作者Andre (nomo)
看板Braves
标题Re: 明年右外野可能人选
时间Mon Dec 8 12:43:53 2003
※ 引述《Grant44 (.....................)》之铭言:
: 以下这些名单是AJC评估的,仅供参考:
: Juan Encarnacion
: 由於马林鱼付不起他明年预估3~4M的薪水,所以Encarnacion很有可能会被non-
: tender掉。Encarnacion是一个还不差的外野手,有中程的火力,还不错的速度
: 和守备能力,最大优点是不会太贵,不过他的选球能力是他的缺点。
: Jose Cruz Jr.
: 今年只猛了一个月,不过选球能力有不小的进步,说不定会有break out出现。
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
I don't think the odds are good.
: 外野的守备能力非常好,今年也拿下了金手套,不过季後赛那次失误让人印象深
: 刻..。
: Jacque Jones
: Jacque Jones很奇妙,那种破烂的选球能力竟然可以连续两年突破0.3,根据Baseball
: HQ的统计,BB/SO小於0.5的打者,连续两年出现0.3的机率是0.05。防守能力完
: 全没问题,有金手套的水准。
Those 3 are quite similar to me.
2003 AB/K 3yrs
Jaque 0.304/0.333/0.464 4.92 0.294/0.336/0.467 4.81
Juan 0.270/0.313/0.446 7.32 0.263/0.312/0.437 5.56
Jose 0.250/0.366/0.414 4.46 0.257/0.338/0.463 4.33
优点 缺点 其他
Jaque higher AVG. horrible 2003 K/BB rate hit RHP better
left handed hitter played better at home
not too hard to acquire
Juan played in a pitcher's park better 1st half
lower K-rate
steadier
Jose better pure discipline low AVG.
switch hitter
P.S None of them has got a good postseason history.
Defensively, they're all very good and also similar. Here's my thought:
Range Arm Overall
Jaque 1 3 2
Juan 3 2 3
Jose 2 1 1
but the difference isn't huge.
Overall, my choice is Encarnacion >= Cruz > Jones, but the odds by now
seem like Jones > Cruz > Encarnacion. Anyway, there's not much difference
between each two of them and each one would be satisfying given current
payroll limit.
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◆ From: 210.85.91.129
※ 编辑: Andre 来自: 210.85.91.129 (12/08 13:36)