作者YunelEscobar (艾丝扣八)
看板Braves
标题[翻译] RealGM Atlanta's Preview
时间Tue Apr 6 01:22:41 2010
Quite easily, the Braves were the best team in baseball to not reach the
postseason in 2009. They had good balance on the mound (3.57 ERA) and at the
plate (fifth in the NL in runs). Atlanta was 17 games over .500 for the
second half of the season until they rattled off six consecutive losses to
frustratingly close 2009. Based strictly on their Pythagorean record, the
Braves were a 91-71 team and that was without Tim Hudson for most of the
season and a definite transition season offensively.
勇士队是去年没进去季後赛中最好的一支球队,他们的投手(ERA3.75)与打击(得分在国联
排第五)都有着极佳的表现。
2009 Opsera Finish: 3rd
What Happened In The Winter
冬天有啥新鲜事呢?
With the exception of the Javier Vazquez for Melky Cabrera trade, Frank Wren
made a series of moves where Atlanta aged themselves. Billy Wagner, Troy
Glaus, Takashi Saito and Eric Hinske were all signed to affordable one-year
deals, avoiding the big two free agent left fielders who each could have
bolstered their feeble power categories.
除了用J-Vaz换来牛奶弟外,Wren搞了一些老人来,都是还算能接受的一年约,而没有傻
傻的去追逐FA市场的两只大型左外野手,把自己的薪资搞爆。
The Braves weren't expecting Rafael Soriano to accept arbitration and with
Wagner already signed, they had to make a payroll trade by sending him to
Tampa Bay. His departure, along with Mike Gonzalez, makes their bullpen a
whole lot older.
勇士队并没有期待Rafael Soriano会接受仲裁,而签下了Wagner,导致勇士
必须把Soriano换去坦帕湾来降低薪资的压力,而Soriano跟M-Gon的离去,
导致牛棚的年纪比去年老上许多。
Atlanta had excess starting pitching following the new deal for Tim Hudson
and dealing away Vazquez after a career season was a wise sell high move.
They couldn't move Derek Lowe for any type of value in return and the
difference between the two in 2010 shouldn't be nearly as big as it was in
2009. Cabrera helps keep right field warm until Jason Heyward is ready for
the show, which doesn't seem like it will be long. I also like the upside of
Arodys Vizcaino as a live young arm now in the system.
与哈神签下了新合约,并且在高点卖出J-Vaz是个聪明的举动。反正我们的六号换不回任
何有价值的东西,而且六号跟Vaz在2010年表现的差距应该不会像2009年那样大。牛奶弟
会在黑娃准备好之前先把右外野的位置顶下来,帮他暖暖座位,怎麽看牛奶弟也不会在这
个位置待太久。另外得到Arodys Vizcaino这个年轻的肉体还满令人高兴的。
Braves Offensive Preview
Beyond Brian McCann behind the plate, the Braves have a lineup of old guys
and question marks. McCann still hasn't reached his prime, but he's a
lifetime .853 OPS hitter who will eclipse the 100 homer mark this season. The
Braves are incredibly fortunate to get his type of offensive production from
the catcher position.
如果打线上没有小麦肯,那麽打线将会是又老问题又多。小麦肯还没达到他的顶点,但他
是一个生涯OPS.853的打者,而且这个球季将会出现他的生涯百轰。勇士队能在捕手这个
位置得到这麽威的火力支援真是爽翻了。
Chipper Jones appeared in more games (143) than he had in any season since
2003 (153), but his OPS dropped from 1.044 in 2008 to .818. His splits show
some signs of concern, with a .772 OPS from the left side of the plate and
.747 and .645 marks in August and September to close what had been a
productive season up until that point. There are only a small handful of
seasons on record for a 38-year-old to have an OPS over .900, but Chipper
seems more than capable of staying solidly in the .800s for another two
seasons.
去年是老大在2003年後出场数最多的一年(143场)但他的ops从2008年的1.044掉到去年的
.818。老大有一些迹象值得我们去注意,他在左打时有.772的ops,但在八九月却分别打
出了.747跟.645的ops来做为结束,低於本季的ops平均。只有少数38岁的打者能交出
ops.900以上的成绩,但老大要再打出个两季ops.800+的成绩,应该是没有问题。
I think Nate McLouth is generally overrated, but he should get more
comfortable in Atlanta after spending his first spring with the club. Martin
Prado, one the other hand, is one of baseball's more underrated hitters even
if he is still a significant work in progress defensively.
我觉得McLouth被高估了,但在经历过亚特兰大的第一次春训後,他应该会对这个地方比较
适应一点。
另外一方面,M30则是一个被低估的打者。
Matt Diaz is another underrated hitter, who has a career OPS of .921 against
lefties. Assuming Heyward becomes the kind of ballplayer he is expected to
develop into, a mini-platoon between Diaz, McLouth and Cabrera could
eventually be in order. I think Heyward can provide an injection of youth and
energy not unlike Evan Longoria during Tampa Bay's 2008 World Series run.
Diaz是另一个被低估的打者,生涯对左打有ops.921。假定在黑娃长大之前,应该会跟
DiaZ,McLouth跟奶弟有一小段时间的platoon,来决定最後的名单会是谁。
我认为黑娃能为球队带来年轻的活力,
像龙哥在2008WS系列赛为魔鬼鱼带来的那样(这里翻的有点不确定?)
Yunel Escobar had an .812 OPS, but I expect that number to either drop or
stay about the same in 2010. He was significantly helped out by blistering
months of May and July. Escobar is an above average hitting shortstop, but
his inability to improve against lefties is disconcerting.
爱丝扣八去年有.812的ops,但我认为2010应该会下修或是维持差不多的成绩。他在五六
月的火热表现给球队很大的帮助。他是一个平均打击能力以上的游击手,但他对左投却有
明显的无力。
Finally, speaking of disconcerting, we get to Glaus and his prospects at
first base. The position has felt like a very fast revolving door ever since
the end of Fred McGriff's tenure, with names like Andres Galarraga, Julio
Franco, Mark Teixeira, Casey Kotchman, Adam LaRoche coming into and out of
the Peach State. Atlanta likes Freddie Freeman at the position long term and
Glaus can fill in this season, but he missed almost the entire 2009 season
with a shoulder injury. I can also foresee a situation where they need first
base for Chipper this season and someone like Mark DeRosa, albeit more
expensive, would have provided much more value. To his credit, Glaus is still
just 33 and hasn't had an OPS season under .800 since his second season in
the MLB.
最後,谈到令人窘迫得部分,我们得到了格老子来守一垒。这个位置在Fred McGriff离队
後,就不停的换人守守看,像Andres Galarraga, Julio Franco, Mark Teixeira,
Casey Kotchman, Adam LaRoche都站过这个位置。勇士队会希望Freeman能接下这个位置
,并待得久一点,但这之前。格老子可以帮忙在这一季站一下这里,但他因为肩膀的手术
错过了几乎整个2009。我可以预视这个球季他们会需要CJ来站一垒,以及像迪罗沙这种尽
管比较贵但是可以提供更多价值的球员。就格老子来说,他也才33岁,而且在他第二年
MLB生涯开始就没有ops低於.800过。
Braves Pitching Preview
The Braves should have one of the strongest and most balanced rotations in
baseball with Hudson and Lowe being supported by Jair Jurrjens, Tommy Hanson
and Kenshin Kawakami. Jurrjens and Hanson both have the stuff to be front of
the rotation guys. Jurrjens has had some shoulder issues, but he's beginning
to look right in Spring Training and even though his ERA probably won't be
2.60 again, it should be well below 3.50.
勇士的先发轮值很威。JJJ跟Hanson都有一二号的实力。虽然JJJ的肩膀好像有点问题,但
问题不大,虽然不太可能复制去年的ERA2.60,但低於3.50应该不成问题。
Atlanta's bullpen looks significantly different with the departures of
Soriano and Gonzalez and the additions of Wagner and Saito. Wagner had an
excellent 22 strikeouts in 13.2 innings with Boston and even though those are
unsustainable numbers, he should be every bit as good as he's always been
when healthy. Beyond Saito are the reliable Peter Moylan and young lefty
specialist Eric O'Flaherty. Even though the bullpen won't be as strikeout
heavy as it was with Soriano and Gonzalez in 2009, it should be an area of
surprising strength.
在黑柱跟麦杠离队及Wagner和Saito的加入後,勇士的牛棚跟去年看起来有显着的不同。
Wagner去年在BOSTON的13.2局中丢出了22K,真是棒呆了。即使这样的成绩没办法维持住
,他应该能维持他健康时一样的本事。齐藤,摸以蓝跟Eric O'Flaherty都是很棒的牛棚
选手。即便在黑柱跟麦杠离队後,牛棚们不太可能像去年一样狂丢老K,但应该还是会有
令人惊艳的强力表现。
What Are Their 2010 Chances?
It is difficult to be overly confident about this creaky of a team, but I
like Braves to definitely win more than 86.5 games with a real chance at
either dethroning Philadelphia or at least sneaking their way into the
playoffs via the Wild Card.
要对勇士队的摇摇欲坠有过度的信心还满困难的,但他们应该还是有机会赢超过86.5场的比赛以
上,然後赢得外卡或是击败费城人进入季後赛。
There are a lot of fragile pieces that need to stay healthy, but the Braves
truly are loaded with a great balance of talent in what appears to be Bobby
Cox's final season as manager of the Braves. I always found myself
passionately rooting against those 90s Braves because I was still bitter
about 1993 with the Giants and I always preferred those Yankees teams they
lost to in 96 and 99, as well as the Twins, Jays and Indians. But over the
past couple of seasons when the Braves had really good teams that are just
barely out of contention, I found myself completely pulling for the old
skipper and his aging superstar.
队上很多脆弱的人需要保持健康,在Cox爷爷的最後一年,勇士队的确有着相当平衡的天
赋。我总是能找到理由来反对九零年代的勇士队,因为我仍然对1993年的巨人队感到痛苦
不堪,而且我一向比较喜欢96跟99年击败他们的洋基队,还有双城,蓝鸟跟印地安人队。
但经过了过去几个球季後,当勇士拥有一些几乎没有竞争力的好队伍时,我发现我自己被
这个老领导完全的吸引住了。(这地方翻得怪怪的,祈求指正)
I'm a believer that everything will stay in place for one final run.
Read more:
http://baseball.realgm.com/src_teamarticle/616/20100316/2010_season_preview_atlanta_braves/#ixzz0kEy01s1S
Read more:
http://baseball.realgm.com/src_teamarticle/616/20100316/2010_season_preview_atlanta_braves/#ixzz0kEy04fPw
--
有的地方如果有翻得不好或是翻错 烦请指正
谢谢@@"
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 114.24.2.136
※ 编辑: YunelEscobar 来自: 114.24.2.136 (04/06 01:26)
1F:推 Homura:老大不会去一垒吧... 04/06 01:29
2F:推 RubenGotay:葛老师起码要看他健康出赛..!!!! 恨司机可以多打几支 04/06 01:31
3F:推 boldspirit:Freeman看起来只是把长枪,要长久获得炮管的话或许季中 04/06 01:36
4F:→ boldspirit:或季末应该把Freeman搭一两个投手新秀跟SD谈谈A-Gon 04/06 01:37
5F:推 Homura:payroll不增加的话 盘来A-Gon大概也只能当打工仔... 04/06 01:39
6F:推 timery:A-Gon会要长约吧 04/06 01:39
7F:推 RubenGotay:除非我们还有钱!! 不然不建议交易A-con..... 04/06 01:40
8F:推 boldspirit:不然Freeman搭JJJ跟SD要季中协商窗口谈续约,这包裹应该 04/06 01:40
9F:→ boldspirit:很有竞争力....勇士农场的投手深度很够 04/06 01:41
10F:推 RubenGotay:更何况也要用长约绑住Heyward吧.... 04/06 01:41
11F:推 Homura:人手不是问题 但A-Gon放话要铁爷等级的薪水 04/06 01:43
12F:推 Homura:之後小麦肯的薪水会愈来愈贵 几个年轻人也是 加上黑娃假使 04/06 01:43
13F:推 boldspirit:Heyward的薪水要4~5年後才会涨,能处理掉Lowe的话应该要 04/06 01:44
14F:推 Homura:打出期待 提前绑约也是必定要的...银弹不增加难有作为啊 04/06 01:44
15F:→ boldspirit:尽可能盘到A-Gon,这种炮管勇士5年内的农场没有候选人 04/06 01:45
16F:推 Homura:要处理掉Lowe得吃下的薪水 也够勇士签个中长程炮了 04/06 01:46
17F:推 RubenGotay:葛老师如果挂了!!应该就是恨司机站一垒吧.... 04/06 01:48
18F:推 RubenGotay:我还是对Nate Mclouth 有信心!! 不过他不适合打第一棒 04/06 01:50
19F:推 BrianMcCann:麦肯对勇士的确相当重要 04/06 13:57
20F:推 Rodriguez:楼上是"老王" ^^ 04/06 14:07
21F:推 jayday:去换一个注定会变成打工仔的意义不大吧~还要赔农场 04/06 15:12
22F:→ jayday:当时找来铁爷也是预期可以签长约留下~铁爷都留不住A-Gon就 04/06 15:14
23F:→ jayday:与其这样不如把钱都拿来补一下内野替补的强度 04/06 15:16
24F:推 RubenGotay:补内野新秀!! ... 04/06 21:06