1.全美倒数的农场 不意外 但这也是Wren走人的原因之一吗XD 2.对Sims评价颇低 竟然只有工作马的等级 认为他速球外其他球种都还没长出来.. 1) Jose Peraza, INF, Grade B+: Age 20, slick defender took step forward offensively with .339/.364/.441 campaign in High-A/Double-A, with 60 steals. There are still questions about his power and his walk rate is quite low, but the complete package is worth buying into given youth, athleticism, and consistent improvement. 2) Lucas Sims, RHP, Grade B+: Age 20, struggled in first half in High-A but finished strong, 4.19 ERA with 107/57 K/BB in 157 innings, 146 hits. Still projects as rotation workhorse with fastball up to mid-90s, secondaries still under development but promising. 3) Christian Bethancourt, C, Grade B-: Age 23, his .248/.274/.274 line in the majors is a fair representation of his ability in the batting average/OBP departments and he will show more SLG in time. Great throwing arm, still prone to mistakes, overaggressive approach cuts into his hitting. If he makes some adjustments, think Miguel Olivo. 4) Ozhaino Albies, SS, Grade B-: Age 17, speedy contact hitter with impressive defensive projection, athletic, already a polished hitter for his age, hit .356/.429/.452 in the Appy League. Needs to get stronger and prove himself in full-season ball but stock on the rise, could be at the top of this list next year. 5) Braxton Davidson, OF-1B, Grade B-: 2014 first-round pick, age 18, hit zero homers in first 50 pro games although scouts see lots of power in the bat. Already draws walks, Nick Swisher-like potential. 6) Kyle Kubitza, 3B, Grade B-: Age 24, hit .295/.405/.470 in Double-A, nice swing from the left side, draws walks, strikes out a lot, high OBP type, not as much home run power as you’d expect given size/strength but not punchless. Has made progress on defense, not a gold glove but will field well enough to play regularly if the bat produces as expected. 7) Jason Hursh, RHP, Grade B-: Age 23, 3.58 ERA with 84/43 K/BB in 148 innings in Double-A, 1.65 GO/AO. I may like him more than I should due to memories of seeing him pitch college ball, but his sinker is impressive and I think the secondaries have more potential than the current low strikeout rate implies. Workhorse type or possibly a multi-inning reliever. 8) Alec Grosser, RHP, Grade C+ : SLEEPER ALERT, age 19, 3.68 ERA with 63/22 K/BB in 64 innings in Appy League. Braves fans are well aware of him and he’ s starting to get more press nationally, so not a sleeper for much longer. Needs to make full-season transition but low-90s fastball, slider, and changeup project well. Another possible mid-rotation guy. 9) Shae Simmons, RHP, Grade C+: Age 24, impressive in the majors last year with 2.91 ERA 23/11 K/BB in 22 innings. Not a fluke, but always difficult to know where to rank relief prospects and there’s injury risk with this one, shoulder injury that ended season early. If healthy I like his chances. Nice late-round college find (22nd round, Southeast Missouri State, 2012). 10) Cody Martin, RHP, Grade C+: Age 25, 3.52 ERA with 142/56 K/BB in 156 innings in Triple-A. Not a high upside guy but knows how to pitch, throws strikes, eats innings, back-end starter or relief option who is ready for a trial. 11) Mauricio Cabrera, RHP, Grade C+: Age 21, missed most of season with forearm injury and was ineffective in High-A due to command troubles when he did pitch. Throws very hard, up to 98 if not higher, but struggles with mechanics and control of secondary pitches. High-end closer if it all comes together or a number three starter, but big risk too. Higher ceiling than Martin. 12) Chasen Shreve, LHP, Grade C+: Age 24, as with Simmons his major league success seems legitimate to me but ranking middle relief types on these lists is problematic, especially when they could end up as LOOGYs. Unusually large increase in his strikeout rate tracked reports of improved velocity and sharper breaking stuff. 13) Williams Perez, RHP, Grade C+: Age 23, doesn’t get as much attention as other Braves prospects but out-pitches most of them with sinker/change-up combination, posted 2.91 ERA with 94/39 K/BB in 133 innings in Double-A. 6-1, 230 body weighs against him with observers but the stuff is decent and he uses it well. 14) J.R. Graham, RHP, Grade C+: Age 24, would rank as high as six or seven on this list if healthy. Horrific second half (8.20 ERA) and reports of declining stuff in wake of 2013 shoulder injury put status in doubt. Did not pitch better after moving to bullpen. 15) Johan Camargo, SS, Grade C+: Would rank as high as seven if you go by tools and upside alone, age 20, from Panama, hit .266/.313/.326 in A-ball. All projection and little production at this point, could develop into a regular, or a bench guy, or nothing at all. 16) Kyle Wren, OF, Grade C+: Age 23, hit .290/.350/365 with 46 steals between High-A and Double-A. Very fast, no power, decent on-base skills, can scoot in center, classic fifth outfielder profile although some of these guys have been playing more regularly as teams look for any defensive edge. That trend could benefit someone like Wren. 17) Max Povse, RHP, Grade C+: Borderline C. Age 21, third round pick from UNC-Greensboro, very tall at 6-8, rough secondaries were troublesome in college but he made some progress in the Appy League, 3.42 ERA with 37/11 K/BB in 47 innings. 18) Garrett Fulenchek, RHP, Grade C: Borderline C+. HIGH CEILING ALERT. Would rank higher on pure ability (Baseball Prospectus slots him aggressively at fifth in the system, which may look like a great call four years from now), age 18, struggled with consistency in rookie ball but second round pick could become a three-pitch starting force if it all comes together. A year behind Grosser but could be on similar trajectory. 19) Victor Reyes, OF, Grade C: Age 20, hit .342 in rookie ball in 2013 but just .259/.309/.298 in Low-A in ’14, zero homers. Looks good in uniform, nice swing, overall tools are there but no power yet, defense is ahead of hitting at this point. 20) Daniel Castro, INF, Grade C: Age 21, hit .286/.312/.398 in Double-A/Triple-A. From Mexico, held his own at a young age, good defensive versatility. You could put many of the "other" Grade C guys in this slot but Castro seems to me like a guy who could sneak up on us. OTHER GRADE C PROSPECTS: John Cornely, RHP; Todd Cunningham, OF; Chris Diaz, LHP; Jordan Edgerton, 3B; Sean Godfrey, OF; Phil Gosselin, INF; Ryne Harper, RHP; Nate Hyatt, RHP; Juan Jaime, RHP; Kyle Kinman, LHP; Connor Lien, OF; Dilmer Mejia, LHP; Aaron Northcraft, RHP; Wes Parsons, RHP; Elmer Reyes, INF; Greg Ross, RHP; Carlos Salazar, RHP; Fernelys Sanchez, OF; Chad Sobotka, RHP; Ian Thomas, LHP. It is not secret that the Braves farm system has declined, a decline which recently helped cost GM Frank Wren his job. The organization has some strengths: there remains a nice group of interesting arms, beginning with Lucas Sims, and the scouting staff has done a good job finding useful arms in later round of the draft as well as plucking pitchers out of independent ball. Simmons and Shreve were terrific late-round finds and there are plenty of bullpen options to look at including hard-throwing Juan Jaime and lefty Ian Thomas. They’ve also found some middle infield talents and have found some bargains in Latin America, with Peraza and Albies the best two current examples. The big weakness here is obvious: bats. There aren’t many and most of the interesting position guys are defense-oriented players. Kubitza could be an exception and Braxton Davidson was one of the more exciting bats in the ’14 high school class, but more depth is obviously needed. If you want future utility infielders there are many candidates. The chain of causation for such problems is difficult for an outsider to parse. Remember that this is the same organization that developed Freddie Freeman and (more impressively from a sleeper perspective) Evan Gattis, so I wouldn’t conclude that they simply can’t find hitters. Bargain-hunting in the draft has been an issue: it seems to work with pitchers but less so with hitters (Gattis excepted) in the modern context. It will be interesting to see if the change in leadership opens up the purse strings or leads to a change in philosophy. --

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