http://tinyurl.com/p8cs7va 没有A的... 自我感觉前4个都有机会成为全星星啊 1) Hector Olivera, 3B-OF, Grade B+: Cuban defector traded from the Dodgers, age 30, expected to take regular spot in Braves lineup. Tough call, performance wasn’t great but he was working off two years of rust, while adapting to a new culture, while fighting injuries, while playing at seven different stops in the space of four months. I think you have to give him some slack for that. I’m not sure how well he will age, but my guess is that in the short run he will (if health allows) be an above-average hitter, say .280 with 18 homers and a reasonable OBP in a full season. Currently hitting well in Puerto Rico. Position unclear at this time, was supposed to be a third baseman but now it sounds like he will be an outfielder. 2) Kolby Allard, LHP, Grade B+: Age 18, first round pick in 2015, fanned 12 with zero walks in six rookie ball innings working his way back from stress injury in back, would have gone much earlier in draft if not for that. Plus fastball, plus curve, could move very quickly. Can make a good case for number one. 3) Ozzie Albies, SS, Grade B+: Hit .310/.368/.404 with 29 steals in Low-A at age 18, not much power yet but that’s nitpicking given the total package, athleticism, makeup, youth. You can make a good case to have him number one and ultimately I may go there depending on what happens with Olivera over the winter. 4) Austin Riley, 3B, Grade B: Age 18, supplemental pick in 2015 draft, hit .255/.331/.500 in GCL then .351/.443/.586 in Appy League, combined for 12 homers. Whiff rate is rather high but power is genuine, he makes an effort to control the zone and he has a chance to be a complete hitter, needs more defensive polish but that should come if he doesn’t gain too much weight. 5) Lucas Sims, RHP, Grade B: Still just 21, erratic but finished well in Double-A, will hold same aggressive grade as last year, still needs to refine change-up and overall command to go with impressive fastball and curve. 6) Mike Soroka, RHP, Grade B: Age 18, Canadian drafted in first round, posted 37/5 K/BB in 34 innings in rookie ball, doesn’t throw quite as hard as Sims but more polished compared to Sims at same age, very good curve, low-90s heat. 7) Touki Toussaint, RHP, Grade B/B-: Age 19, Arizona’s first round pick in 2014 unexpectedly traded to Braves last June, highest ceiling right-handed arm in system. This is an aggressive grade not backed up by the metrics at this point, notably a poor 39/33 K/BB after the trade. High risk. Beware. But if it works out. . . 8) Mallex Smith, OF, Grade B/B-: Age 22, stole 57 bases between Double-A and Triple-A hitting combined .306/.373/.386. Lacks home run power but makes contact and uses his blazing speed very well. Optimistic take: Ben Revere/Michael Bourn/Juan Pierre category of player. Pessimistic take: Jarrod Dyson type reserve. 9) Tyrell Jenkins, RHP, Grade B-: Age 23, still love the arm and athleticism but growing concerned about poor component ratios, 88/61 K/BB in 138 innings in high minors. Seems strange to rank him behind Touki since Jenkins has been at higher levels, but TJ is still relatively unpolished, doesn’t have quite the same upside as TT, and is four years older now. Check comments section below for more thoughts on Jenkins. 10) Zachary Bird, RHP, Grade B-: Age 21, acquired from Dodgers, electric right arm with upside similar to Jenkins but similar issues with consistency and command, 4.69 ERA with 103/60 K/BB in 102 innings in 2015, mostly in High-A. 11) Braxton Davidson, OF, Grade B-/C+: Age 19, hit .242/.381/.374 with 10 homers, 84 walks, 135 strikeouts in 401 at-bats in Low-A. Has not produced expected home run power but very patient, perhaps too patient. Still young enough to tap his strength of course. 12) Max Fried, LHP, Grade B-/C+: Age 21, missed season with Tommy John. Wild guess on placement. Some like him as high as seven but some think he was over-rated even before he got hurt. 13) Ronald Acuna, OF, Grade B-/C+: Age 17, hit .269/.380/.438 with four homers, 16 steals, 28 walks, 42 strikeouts in 201 at-bats split between GCL and Appy. Solid across-the-board numbers with scouting reports that are very positive regarding overall tools and good polish for his age. Some risk that he could be a tweener, but off to a good start. Aggressive grade. 14) John Gant, RHP, Grade C+: Age 23, acquired from Mets, doesn’t have stuff of the guys ahead of him but he is efficient, throws strikes, eats innings, 3.08 ERA with 134/50 K/BB in 140 innings, finished strongly in Double-A after the trade (1.99, 43/14 in 41). Non-zero chance he turns into Collin McHugh type. 15) Manny Banuelos, LHP, Grade C+: Age 24, hasn’t lived up to hype generated with Yankees, shut down early with more elbow problems. My guess is that he’ s a reliever long-term. 16) Josh Graham, RHP, Grade C+: Age 22, fourth round pick from University of Oregon, converted catcher showed surprising polish given lack of pitching experience, 2.60 with 21/3 in 17 innings in rookie ball. Need to see at higher levels and long-term role unclear, but a definite sleeper to track. 17) Juan Yepez, 1B-3B, Grade C+: Age 17, very impressive rookie ball debut, hit .299/.364/.458 with 22 walks, 55 whiffs in 201 at-bats. Defense needs work, contact may be an issue at higher levels but off to an excellent start. Possibly the highest ceiling bat other than Riley in the system. 18) Lucas Herbert, C, Grade C+: Second round pick, Kolby Allard’s batterymate in high school, tore meniscus in third pro game but should be okay for spring. Strong defensive reputation and a chance to hit for some power, stock will certainly rise if that happens. 19) Rio Ruiz, 3B, Grade C+/C: Age 21, hit disappointing .233/.333/.324 in Double-A, drew 63 walks but just five homers. Erratic, productive in June (.310/.424/.380) and August (.302/.353/.481) but well below Mendoza Line in May and July. At times he looks excellent with a pretty swing and a good eye. Other times his swing gets out of whack, too mechanical. This has been his pattern since Low-A. 20) Andrew Thurman, RHP, Grade C+/C: Age 23, pitched pretty well in High-A (3.77, 43/11 in 57) but control slipped after moving up to Double-A (14/16 in 24, 5.18). Scouting reports remain more impressive than numbers. I bet he becomes a reliever eventually. OTHER GRADE C+: Derian Cruz, SS; Luke Dykstra, 2B; Connor Lien, OF; Ricardo Sanchez, LHP, Rob Whalen, RHP; Isranel Wilson, OF OTHERS OF NOTE: Jason Hursh, RHP; Kyle Kinman, LHP; Jonathan Morales, C; Christian Pache, OF; Wes Parsons, RHP; Dustin Peterson, OF; Randy Ventura, OF; Ryan Weber, RHP; Dan Winkler RHP --

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