作者zxc906383 (无无)
看板Baseball
标题[情报] Jon Heyman预测山本由伸合约:$200M/8yr
时间Sat Nov 4 00:01:09 2023
https://reurl.cc/0ZyYKk
纽约邮报记者Jon Heyman找了两位专家
和他一起预测自由市场前16大SP的合约
其中山本由伸这三位分别给了
Expert 1:
$210M/7yrs
Expert 2:
$120M/5yrs
Jon Heyman:
$200M/8yrs
完整前16名预测
1. Blake Snell
Expert 1: $185M, 5 years.
Expert 2: $180M/6.
Me: $200M/6.
2. 山本由伸
Expert 1: $210M, 7 years.
Expert 2: $120M/5.
Me: $200M/8.
3. Aaron Nola
Expert 1: $175M, 5 years.
Expert 2: $140M/5.
Me: $168M/6.
4. Jordan Montgomery
Expert 1: $120M, 5 years.
Expert 2: $80M/5.
Me: $120M/6.
5. Eduardo Rodriguez
Expert 1: $110M, 5 years.
Expert 2: $100M/5.
Me: $90M/5.
6. Sonny Gray
Expert 1: $66M, 3 years.
Expert 2: $65M/3.
Me: $72M/3.
7. Lucas Giolito
Expert 1: $51M, 3 years.
Expert 2: $80M/4.
Me: $45M/3.
8. Clayton Kershaw
Expert 1: $20M, 1 year.
Expert 2: $20M/1.
Me: $21M/1 (if he pitches).
9. Michael Wacha
Expert 1: $48M, 3 years.
Expert 2: $28M/2.
Me: $30M/2.
10. Jack Flaherty
Expert 1: $42M, 3 years.
Expert 2: $10M/1.
Me: $45M/3.
11. Seth Lugo
Expert 1: $42M, 3 years.
Expert 2: $39M/3.
Me: $30M/2.
12. Michael Lorenzen
Expert 1: $24M, 2 years.
Expert 2: $20M/2.
Me: $30M/2.
13. Kyle Hendricks
Expert 1: $66M, 3 years.
Expert 2: $30M/2.
Me: Cubs pick up($16M)
14. Kyle Gibson
Expert 1: $22M, 2 years.
Expert 2: $12M/1.
Me: $12M/1.
15. 柳贤振
Expert 1: $13M, 1 year.
Expert 2: $10M/1 (plus incentives)
Me: $12M/1.
16. James Paxton
Expert 1: $10M, 1 year.
Expert 2: $8M/1.
Me: $11M/1.
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※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 111.248.223.148 (台湾)
※ 文章网址: https://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/Baseball/M.1699027271.A.3F6.html
1F：推 polanco: 120/5不太可能吧11/04 00:02
2F：→ choobii: 所以是八年还六年?11/04 00:02
※ 编辑: zxc906383 (111.248.223.148 台湾), 11/04/2023 00:03:38
※ 编辑: zxc906383 (111.248.223.148 台湾), 11/04/2023 00:04:22
3F：推 TokyoHard: 专不专业啊,不是说成功的前例很少?还给这麽高 11/04 00:05
4F：推 mashmabo: 5年太短 11/04 00:06
5F：推 MapleLeaf151: Giolito跟Flaherty也给太高 11/04 00:06
6F：推 teller526: 觉得会签5~6年 30岁颠峰期左右再签一张大约 11/04 00:08
7F：推 kenkuo1688: Heyman 给的 都还蛮有可能的 11/04 00:11
8F：嘘 deeping774: 上面一堆旅基 想想真可悲 在洋基完全没这麽好的成绩 11/04 00:12
9F：→ MapleLeaf151: 能签长约带option啊 不一定要只签到30岁 11/04 00:13
10F：→ kenro: 全部摊下来2500起跳吧 11/04 00:13
11F：→ kenkuo1688: Fla 跟Giolito 可能就赌复活吧 11/04 00:14
12F：嘘 k22015987: 5Y120M？专家？ 11/04 00:19
13F：推 TRosenthal: Flaherty给45M ，打对折都不一定拿得到了 11/04 00:25
14F：推 xd987: 234名彼此落差也太大 11/04 00:34
15F：→ WasJohnWall: Fla Gio7M能拿那麽多喔 11/04 00:41
16F：推 hsetaornte: 第二个普遍都给偏少啊 11/04 01:13
17F：→ tsujishiori: 明天跟阪神打完会不会被杀价？ 11/04 01:53
18F：→ blacklittle: 书僮开刀去了 11/04 01:56
19F：推 rondo0417: seth lugo太高吧 成绩超普 11/04 02:47
20F：推 idtvgame: 要30岁再出来签大约 约里要个跳脱就好 不太可能签5而已 11/04 04:50
21F：嘘 henry3182001: 25岁 没有7-8年 别笑想.. 11/04 05:16
22F：推 GP03D: 要算入通膨了。每年10%-15%以上。我觉得实际金额都会更高。 11/04 05:19
23F：推 ia220629: 专家不署名 对我来说跟乡民喊没什麽区别欸 11/04 06:16
24F：推 all035: 山本拿5年约比较有可能 虽然是强投 但没在美国出赛过 11/04 07:26
25F：→ all035: 直接绑一张8年以上大约 签的那队就真的赌很大 11/04 07:28
26F：推 cl3bp6: 一定一堆球队抢 你不签到8年只签5年怎麽跟别人竞争 签8年 11/04 07:41
27F：→ cl3bp6: 中间附个逃脱条款比较合理 11/04 07:41
28F：推 kiss7938: 山本第一个价码也太唬烂，aav 30m已经是赛扬级的加码了= 11/04 08:44
29F：→ kiss7938: = 年限以投手约来看也算长约了 11/04 08:44
30F：→ rocky9137: 0签3万 知足常乐 11/04 08:48
31F：推 yaes111: 蜗牛应该是6年2亿 11/04 09:26
32F：推 ric3: 赛扬不只30了.. 11/04 10:50