel contest: Fans are invited to submit scouting reports on promising college ballplayers. The "One for the Birds" contest is meant to help the team find talent at smaller, non-Division I colleges that don't get much attention from scouts. Fans file entries by going to the Cardinals' Web site and filling out a form, including the player's name, statistics and a summarized recommendation of up to 300 words and other information. When the submissions are in, the team plans to send its own scouts to evaluate a handful of the most interesting prospects and, in June, to possibly select one or more of them in baseball's amateur draft. The winning fan -- the one whose entry is judged most compelling, whether a player is drafted or not -- gets a trip to St. Louis to see a pair of ball games. 上个月，圣路易红雀发起一项新活动:邀请球迷送份关於有前途的大学球员的球探报告。 "One For The Birds"这项活动在於帮助球队找寻有才能但未被球探注意到的smaller, non-Division I colleges的球员。球迷可上红雀官网提交报告，填好格式:包括球员姓名 、数据、三百字以上的简单建议以及其他资讯。当报告提出後，球队计画将报告交给球探 去评估一些有趣的新秀；并且在六月时，有可能在选秀时挑选这些球员。无论球迷所报告 的球员有无被球队选上，只要这份报告写得最令人信服，其作者就成为这项活动的赢家。 而这位赢家可获邀到圣路易看个两场比赛。 "We don't have a monopoly on baseball knowledge," says Sig Mejdal, the Cardinals' senior quantitative analyst who helped create the contest. "Just looking at the fan sites and posting boards, you see an amazing amount of energy. Why not harness it?" 帮助发起这项活动的红雀资深数据分析家Sig Mejdal说，"不是只有我们才懂棒球。逛逛 那些球迷网站或是讨论版，对於他们那繁盛的讨论你一定会感到惊奇。那为什麽不好好利 用呢?" The Cardinals' program is believed to be the first of its kind, but several sports franchises -- especially baseball teams -- have also begun to breach the divide that traditionally separates fans from team management. Last season, the Seattle Mariners used a report prepared by a friendly blogger to help one of the team's young pitchers. And one independent-league team from Illinois allowed fans to set the team's starting lineup. 红雀的这项活动将是个创举。但其实有一些运动，特别是棒球，已开始打破传统上球迷与 球队管理间的分界线。上个球季，西雅图水手队就利用一位部落客的报告来帮助队上一位 年轻的投手。而伊利诺州一个独立联盟的球队也让球迷为他们安排先发打线。 These moves are often aimed at improving public relations. But they also suggest a new line of thinking among owners and managers of sports franchises. In recent years, there has been a proliferation of independent team-centric Web sites where partisan fans -- some of whom are mathematicians or scientists with Ph.D.s -- share their own enlightened statistical research and scouting analyses. Teams haven't just taken notice -- they are looking for ways to leverage all this brainpower. 这些改变常用来增进公共关系。而球迷也对职业球团拥有者提供新的思考方式。近年来， 许多以球队为主的私人网站激增。在这些网站上，更有些数学或是科学博士之类的球队支 持者提供他们所撰写的优异数据研究以及球探分析。球队不只会对这些感到有兴趣，他们 更找寻着该如何利用这些智囊团的力量的方法。 Baseball is the latest business to take tentative steps toward tapping into a concept known as "the wisdom of crowds" (the title of a James Surowiecki book), the idea that a group can make some judgments better than an individual. Industries from computer programming to drug making have been turning to the opinions of skilled amateur observers and open "prediction markets" to help with everything from designing software to deciding where to mine for gold. Hewlett-Packard Co., for example, asks its employees to predict the firm's revenue and profit as a supplement to its own forecasts. 棒球是最新的一项尝试采取"群众智慧"观念的职业运动(群众智慧:James Surowiecki的书 名)，这观念讲述团体的决策优於个人的决定。从电脑工程到药物制作这些行业，都已经藉 由专精的业余观察者提供的意见、以及开放的"预测市场"，来协助从软体设计到寻找金矿 等一切大小事物。(下列例子与棒球无关，故省略) Of the major American sports, baseball stands to benefit most from this strategy. Unlike pro basketball and football teams, which draft only a handful of players, baseball clubs will draft some 1,500 players each year out of a pool of tens of thousands. The pool encompasses not just high-school phenoms and big-college stars but also players from smaller schools. Albert Pujols, the Cardinals' All-Star first baseman, was the 402nd overall pick in the 1999 draft out of Metropolitan Community College-Maple Woods (Mo.). 在美国职业运动里，棒球是最早从这项策略中获益的运动。不像职业篮球或美式足球，每 年只挑选出少数新秀；每年棒球运动从上万名选手中挑选出约1500名球员。这些候选球员 不只包含出色的高中球员与明星大学的球星，也有些人来自於一些不知名的学校。红雀明 星一垒手Albert Pujols就是在1999年在第402个顺位从Metropolitan Community College- Maple Woods (Mo.)被选中。 Since the emergence of baseball analyst Bill James in the early 1980s, baseball has had a strong tradition of populist research. For many years, teams largely ignored the work of these unpaid fans. But lately, they have are starting to acknowledge it and, in some cases, use it to help the team win. 自从1980年代初期一位棒球分析者Bill James的出现，棒球开启了平民分析的盛大传统。 多年来，棒球队伍忽略了许多球迷所做出来的分析。但到了最近，他们开始体认到这些研 究并且使用它们来帮助球队获胜。 Last season, Dave Cameron, co-founder of U.S.S. Mariner, the Web site of choice for obsessive fans of the Seattle Mariners, said he had grown tired of watching one of the team's starting pitchers, Felix Hernandez, get bombed by opposing hitters early in games. He did a pitch-by-pitch analysis of Mr. Hernandez's starts, which revealed an overreliance on fastballs. Mr. Cameron then wrote an open letter to the Mariners' pitching coach, urging him to tell Mr. Hernandez to throw more off-speed pitches in the early innings. 上个球季，一个水手迷的网站－U.S.S Mariner的联合创立者Dave Cameron说他已经厌倦看 着队上的先发投手Felix Hernandez在开赛前几局被对手狂轰烂炸。他对King Felix的先发 投球做了每一球的分析；这分析透漏出King Felix对快速球的过度依赖。接着Cameron寄了 封公开信给水手队的投手教练，劝告他告诉King Felix在开赛初期多多使用变化球。 The pitching coach showed the letter to Mr. Hernandez, who made the suggested adjustment and shut out the Oakland Athletics for eight innings in a subsequent start. 投手教练将信转给King Felix看。接着King Felix依照建议做了修正并在接下来对奥克兰 运动家的比赛中完封了八局。 The Schaumburg Flyers, an independent-league team just outside of Chicago, have taken fan involvement to a different level, albeit partly for publicity. During the second half of the 2006 season, the team allowed fans to vote online to select the Flyers' lineup. The results were disastrous: After going 31-17 during the first half under conventional management, the Flyers went 15-33 in the second. 而在芝加哥外围一个独立联盟的球队Schaumburg Flyers，让球迷参与不同的球队决策－虽 然只是部分公开而已。在2006年的下半季，Flyers让球迷在线上为球队打线做安排。结果 引发一场大灾难。上半季在传统管理时，Flyers成绩为31胜17败；到了下半季，成绩则来 到15胜33败。(XD) Richard Ehrenreich, the Flyers' managing partner, says he believes in the wisdom of crowds. He blames the team's second-half slide on injuries and player departures and says the team may bring back the program this season. "It gets fans involved," he says. "It's a way to grow the sport." Flyers的管理夥伴Richard Ehrenreich则说他信任群众的智慧。他将下半季的失败归咎於 球员的受伤及离队；并且还说下个球季还会继续使用这个计画。"这让观众一同参与，并且 还是可让运动成长的一种方法。" ▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁ 这是球队活动的官方网页，有兴趣的可以看一下: http://stlouis.cardinals.mlb.com/stl/fan_forum/oneforthebirds_index.jsp 台湾的球员应该不能写吧:P 其实这个idea蛮有趣的，让球迷尝试做主的滋味。 棒球版每到国际赛就有永无止境的打序文， 要是中华队也采用"球迷当家"的策略不知会怎样? (我是觉得会被一大堆乡民搞垮啦XD) GM Mo上任以後对於小联盟部门做了很大的改变。 希望未来能够开花结果，也希望这个计画能为球队带来优异选手。 有人要写吗?可以去看球赛喔~ --

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