Will the Padres trade Mason Miller? Rival executives weigh in 教士是否会交易 Mason Miller？其他球队高层提出看法。 uly 9th, 2026 Mark Feinsand https://www.mlb.com/news/mason-miller-padres-trade-rumors-2026-trade-deadline A.J. Preller shocked the baseball world last summer, trading one of the game’ s best prospects as part of a package for All-Star closer Mason Miller. 去年夏天，棒球事务总裁（President of Baseball Operations）A.J. Preller 震惊整个 棒球界，他将联盟顶尖新秀之一纳入交易包裹，换来明星终结者 Mason Miller。 Could the Padres’ president of baseball operations pull another stunner in the coming weeks by flipping Miller less than 12 months after acquiring him? 教士的棒球事务总裁（President of Baseball Operations） A.J. Preller，是否会在未 来几周再次投下震撼弹，在交易来 Mason Miller 不到 12 个月後，就将他再次送走？ “As far as A.J. goes, the only thing I know is I don’t know,” said an American League executive. 一位美国联盟高层表示：「只要事情牵涉到 A.J.，我唯一确定的，就是我不知道。」 The Padres are 3-9 since June 27, an alarming fall for a club that was 11 games over .500, held the top National League Wild Card spot and set only a half-game behind the Dodgers in the NL West on May 23. 教士自 6 月 27 日以来仅打出 3 胜 9 败，对这支球队而言可说是令人忧心的崩盘。5 月 23 日时，他们不仅胜率高於五成 11 场，稳居国家联盟外卡第一名，在国联西区也 仅落後道奇半场胜差。 After Wednesday's win, the Padres are 46-46, the sixth-worst record in the NL. They sit 14 games behind the Dodgers and 4 1/2 games behind the Marlins for the final NL Wild Card spot, and FanGraphs listed San Diego’s postseason odds at 12.1%. 在周三赢球後，教士战绩来到 46 胜 46 败，仍是国家联盟第六差战绩。目前他们落後道 奇 14 场，距离最後一席国联外卡资格也落後马林鱼 4.5 场。根据 FanGraphs 预测，圣 地牙哥闯进季後赛的机率仅 12.1%。 The price for Miller was steep, with shortstop Leo De Vries -- the No. 3 prospect on MLB Pipeline’s Top 100 list at the time (now No. 2) -- headlining the four-player package that went to the Athletics for Miller and left-hander J.P. Sears. With the Padres headed in the wrong direction this season, would Preller dangle his All-Star closer out there to see what type of value he could get back? 教士当初为了得到 Mason Miller 所付出的代价相当高昂。交易包裹以游击手 Leo De Vries 为主，他当时是 MLB Pipeline 百大新秀排名第 3（目前已升至第 2），再加上另 外三名球员，一起送往运动家，换回 Mason Miller 及左投 J.P. Sears。如今教士本季战 况急转直下，Preller 是否会把这位明星终结者重新放上市场，测试看看究竟能换回多少 价值？ “They have to consider it if they keep playing like this,” an NL executive said. “They won’t get De Vries type value back for him, but they’ll still do well if they trade him.” 一位国家联盟高层表示：「如果他们继续打成这样，就必须认真考虑这件事。」 「他们不可能再换回像 Leo De Vries 那种等级的价值，但若真的交易 Miller，仍然可以 得到相当不错的回报。」 “I think they would really have to slide in order to move him,” another NL exec said. “I’m not sure they would be able to recoup the prospect level they acquired him for last Deadline, since there are few teams that are as aggressive as Preller at the Deadline.” 另一位国家联盟高层则表示：「我认为除非他们真的一路崩盘，否则才会考虑交易他。」 「我也不确定他们是否能换回去年交易截止日前，为了得到 Miller 所付出的那种新秀等 级。因为像 Preller 一样，在交易截止日如此积极、大胆出手的球队，其实非常少。」 An AL executive agreed with that last point, noting that “there’s not another A.J. out there willing to give up that much value.” Still, the executive believes Miller “should still command a serious return” if the Padres opt to move him. 一位美国联盟高层也认同上述看法。他表示：「没有第二个 A.J. 愿意付出那麽高的代价 。」不过他仍认为，如果教士最终决定交易 Mason Miller，他依旧能换回极具份量的交易 回报。 “I would think he would be capable of two Top 100 [players] or a Top 100 and another two players that are organizational Top 10s or so,” an NL executive said. “But I’m not sure they would feel it would be worth it.” 另一位国家联盟高层表示：「我认为他的行情，大概可以换到两位百大新秀，或是一位百 大新秀，再加上两位各球团农场排名前十左右的新秀。」「只是我不确定教士是否会认为 ，这样的回报值得把他交易出去。」 Miller and the Padres agreed to a $4 million salary this season, avoiding arbitration in the reliever’s first year of eligibility. As a Super Two, Miller will be arbitration-eligible for three more years, the type of club control that increases a player’s trade value. Mason Miller 本季与教士达成 400 万美元合约，避免进入薪资仲裁，这也是他首次具备 薪资仲裁资格的球季。由於属於超级二年级资格球员，Miller 未来还有 3 年薪资仲裁资 格，这代表球队仍握有较长时间的控制权，而这种合约状态也会提升他的交易价值。 The best comparison to Miller in terms of his salary trend is Josh Hader, who was also a Super Two player, receiving four years of arbitration eligibility. Hader earned $4.1 million, $6.675 million, $11 million and $14.1 million in his four arbitration seasons, giving the Padres a general idea of what it will cost to keep Miller on a year-by-year basis. 若以薪资成长趋势来看，Mason Miller 最接近的案例就是 Josh Hader。Hader 同样属於 超级二年级球员，因此拥有 4 年薪资仲裁资格。他四个仲裁球季的薪资依序为 410 万美 元、667.5 万美元、1,100 万美元以及 1,410 万美元。这也让教士大致可以估算，未来若 持续留下 Miller，每年的薪资成本将可能如何成长。 The Padres already have some major financial commitments locked in for the next few years; Xander Bogaerts (owed $175 million from 2027-33), Manny Machado ($245 million from 2027-33), Fernando Tatis Jr. ($266 million from 2027-34), Jake Cronenworth ($48 million from 2027-30), Jackson Merrill ($124 million from 2027-34) and Michael King ($28 million player option for 2027, $30 million player option for 2028) are all signed to deals through at least 2028. With a new ownership group in place, it’s unclear whether Preller will be asked to move some salary, which could have a direct impact on his approach at the Deadline and next offseason. 教士未来几年早已有不少庞大的薪资承诺，包括： Xander Bogaerts：2027 至 2033 年仍有 1.75 亿美元合约。 Manny Machado：2027 至 2033 年 2.45 亿美元。 Fernando Tatis Jr.：2027 至 2034 年 2.66 亿美元。 Jake Cronenworth：2027 至 2030 年 4,800 万美元。 Jackson Merrill：2027 至 2034 年 1.24 亿美元。 Michael King：2027 年 2,800 万美元球员选择权、2028 年 3,000 万美元球员选择权。 上述球员的合约至少都延续至 2028 年。 随着新的经营团队接手，外界仍不清楚 Preller 是否会被要求削减部分薪资支出，而这将 直接影响他在交易截止日以及下一个休赛季的操作策略。 “I haven’t heard whispers [about Miller being available], but I can definitely see [Preller] moving him to restock, then reloading this offseason, ” an AL executive said. “He could get a decent haul; two top 100s and some mid-levels.” 一位美国联盟高层表示：「我还没听到任何关於 Miller 已经被摆上交易市场的风声，但 我完全可以想像 Preller 会交易他，藉此补充农场战力，然後等到今年休赛季再重新补强 大联盟阵容。」「他应该可以换回相当不错的筹码，例如两名百大新秀，再加上几位中阶 等级的新秀。」 One executive wondered whether Preller could utilize Miller to fill other holes on the big league roster -- the Padres are in need of a bat as well as rotation help -- or if San Diego could attach one of its other huge contracts (Bogaerts?) to Miller to clear out payroll space moving forward. 另一位高层则提出不同的可能性。他认为，Preller 或许可以利用交易 Mason Miller，直 接补强大联盟阵容的其他缺口──目前教士不仅需要一名打者，也需要先发轮值战力。此 外，他也猜测圣地牙哥是否可能把 Miller 与队中另一张大型合约（例如 Xander Bogaerts）一起打包交易，以腾出未来更多薪资空间。 “The beginning of the end may have arrived for that roster,” an AL executive said. “The Bogaerts contract is a wreck to take on, especially since we don’t know the payroll rules for next year [under the next collective bargaining agreement].” 一位美国联盟高层表示：「这套阵容或许已经走到开始瓦解的阶段了。」他接着说： 「Bogaerts 那份合约几乎没有人愿意接手，尤其是在我们还不知道下一份团体协约 （Collective Bargaining Agreement，CBA）对薪资制度将如何规范的情况下，更是如此 。」 Trading for a big name and moving him the following year may seem unorthodox, but Preller has done this dance before. He traded six players (including James Wood, MacKenzie Gore and C.J. Abrams) to the Nationals for Juan Soto (and Josh Bell) in August 2022, when Soto was more than two years away from free agency. Sixteen months later, the Padres traded Soto -- then entering his walk year -- and Trent Grisham to the Yankees for a five-player package headlined by King. 交易来一位超级球星，隔年又立刻将他送走，这样的操作看似不合常理，但 Preller 过去 确实曾经这麽做过。2022 年 8 月，当 Juan Soto 距离取得自由球员资格还有两年多时， Preller 就曾送出 James Wood、MacKenzie Gore、C.J. Abrams 等 6 名球员，向国民交 易来 Juan Soto 与 Josh Bell。然而仅仅 16 个月後，教士又趁 Soto 即将进入合约年时 ，将他与 Trent Grisham 一起交易到 Yankees，换回以 Michael King 为首的 5 人交易 包裹。 “I had that in the back of my mind, but he did it in the offseason,” an NL executive said of the Soto comparison. “I can’t recall him selling [at the Trade Deadline] when the team was close.” 谈到 Juan Soto 的案例，一位国家联盟高层表示：「我确实有想到这个例子，不过那笔交 易是在休赛季完成的。」他接着说：「我不记得当球队还保有竞争力时，Preller 曾在交 易截止日选择出售主力、扮演卖家的角色。」 The consensus among the dozen or so executives we spoke with was that Preller is unlikely to trade Miller -- or be a seller at all -- unless the Padres’ situation gets far worse over the next three weeks. 综合受访的十多位球队高层看法，多数人的共识是：除非教士在未来三周战况持续恶化， 否则 Preller 不太可能交易 Mason Miller，甚至也不太可能在今年交易截止日前成为卖 家。 “I don’t think he will unless they really fall out of it,” an AL executive said. “It feels like he is going to do everything he can to stay in it as opposed to trying to reset.” 一位美国联盟高层表示：「除非教士真的完全退出竞争行列，否则我不认为他会这麽做。 」他接着说：「我感觉 Preller 会想尽一切办法让球队继续保有竞争力，而不是现在就开 始重建。」 “I don’t know if A.J. is ready to wave the white flag,” another AL exec said. “[He has] so much invested in this team, and the future doesn’t look great.” 另一位美国联盟高层表示：「我不知道 A.J. 是否已经准备好举白旗认输。」他认为：「 他在这支球队投入了太多心力与资源，而目前来看，球队的未来前景也称不上乐观。」 Even if Preller decides to see what kind of return he could get for Miller, a huge fire sale seems like a long shot. 即使 Preller 最後决定评估交易 Mason Miller 能够换回多少价值，教士展开大规模「清 仓拍卖」的可能性，仍然相当低。 “They probably have lines on everyone and would only jump in something if it opened up an avenue to improve the team in another way,” an NL executive said. “I don’t think there’s any universe they all-in sell, but you never know what individual move might or might not happen.” 一位国家联盟高层表示：「他们大概会对每一位球员的交易可能性都保持开放态度，但只 有在某笔交易能够替球队开启另一种补强途径时，他们才会真正出手。」他接着说：「我 不认为有任何情况下，他们会彻底变成全面出售主力的卖家。不过，个别球员是否会被交 易，谁也无法预料。」 “A.J. follows the Jimmy V mantra,” an AL exec said. “Don’t give up; don ’t ever give up.” 一位美国联盟高层表示：「A.J. 一直奉行 Jimmy V 的人生信念。」也就是：「不要放弃 ；永远不要放弃。」 （Jimmy V 为已故美国大学篮球名教练 Jimmy Valvano，这句 "Don't give up; don't ever give up." 是他最广为流传的名言。） -- Mark Feinsand, a senior national reporter, originally joined MLB.com as a reporter in 2001. --

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