资料来源 TalkingChop Why Trade Kelly Johnson? by gondeee on Nov 6, 2008 11:19 AM EST in Trade News Kelly Johnson and Yunel Escobar are very similar hitters. Take a look at their 2008 stats: Kelly Johnson和Yunel Escobar是两位相似的打者，来看看他们2008的成绩表现： -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG OBP SLG 2008 - Kelly Johnson 150 547 86 157 39 6 12 69 52 113 11 6 .287 .349 .446 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG OBP SLG 2008 - Yunel Escobar 136 514 71 148 24 2 10 60 59 62 2 5 .288 .366 .401 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Both guys shared time between hitting leadoff and hitting second in the batting order, but neither of these guys are really leadoff hitters -- they are both ideal hitters for the second spot. This is the key argument for why the Braves should trade one of these guys, and it seems to be the Braves preference to trade Johnson. 两个人在今年轮流担任第一棒和第二棒，但他们两个都比较适合担任第二棒。这个原因促 使着勇士应该交易两人其中一人，而Johnson将是较好的选择。 Escobar is under team control for longer, is arguably a better hitter, and is a defensive whiz at shortstop. Kelly is arbitration eligible, can be a streaky hitter, and is likely at the peak of his value. Yes, it should also be mentioned that Martin Prado seems ready to step in and play second base every day in the majors, while at the same time there is not an obvious or solid choice to replace Escobar at shortstop. But Prado will not be put in the same situation in the lineup that Johnson was. 和KJ相比，Escobar要过一段更长的时间才能成为FA，而且他有着更棒的打击，和熟练的 游击守备。KJ已经符合仲裁资格，他的打击表现可能不这麽稳定，而且他现在的交易价值 处於高点。另外值得一提的是Prado看起来似乎是准备好接手二垒的位置，但目前勇士农 场并没有其他适当的人选可以取代Escobar在游击的位置。不过Prado绝对不会放在和今年 KJ相同的棒次。 The odds are that whoever starts in center field next year will hit leadoff -- be it Jordan Schafer (hopefully), Gregor Blanco, Josh Anderson, or some combination of the three. Each of these guys have speed and are good on-base guys. That leaves either Escobar or Johnson to hit second (presumably Escobar if we trade Johnson), followed by Chipper, new power hitting left-fielder, then some combination of McCann, Kotchman, and Francoeur, followed by a guy like Prado in the eighth spot in the lineup. 差别在於明年的先发中外野手将会扮演开路先锋的角色─可能是Jordan Schafer(希望啦) ，Gregor Blanco，Josh Anderson，或是三个人轮流。这几个人都具有快腿而且他们懂得 如何上垒，这将让未来不管是Escobar或是KJ去打第二棒的位置(假设是Escobar如果我们 将KJ交易的话)，衔接上的中心打线有老大，具有长程火炮的新左外野，接下来则是 McCaan，烤鸡，粉酷，Prado则将排在第八棒。 This is not meant to try and predict our lineup (rosterbation, I believe it was called) only to show that our lineup does not need two number-two hitters, it needs another legitamite power threat, and Johnson might be the best chip to build a trade around to acquire that power bat. I'm a fan of Kelly Johnson like many Braves fans, but I realize that our lineup needs more pop than Johnson can provide, and I prefer Escobar batting second. I sense that the Braves feel the same way, and I think there's a very small chance you'll see Kelly Johnson in a Braves uniform next season. 这不是一篇预测未来的棒次文，我只是想说明我们的打线不需要两位第二棒的打者，我们 打线需要拥有更大的火力来威胁他队，而KJ可能是我们交易来强打者所可以提出最好的筹 码。我是KJ迷，但我知道勇士需要比KJ所能提供更多的火力支援，而且我喜欢Escobar打 第二棒，我相信勇士也这样认为，所以我认为明年你还会看到KJ穿着斧头帮制服打球几乎 不可能的。 =============================================================================== 就在Peavy交易陷入僵局的同时，TalkingChop有人放话希望交易的是KJ，而之後几篇也出 现小蛇对KJ有兴趣的消息，虽然因为对方没我们喜欢的人而可能必须扯进第三队来进行三 方交易，但我今年其实没看多少场比赛(默…)，所以也不晓得谁的贡献度较高，如果能利 用交易KJ来获得一位左外野强打，再签下AJB或Lowe，给老葛或Freddie Garcia 基本薪+ 激励条款，我想这样的补强将比我们又损失三到四名新秀换到Peavy要来得好。 -- ★renew 找到你了^^ --

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