Wainwright is one of the best right-handed pitching prospects in baseball. Tall and lanky at 6-6, 190, he was a first-round pick in 2000, out of high school in Georgia. He posted an outstanding 184/48 K/BB ratio in 164 innings last year for Class A Macon. His numbers this season for Class A Myrtle Beach are also impressive: 2.65 ERA, 145/57 K/BB ratio in 143 innings, just 118 hits allowed. Only six homers surrendered. Wainwright currently works at 90-93 mph. He throws strikes with his curveball and changeup, and demonstrates an advanced feel for the finer points of the game. He's very polished for a 21-year-old, yet he still has a chance to increase his velocity as he fills out his body. Statistically, his strong K/BB marks auger well for his future. He'll be in Double-A next year, and could conceivably see Atlanta late in '03. A more conservative approach would have him at Double-A in '03 and Triple-A in '04, setting him up for a rotation spot in '05. But the Braves have been known to fall in love with certain pitchers and push them quickly. The only negative I see for Wainwright is his workload, which has been pretty heavy for such a youngster. He could be an ace if his velocity picks up a bit more; we'll be able to get a better read on that at this time next year. 谈Terry Hodges I wrote about Hodges in the July 27th mailbag. You can find the com plete comment by clicking here. I wrote that, although he was having a fine season for Triple-A Richmond, that his low strikeout rate and lack of a dominant fastball implied that he would not "take the major leagues by storm." I don't see any reason to change that assessment. Hodges is 24 years old, and has five major-league innings to his credit. At age 24, Glavine had 646 major-league innings under his belt. Maddux had 911. The Aussie Rookie, Damian Moss, was in Triple-A last year at age 24, recovering from arm trouble. Basically, I don't see how comparing Hodges to any of those three pitchers tells us anything. None of the three are comparable to Hodges. Maddux and Glavine were already veterans at the same point, while Moss has an injury history that Hodges does not have. I would also be remiss if I did not point out that Maddux knew how to pitch long before he became a member of the Braves. Hodges finished 15-9 with a 3.19 ERA in 28 starts for Richmond. He posted a 116/56 K/BB ratio in 172 innings. The walk rate is nice and low, but his strikeout rate is too weak for me to get excited about him. He is a Grade C pitching prospect, someone with some skills (control, command, durability), but also with some weaknesses (not a hot fastball, low strikeout rate). I don't see any other way to read the statistical data and scouting reports. Hodges could be a useful pitcher, a Cory Lidle or Rick Reed type, but he could also get stuck in Triple-A for the next 10 years. 这一篇是谈Jeff Francouer The Braves love tools players, and they love players from the Deep South, Georgia especially. They scored on all counts with Francouer, drafting him in the first round this year out of high school in Lilburn, Georgia. He's a terrific athlete. They had to buy him away from a Clemson scholarship, but they managed to do so, and his initial performance in the Appy League was very good, as you point out. Francouer was alleged to be somewhat raw by many experts, but he adjusted to pro ball very quickly, and the Braves think he'll move up fast. They compare him to a young Dale Murphy, due to his power/speed combination. The biggest hole in Francouer's stat line at Danville were his walk and strikeout rates. He drew 15 free passes in 162 plate appearances, while fanning 34 times. Those are not awful numbers by any means, but they aren't great, either, and a sign that he may need some adjustment time at higher levels. Normally I wouldn't worry about it too much, but Atlanta does not have a good track record over the last few years in helping similar prospects develop their hitting skills. I think Francouer is an excellent prospect, but I want to see what he does in full-season ball before projecting quick advancement. He is worth an investment in a deep fantasy league with a big farm system structure, but don't expect a quick payoff. -- Chipper Jones G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS OBP SLG AVG 99 157 561 116 181 41 1 45 110 126 94 25 3 .427 .633 .319 Most valuable Player --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.csie.ntu.edu.tw) ◆ From: 140.116.109.1 ※ 编辑: grant44 来自: 140.116.109.1 (01/11 20:54)