作者wfol (MVP Josh Beckett)
看板Blue_Jays
标题Rotoworld Top 10 prospects : Blue Jays
时间Thu Dec 11 14:53:05 2003
1. Alexis Rios - OF - Age 23 - ETA: April 2005
.352/.402/.521,11 HR,82 RBI,85/39 K/BB,11 SB in 514 AB for Double-A New Haven
It took four years, but Rios finally emerged as a top prospect in 2003,becoming
the Eastern League MVP by posting an OPS 235 points higher than his career
total entering the year. The former first-round pick figures to continue to add
power as he matures, maybe turning into a 25-30 homer guy. He's a legit center
fielder defensively, but he'll end up in a corner in Toronto. If his pitch
recognition and strike-zone judgment improve, he could be a star.
四年的时间,终於在2003年让Rios 浮现为Top prospect ,并获得的东方联盟的MVP。
Rios 今年的OPS,远比他过去的生涯平均高了千分之235。
这位过去於第一轮选秀被选进的球员,随着他年纪的成熟,逐渐长出了power, 未来可能
成为一个25-30支HR的打者。他是个正统的中外野手,但因为V.Wells 的关系而会被挤到
corner 去,如果他的球路辨识跟好球带判断能力有所改善,将来他可能会是明星级球员。
2. Dustin McGowan - RHP - Age 22 - ETA: Sept. 2004
5-6, 2.85 ERA, 62 H, 66/25 K/BB in 75 2/3 IP for Single-A Dunedin
7-0, 3.17 ERA, 78 H, 72/19 K/BB in 76 2/3 IP for Double-A New Haven
McGowan, the 33rd overall pick in the 2000 draft, is steadily making the
transition from thrower to pitcher. He still lacks consistency with his power
curve and changeup, but he's getting better, and his mid-90s fastball is
overpowering at times. It's not really a stretch to label McGowan as a
potential ace, but I think of his as more of a No. 2. Expect him to make his
major league debut before the end of next season.
McGowan,2000年第33顺位被选进的球员,稳定的从一名thrower 转变成一位投手
(意即从只是丢球变成会投球)。他的强力曲球跟变速球还是欠缺稳定性,不过已经逐渐在
进步当中,而且他的mid-90s fastball 不时能力压对手。还无法笃定的说McGiwan 有成为
ACE 的潜力,但他应该不仅仅是个No.2。预期McGowen 会在明年球季(2004)的结束前会登上
Major League。(反正McGowen 上来当Halladay 之後的第二号,应该相当合适~)
3. Gabe Gross - OF - Age 24 - ETA: Aug. 2004
.319/.423/.481, 7 HR, 51 RBI, 53/52 K/BB, 3 SB in 310 AB for Double-A New Haven
.264/.380/.456, 5 HR, 23 RBI, 56/31 K/BB, 1 SB in 182 AB for Triple-A Syracuse
Gross rebounded well after a down 2002, earning himself a spot on Team USA for
the Olympic qualifying tournament in the process.He does a great job of getting
on base and is developing into a quality defensive right fielder. The next step
is for him to turn some doubles into home runs. Once that happens, he'll be
ready to take over as a regular for the Blue Jays It could happen in the second
half of 2004 or in 2005.
Gross 从他2002球季的糟糕表现反弹上来,也为他争取到美国代表队的一个位置,去参加
奥运的美洲区资格赛。他今年打得不错,比赛时表现出上垒能力,并且发展成为一个有优
质守备的右外野手。Gross 的下一步就是要把他的一些二垒打转换成全垒打,当他确实办
到之时,即代表着他准备好接下Blue Jays 的正选右外野手了。这件事可能在2004的下半
球季或者2005年就会发生。
4. Jason Arnold - RHP - Age 24 - ETA: June 2004
3-1, 1.53 ERA, 18 H, 33/11 K/BB in 35 1/3 IP for Double-A New Haven
4-8, 4.33 ERA, 121 H, 82/46 K/BB in 120 2/3 IP for Triple-A Syracuse
Arnold, who along with John-Ford Griffin has been traded from the Yankees to
the A's to the Blue Jays, couldn't master Triple-A and make the jump to the
majors last season. It should happen next year. The former second-round pick
complements an average fastball and slider with a palmball that he can use
against both righties and lefties. Many think he'll end up in the bullpen, but
he deserves a chance to establish himself as a third or fourth starter. If it
doesn't happen, he'll be an effective setup man.
Arnold(跟John-Ford Griffin 都是辗转从Yankees --> A's 交易过来),由於应付不了3A,
使得他无法一举在今年跳上Major League。但他明年(2004)应该就会升上来。
这个过去第二轮选秀被选进的球员,有着平均水准的fastball 和slider,并搭配
palmball(掌心球),可以来对付右打者以及左打者。很多人认为他最终会进入牛棚,成为
中继投手,但值得给他一个机会,让他试试能否顶上第三或第四号的先发投手。如果不能
成为先发,他也应该会是个不错的setup man。
5. Guillermo Quiroz - C - Age 22 - ETA: April 2005
.282/.372/.518, 20 HR, 79 RBI, 83/45 K/BB,0 SB in 369 AB for Double-A New Haven
Kevin Cash will get his chance to secure the job in 2004,but the Blue Jays seem
to have a new catcher of the future in Quiroz, who was signed out of Venezuela
in 1998. The 22-year-old doesn't quite have Cash's defensive skills, but he is
very good with the glove and he has far more offensive ability. He could hit
.260 with 20 homers per year in the majors.Expect him to spend 2004 in Triple-A
and take over as Toronto’s catcher in 2005.
Kevin Cash 2004球季的地位应该稳固,不过Blue Jays 又出现一个新的未来捕手人选,那
就是1998年在委内瑞拉所签下的Guillermo Quiroz。22岁的Quiroz 的防守功力当然无法跟
Cash 相比(Cash 的防守技能相当强,阻杀很猛),但他接球的功夫相当好,而且打击也比
Cash 强多了。他在Major League 可以打出0.260 20HR的成绩。预期2004球季他会在3A渡
过,2005年会接管Blue Jays 的正选捕手之位。
6. Vince Perkins - RHP - Age 22 - ETA: Sept. 2005
3-1, 1.83 ERA, 19 H, 60/22 K/BB in 44 1/3 IP for Low Single-A Charleston
7-6, 2.45 ERA, 58 H, 69/53 K/BB in 84 1/3 IP for Single-A Dunedin
Perkins, an 18th-round pick in 2000, is a year behind Dustin McGowan in the
thrower-to-pitcher department. He has a mid-90s fastball and a hard slider that
make him extremely difficult to hit when he’s on. Command is a major problem,
so he probably won’t be much of a factor until 2006.
7. Brandon League - RHP - Age 21 - ETA: 2006
6-6, 3.28 ERA, 134 H, 95/38 K/BB in 137 IP between two Single-A clubs. 2001
second-round pick throws a mid-90s fastball. Secondary pitches need work.
8. David Bush - RHP - Age 24 - ETA: May 2005
14-6, 2.79 ERA, 137 H, 148/28 K/BB in 158 IP between Single-A Dunedin and
Double-A New Haven. Former college closer has low-90s fastball, quality slider
and excellent control. Could be a fourth starter or a closer for Toronto.
9. John-Ford Griffin - OF - Age 24 - May 2005
His .279/.361/.461 during a disappointing season at Double-A New Haven. All of
his value is offensive, so he needs a big year in Triple-A in 2004 to have any
chance of working his way into Toronto’s plans.
10. Aaron Hill - SS - Age 22 - ETA: 2007
First-round pick in 2003 edges 2002 first-rounder Russ Adams for a spot on the
list. .361/.446/.492 in 33 games for Rookie Auburn before struggling in 32 games
at Dunedin (.286/.343/.345). Will end up at second or third and should have the
bat to handle either.
Last year’s top 10 - Gabe Gross, Jayson Werth, Dustin McGowan, Kevin Cash,
Russ Adams, Francisco Rosario, Vinny Chulk, Dominic Rich, Mike Smith,
Mark Hendrickson
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