※ [本文转录自 MLB 看板] 作者: Homura (虎斑街猫。月殇) 站内: MLB 标题: Re: [情报] BP's 2009 PECOTA Projections 时间: Mon Oct 5 13:01:19 2009 球季结束，检视一下PECOTA的预测和实际结果的落差 上排是季初预测，下排则是实际的结果 East W L RS RA AVG OBP SLG Boston Red Sox 98 64 864 684 .269 .347 .433 95 67 872 736 .270 .352 .454 New York Yankees 97 65 838 674 .267 .341 .424 103 59 915 753 .283 .362 .478 Tampa Bay Rays 92 70 838 715 .256 .338 .421 84 78 803 754 .263 .343 .439 Toronto Blue Jays 81 81 730 692 .254 .319 .403 75 87 798 771 .266 .333 .440 Baltimore Orioles 76 86 858 898 .269 .338 .435 64 98 741 876 .268 .332 .415 Central W L RS RA AVG OBP SLG Cleveland Indians 84 78 824 819 .260 .337 .423 65 97 773 865 .264 .339 .417 Minnesota Twins 79 83 769 802 .266 .329 .397 86 76 811 760 .274 .344 .429 Detroit Tigers 78 84 796 844 .259 .329 .425 86 76 738 739 .260 .331 .416 Kansas City Royals 75 87 747 813 .263 .323 .407 65 97 686 842 .259 .318 .405 Chicago White Sox 74 88 763 839 .250 .319 .419 79 83 724 732 .258 .329 .411 West W L RS RA AVG OBP SLG Oakland Athletics 82 80 799 798 .251 .335 .410 75 87 759 761 .262 .328 .397 Los Angeles Angels 79 83 738 758 .258 .319 .403 97 65 883 761 .285 .350 .441 Texas Rangers 73 89 812 912 .263 .328 .432 87 75 784 740 .260 .320 .445 Seattle Mariners 70 92 725 835 .260 .318 .403 85 77 640 692 .258 .314 .402 National League East W L RS RA AVG OBP SLG New York Mets 93 69 833 713 .264 .339 .417 70 92 671 757 .270 .335 .394 Atlanta Braves 88 74 818 742 .271 .342 .416 86 76 735 641 .263 .339 .405 Philadelphia Phillies 88 74 837 756 .264 .337 .431 93 69 820 709 .258 .334 .447 Washington Nationals 77 85 780 808 .261 .335 .410 59 103 710 874 .258 .337 .406 Florida Marlins 74 88 767 819 .253 .325 .423 87 75 772 766 .268 .340 .416 Central W L RS RA AVG OBP SLG Chicago Cubs 95 67 865 751 .271 .346 .433 83 78 707 672 .255 .332 .407 Milwaukee Brewers 83 79 822 808 .260 .334 .434 80 82 785 818 .263 .341 .426 St. Louis Cardinals 80 82 776 784 .257 .330 .420 91 71 730 640 .263 .332 .415 Cincinnati Reds 79 83 779 798 .263 .329 .416 78 84 673 723 .247 .318 .394 Houston Astros 66 96 708 851 .256 .318 .404 74 88 643 770 .260 .319 .400 Pittsburgh Pirates 65 97 719 887 .255 .321 .406 62 99 636 768 .252 .318 .387 West W L RS RA AVG OBP SLG Arizona Diamondbacks 90 72 816 733 .261 .334 .432 70 92 720 782 .253 .324 .418 Los Angeles Dodgers 84 78 760 741 .265 .331 .397 95 67 780 611 .270 .346 .412 San Francisco Giants 79 83 703 718 .262 .319 .399 88 74 657 611 .257 .309 .389 Colorado Rockies 78 84 827 862 .266 .340 .431 92 70 804 715 .261 .343 .441 San Diego Padres 74 88 706 763 .251 .324 .399 70 92 720 782 .242 .321 .381 落差在十场或以上的达到十二队，二十场以上的则有两队 季初两支分区热门球队笑脸人和梅子…Zzz 猴子依照惯例，再次赏了预测专家一个大巴掌 -- ◣ ◢ =. .= http://0rz.tw/ad4Js ◣ --

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