作者ThomasHSNU (mimura *^^*)
看板Athletics
标题[情报] 2017 Draft 绿帽版
时间Sat Jun 10 00:40:40 2017
今年是新CBA後的第一个选秀,不过补偿的改变这个offseason才会实行,也就是影响下一次
的选秀.
去年又一次不理想的战绩顺利拿到第六顺位(多输一场甚至可以冲第三)
这次比较特别的是two-way talent在一二轮特别的多.BA有篇历史上的Two-way players
(
https://goo.gl/iAWJnF)
这次college hitter,C,SS很缺 绿帽顺位附近可以挑的college RHP和OF倒是很够 而且有
多个备案 是只要想选八成会有 问题在於到底相信那些东西是修得好的
这次绿帽的bonus pool是第五高的11.4M(
https://goo.gl/IFLBiM)
附带一提的是新CBA调整了每个slot money,可以看连结那个表:比起去年前两pick下降一
些,钱分到3-59去增加,60到最後下降,这使的最前面的人cut deal和8-10轮可节省的钱变
少了,然而像绿帽的6th overall已经有5.3M,比去年A.J.Puk slot$的4.1M高出许多.
5.3M不计入5%缓冲已经是Top3才可以拿到的钱
时间
June 12 7:00 p.m. (ET) 1-2 and Competitive Balance Round B
June 13 1:00 p.m. (ET) Rounds 3-10
June 14 12:00 p.m. (ET) Rounds 11-40
顺位
1st(30) Supp.1st(6) 2nd(31) Supp.2nd(8) 3rd(30) after 4th
#6 #33 #43 #81 #111
本来要舍弃33rd顺位签EE不过没有选我们创队以来AAV最高的约 新CBA也不会再丢这麽高
的顺位
在FO整个换过的ARI前面选非常好
前面以去年的情形来讲,ATL可以做cut deal
今年的representative是去年名单上但没出现的Dallas Braden(
https://goo.gl/83XSIW)
以下老样子以#6为主,BA3/5=BA3/5月排名 KL4=KeithLaw排名 PG11/4/5=
Perfect Game排名 MLB.com=MLB.com排名
2.
Kyle Wright RHP College:Vanderbilt Age:21.8
4-5 2.91ERA 89.2IP 67H 27BB/104SO
BA3/5=6/2 KL4=2
PG11/4/5=2/9/2 MLB.com=3
在投手丘上有SP的所有条件:physical(6-4 220lbs),athleticism, 92-95 mph fastball
up to 97mph, low-80s 11-to-5 curve, mid-80s above average slider/cutter with
late and nasty action, mid-80s average changeup. 季初丢mid-90s却没有command,
近几个月改回92-95 mph就摆脱季初的控球不稳,回到draft board的前几名.在club喜欢求
稳的情形下很快就会被挑走,不会超过top5
https://youtu.be/n2ZiUt-UVI4
https://youtu.be/QrOthlEMDlw
https://youtu.be/KXK3KkqdAX8
4.
MacKenzie Gore LHP HS:Whiteville (N.C.) HS Age:18.3
7-0 0.27ERA 50.2IP 3BB/110SO (May13)
BA3/5=13/4 KL4=6
PG11/4/5=89/7/5 MLB.com=4
Polished HS pitcher: 90-94mph fastball that can hit 96, can maintain his
velocity into the late innings.Very advanced 1-to-7 curveball that can be plus.
Low 80s slider/changeup and can be above-average.Very good command ,especially
for a HS pitcher.Very good athlete with performance(12-1 0.08ERA 83.1IP 174SO
as a junior).Repeats mechanics well
Ceiling不像去年的Jason Groome,不确定绿帽是否愿意赌在他身上,且前面选的人也对他
很有兴趣.今年绿帽花了很多时间在North Carolina看Gore,Beck and J.B. Bukauskas,
Gore特别四月中Beane亲自看过
https://youtu.be/nlyTIS4eOJI
https://youtu.be/fdpG5mynG1o
https://youtu.be/JLkZukR_QSI
5.
Royce Lewis R/R SS/OF HS:JSerra Catholic HS, Calif. Age:18
.388/.569/.662,4HR,24BB/7SO,23SB-26ATT
BA3/5=7/5 KL4=4
PG11/4/5=8/3/4 MLB.com=5
Well-rounded offensive prospect.plus-plus bat speed, 70 runner,plus
athleticism.Average arm strength and raw power.played CF on the summer showcase
circuit,where he can be a plus defender.Played SS at HS,though staying
at that position isn't a certainty.Outstanding at all the major events:
Showcase,Tournament and the National team.
Hit排在HS bat前段但并没有比他的其他tool好,bat speed佳但是否真能成长成scouting
report上的那个future grade.Local boy很难掉出前五
https://youtu.be/8tveest2U1c
https://youtu.be/9sjm28fb2V0
https://youtu.be/J0RhxN3zjSk
https://youtu.be/woLF0MtTdio
6.
J.B. Bukauskas RHP College:North Carolina Age:20.8
8-0 1.81ERA 82IP 52H 31BB/106SO
BA3/5=3/6 KL4=5
PG11/4/5=6/6/6 MLB.com=7
93-97 mph fastball , plus-plus high-80s slider with devastatingly sharp break,
and he has great command of it. Rarely use his changeup but it was above-
average in the U.S. National Team. Friday night starter this season,dominant
performance.Young for the class(won't turn 21 until November)
Sonny Gray II 有这次大学最好的变化球.对他的debate主要在Height(six-feet)和effort
in his delivery,前者绿帽通常比较少care,後者delivery可以repeat well但是否可以撑
200局和有多少空间增加command. 但是因为rumor太明显了,看起来比较像是个备案...
https://youtu.be/zpiJI9RixVs
https://youtu.be/UOk9GWXg5uU
https://youtu.be/_qxyCI1yJhU
https://youtu.be/7sDQQ5xZoh4
9.
Austin Beck R/R OF HS:North Davidson HS,Lexington,N.C.Age:18.6
.590/.700/1.218,12HR,28BB/12SO,7SB-8ATT
BA3/5=4/9 KL4=12
PG11/4/5=NR/5/10 MLB.com=9
Offensive profile:plus-plus bat speed, now may power over bat,plus runner and
plus arm.Good actions in CF.ACL surgery last summer.Lacks extensive wood-bat
history because of missing missing the summer circuit
绿帽在North Carolina常看的人之一.特别是选秀前一周还做了individual workout,想的
到的所有高层都在..Beane,Forst,Kubota,Billy Owens.Tooly虽不是Jordon Adell那种体
能怪物但pure bat比他好.也比较可能CF.没木棒AB和不能对战其他顶级新秀无解,增加选他
的风险,连官网都没有摆他的影片.但显而易见的是他是绿帽非常有兴趣的人选
https://youtu.be/ahhHUFWvB_k
https://youtu.be/j_RLa65-VNo
https://youtu.be/99Ik6G3erB8
10.
Alex Faedo RHP College:Florida Age:21.7
7-2 2.80ERA 96.1IP 81H 32BB/113SO
BA3/5=9/10 KL4=13
PG11/4/5=3/12/14 MLB.com=11
Rotation member of A.J. Puk and Logan Shore in Florida Gators. 88-92 mph
fastball but I saw low-90s in May.Plus mid-80s slider that rivals J.B.
Bukauskas' sometimes. quality changeup.Starting pitcher build.Long arm action
and delivery raise some concerns.minor surgery on both knees in the fall.
Consistent performance and the track record.
球速季初在88-92现在May看是low 90s,可能有助於提升它的排名.不过双膝手术也增加
长期risk
https://youtu.be/tpl7zfxfPjw
https://youtu.be/V0mTXCjwJWk
12.
Adam Haseley L/L OF/LHP College:Virginia Age:21.1
.399/.496/.676,14HR,41BB/20SO,10SB-14ATT
7-1 3.58ERA 65.1IP 58H 18BB/53SO
BA3/5=18/12 KL4=11
PG11/4/5=93/31/7 MLB.com=10
排名上升最多的人之一.Two-way player.Has above-average hitting skills and uses
the entire field.Average power,thought not sure what it will be with the wood
bat. Above average runner.Average accurate arm,average defender in CF.Advanced
approach(41BB/20SO).Breakout season(.399/.496/.676),more power than he's ever
shown before.
跟Jeren Kendall是这次常拿来比较的大学棒子,排名随着球季进行超过tool面好很多的
Kendall.对他的意见有rotational swing或能不能待CF,虽然常说McKay如如果专注一角色
的话一定更好 但其实Adam Haseley也是.跟Andrew Benintendi一样在选秀前窜升.Tool不
如但内容上有类似 相信是绿帽很有兴趣的人.
https://youtu.be/0fMe-VpVbLM
https://youtu.be/MUxbr5vaPHM
https://goo.gl/MTzh55
https://youtu.be/QhuuADGfteI
17.
Jeren Kendall L/R OF College:Vanderbilt Age:21.4
.306/.380/.570,15HR,24BB/67SO,18SB-22ATT
BA3/5=5/17 KL4=10
PG11/4/5=4/4/11 MLB.com=6
Toolsy outfielder with concerns about contact.1-1 candidate entering the year.
Plus bat speed,plus row power,70 or 80 runner.Above-average arm strength,
potentially plus defender.Athleticism.easy to be with.Personality is plus
Struck out 25% of PA.
Kendall的K%是每次提到他都会出现的问题,BA也跑了一下statistical comparison,非常
少人可以克服那个contact rate.另提到Vanderbilt是在turf field所以swings hard造成
hit的可能性,不管怎样他的approach必须要改掉.当然他挥这麽多风扇还是可以打三围
306/.380/.570..应该是有人知道怎麽修好他,去年Alec Hansen那种都短时间内修好了,
绿帽知不知道他解药就不知道,但通常别队会比较抢先於修好这种人,而且又有好几个safe
bet在台面上应该不太会承受这种risk
https://youtu.be/EmxGMnpMbRw
https://youtu.be/6-01ZoDdL28
https://youtu.be/3owPB7lo928
https://youtu.be/XnSKCQGNZy8
Other notable guys:
Hunter Greene和Brendan McKay是非常特别的talent..ACT31(Top3%) McKay有best Pure
hitter,四响炮又连72.1IP没失分,clubs对他要做哪一种居然意见分歧.不详细写了
7.
Pavin Smith 1B one of the best pure hitter, .346/.429/.571,12HR,36BB/"9"SO
in 217AB
15.
David Peterson LHP fastball-slider combination,
2.51ERA,100.1IP 88H "15"BB/140SO
22.
Seth Romero LHP multiple suspensions in college,and the final one,kicked
off the team. makeup issue. SO9=15.72
前面来讲#1MIN,#2CIN,#3SD互相相关,Hunter Greene过度明显想去#3留在加州,但
前面不一定如他愿.Rumor显示#1MIN不想要HS pitcher,#2CIN较有可能双栖的二选一,
#3没Greene的话GoreLewisMcKay其他都有可能.#4TBR可能就是BPA.
#5ATLGoreBeckBaz
Haseley其他都有可能还跟BeckBazLewis做过private workout.但不确定他们会拿McKay
如果前面有其他的情形
Mock
BA:0316/0420/0518/0526 : Jeren Kendall/J.B. Bukauskas/MacKenzie Gore/
J.B. Bukauskas
mlb.com:1215/0501/0512/0518/0526/0601:McKay,Bukauskas/Smith,Bukauskas/Bukauskas
/Gore/Bukauskas/Smith
PG:0510/0602 : Bukauskas/Bukauskas
Keith Law: 0511/0601 : Bukauskas/Pavin Smith
scout.com:0418/0512/0522: Faedo/Bukauskas/Bukauskas
--
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1F:推 Sindush: 首推!! 06/10 00:52
2F:推 ghoster7: 推 06/10 00:56
3F:推 ghoster7: 觉得JB投球有点像Triggs 06/10 01:19
4F:推 RyanCook: 推 06/10 16:00
5F:→ acd51874: 借分享到粉丝团~ 06/12 16:37
6F:推 darvipon: 推推推推 06/12 16:50
7F:推 JustinIdiot: Benintendi会突然窜出是因为大家突然发现他有选秀资 06/12 20:30
8F:→ JustinIdiot: 格 当然他的身材也不突出 06/12 20:30
10F:→ ghoster7: BA Mock 4.5 06/12 22:17
12F:推 ghoster7: Beck Maybe? 06/12 22:50
14F:→ chemikelvin: 推 06/13 00:27
15F:推 dog54317: 推 06/19 22:28