翻到一半才知道，这文章主要是给Fantasy Baseball的玩家看的 2019 Milwaukee Brewers Season Preview: Can they go beyond their 2018 achievements? 2019酿酒人赛季预览，他们能超越2018的表现吗? Yahoo团队 Yahoo Sports Mar 21, 2019, 1:49 PM In case you didn't pay attention to baseball in 2018, you might have missed this: The Milwaukee Brewers are good. Really good, in fact. Like, made-it-to-the-NLCS-and-pushed-the-Dodgers-to-seven-games good. 话说在前头以免你2018没看棒球，密尔瓦基酿酒人很强 事实上、非常强。大概像打进 国联冠军战，还跟道奇缠斗到第七战这麽强。 And the Brewers' offseason moves have them looking even better. 然後酒鬼季後的动作让他们看起来甚至更强了 The Brewers won the NL Central last year with their potent bullpen and an MVP performance from Christian Yelich. After adding Yasmani Grandal as their new catcher and re-signing Mike Moustakas and moving him to second base, the Brewers’ lineup is stacked. 去年酒鬼凭藉着铁牛棚与帮主的MVP表现赢得了国联中区冠军。在签下新捕手Grandal和 签回Moose把他移防到二垒後，酒鬼打线可说是富到流油 The only question mark is the starting pitching, where there's no eye-popping ace. However, it's mostly the same group that got it done last year, so doubting the Brewers at this point might be futile. The bullpen — led by the versatile Josh Hader and closer Corey Knebel — can more than pick up the slack. 唯一的问题是先发投手没有明显的王牌。但是这同一批人马去年就做到了，所以在这个 时间点担心也没用。牛棚由万能的Hader与终结者Knebel领军，他们能做到的事远超过 收拾残局。 The Brewers are deep, versatile and dangerous, whether we're talking about reality or fantasy. And they might just be the best team in the NL Central. 无论我们在讲的是现实还是FB，酒鬼都既有深度、全面、并且危险。他们大概是国联 中区最好的队伍。 Brewers' offseason grade The Brewers made upgrades, some unexpected. They weren't, for example, the team you expected to sign Grandal. But they also didn't do a ton to upgrade their starting pitching, which seems to be their only weakness. As we said above, they have proven they can win with what they have, but it still would have been a way to improve the team's path to victory in a tough NL. 酒鬼做了些升级，尽管出乎意料。例如他们签下了Grandal，然後也没有在唯一的缺点 、先发阵容上做出补强。但正如我们刚提到的，他们已经证明可以用现有的阵容赢球， 但是这依然是在竞争激烈的国联取得胜利的一种方法。 There have been rumors lately that they're interested in signing Craig Kimbrel, which could make that daunting bullpen even better and perhaps even lessen the importance of their starters, so watch for that. 有八卦说最近他们想签下金宝让这令人害怕的牛棚变得更夸张，甚至可能让先发投手的 重要性降低，这是需要注意的。 Our grade: C+ — But a Kimbrel signing would definitely change that. - Mike Oz Brewers’ projected lineup and pitching staff 打线预测 实际开季打线 1. Lorenzo Cain, CF 1. Lorenzo Cain, CF 2. Christian Yelich, RF 2. Christian Yelich, RF 3. Jesus Aguilar, 1B 3. Ryan Braun, LF 4. Travis Shaw, 3B 4. Travis Shaw, 3B 5. Ryan Braun, LF 5. Jesus Aguilar, 1B 6. Mike Moustakas, 2B 6. Mike Moustakas, 2B 7. Yasmani Grandal, C 7. Yasmani Grandal, C 8. Orlando Arcia, SS 8. Orlando Arcia, SS 轮值预测 实际先发轮值 1. Jhoulys Chacin 1. Jhoulys Chacin 2. Chase Anderson 2. Freddy Peralta 3. Zach Davis 3. Brandon Woodruff 4. Corbin Burnes 4. Corbin Burnes 5. Freddy Peralta 5. Zach Davis 门神预测 ....唉 Corey Knebel Josh Hader Who will be Milwaukee's best fantasy buy? The Brewers have productive, proven vets at nearly every position, so we generally have a pretty decent idea of the appropriate fantasy price for each player. Jesús Aguilar may have been a revelation last year, but he won't surprise anyone in 2019. Still, this squad offers a few well-priced fantasy commodities. It's tough not to love catcher Yasmani Grandal at his current Yahoo ADP (144.4). Grandal is going 90 picks later than J.T. Realmuto and 85 picks later than Gary Sánchez, but his end-of-season value could easily top either backstop. Let's remember that he's hit at least 22 homers in each of the last three seasons and he's moving to a friendlier hitting/power environment. - Andy Behrens 酒鬼几乎在每个位置都有高产并且经过验证的老手，所以我们对每个人的FB价值都算有 个合理的评价。Aguilar去年可能是个天启，但今年就吓不到人了。这支球队提供了不 少价格合理的FB货品选择。在目前Yahoo平均选秀顺位144.4这个部分，我们很难忽略 捕手Grandal。他比真木头晚了90个顺位，比Sanchez晚了85个顺位，但他的在这个站位 的季末价值很可能可以轻松挤进前几名。不要忘记过去三季都最少轰了22支，然後他正 要换到一个对打者有利的球场。 What is Milwaukee’s biggest fantasy question? Again, we don't have many burning questions with this collection of reliable veterans. It's fair to wonder, however, if Christian Yelich can possibly approach last season's value. We're drafting the reigning MVP in the middle of the first round (ADP 8.3), almost as if another 36 homer-110 RBIs-118 run-22 steals-.326 campaign is guaranteed. And maybe it is. There's little doubt that Yelich is going to rake; he's likely to again approach 100 runs and RBIs, assuming good health. But he's always been a line-drive/ground-ball hitter and we can't reasonably expect him to produce another HR/FB rate like last year's (35.0). Most projection systems have him slipping back into the mid-20s in home runs. Hopefully fantasy owners will be content if he simply delivers a 100-25-100-18-.310 sort of season. 同样的，我们对於这些可靠的老将并没有太大的疑问，但可以合理的怀疑Yelich能不能 逼近上一季的数字。我们在第一轮的中段选进这位卫冕MVP，像是他可以保证再一次提供 36轰 110打点 118得分 22盗 .326打率的数字。这也许可能，大家对於这点没有疑虑。 只要健康没有问题，他看起来又会提供差不多百分百打点的数字。但是他一直以来都是 个平飞/滚地球打者，我们不能期待他复制上季.35 全垒打/飞球的比率。大部分的预测 都落在二十几轰的范围。希望FB owner可以满意於差不多百得分 25轰 百打点 18盗 .310打率的球季。 We should probably also question Aguilar's potential in 2019, since he was so ordinary in the second-half last year (11 HR, .245/.324/.436). Fantasy owners aren't paying a silly price for his services, however (ADP 82.0). It's also worth noting that Aguilar always hit for power in the minors, including a 30-homer season at Triple-A in 2016. He may not match last season's value, but he'll remain a power asset. -Andy Behrens 我们也可以怀疑Aguilar在2019的潜力，因为他下半季的表现普通。 FB持有者们不会 为了这个数字给出平均82顺位的高价。同样值得注意的是，他在小联盟一直是个强打 者，像2016他在3A给了30轰。他大概不会维持上季的价值，但仍然是个能开轰的货。 Brewers’ prospect to watch Every prospect analyst agrees that second baseman Keston Hiura can hit. The only question is how soon will be allowed to show off those skills in the majors? He's the type of hitter who could move quickly, so a jump straight from Double-A wouldn't be all that surprising. If the Mike Moustakas experiment at second doesn't work out, the Brewers already have a strong replacement waiting in the wings. - Chris Cwik 每个新秀预测都同意二垒手Hiura能打，唯一的问题是他甚麽时候能升上来展现技巧。 他是个有办法快速升上来的打者，所以从2A直升大联盟不是不可能。如果Moose移到 二垒试不通，这边有人已经等着上菜了 Things that MUST go right for Milwaukee 以下屁话懒得翻 1. Rotation comes together: The Brewers pitching staff finished top five (3.73 ERA) last season despite not having a true ace. The setup looks similar entering 2019, meaning Counsell and company will need to piece things together effectively. On the plus side, they should have enough depth to field a competitive rotation. Despite losing Wade Miley in free agency, the Brewers have Jhoulys Chacín, Chase Anderson, Zach Davies, Brandon Woodruff, Corbin Burnes, Freddy Peralta, Junior Guerra, and a a returning Jimmy Nelson in the mix. On the down side, that group doesn't figure to chew up innings. They better, or the bullpen will be taxed again. 轮值要能撑 2. Mike Moustakas fits in at second: To make room for Moustakas' return, the Brewers will shift him to second base full time in 2019. It's a big change for a 30-year-old who's played almost exclusively at third base during his professional career. It's a defensive sacrifice that Milwaukee is willing to make because of Moustakas' offensive production, and one they might be able to mask some by using shifts and hopefully striking out a lot of batters. At least, they better hope so. Moose能守二垒 3. Ryan Braun is productive: Heading into his age-35 season, it's clear Braun's best years are behind him. Last season, he slashed .254/.313/.469 in 447 plate appearances with 20 homers, 25 doubles, 64 RBIs and 59 runs scored. Honestly, those aren't bad numbers, but they might be the baseline for what Milwaukee will need from him to keep the offense fully functional. If Braun can't reach those marks, they might have to weaken their bench by playing Eric Thames and Hernán Pérez more in his place. - Mark Townsend Braun能有表现 If this team had a walk-up song, what would it be? The biggest thing for the Brewers this year is just keeping that same energy from 2018 that got them to the NLCS. Yelich, Cain, the bullpen, Jesus Aguilar — if they can all be like their 2018 selves, the Brewers will be good. As Three 6 Mafia would tell you, the Brewers just need to “Stay Fly.” - Mike Oz --

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