作者ThomasHSNU (mimura *^^*)
看板Athletics
标题[情报] 2015 draft 绿帽版
时间Sun May 31 22:31:54 2015
在写这次选秀前可以看看下列一些球探的话:"We're seeing teams in the top eight to
10-15 still seeing those players that normally we would say,this guy is going
to be 15-30"."It’s a tough draft to handicap,as a matter of fact the toughest
one I've been a part of.""Though lining the players up may be more difficult
than it is in some years".有些人觉得本次选秀不好但这次对一轮後半是很有利的一次.
前段没痛痛的人没有Track Record或不是以往看到的第一轮前半ceiling.在前半抽没有以
前确定性,後半可以捞到真好货.这次HS OF应该是主要的depth所在,大学arm因为痛痛少了
一些人,另外就是一些SS.是近年来最无法预测的选秀,比以往不确定性更多,看起来前面会
有好料掉下来,一样的前面选了越多预测外的人对後半越有利,即使他们不碰伤兵那些人也
有一些safe pick一定可以选.其中一个观察重点是TJ痛痛组会滑多远.近年的Lucas
Giolito,Jeff Hoffman或是Erick Fedde都很快就被挑走了,前面多挑一些痛痛人有助其他
人滑落.以今年绿帽的点应该会有中意的大学生可以挑.今年Bonus pool是倒数第八的5.4M
时间
June 8 7:00 p.m. (ET) 1-2 and Competitive Balance Round B
June 9 1:00 p.m. (ET) Rounds 3-10
June 10 12:00 p.m. (ET) Rounds 11-40
一样mlb.com有提早一小时的Draft preview show.今年应该会看到新教主出来照相.
今年会去现场帮绿帽唱名的是Travis Buck
顺位
1st(26) Supp.1st(16) 2nd(28) Supp.2nd(5) 3rd(29) Supp.3rd(1) after 4th
#20 #63 traded to BOS #97 #128
以下老样子以#20为主,BA10/4/5=BA10/4/5月排名 KL4/5=KeithLaw排名 PG11/4/5=
Perfect Game排名 MLB.com=MLB.com排名
9.
Andrew Benintendi L/L OF College:Arkansas
.397/.498/.737,18HR,42/29 BB/SO,22SB-26ATT
BA10/4/5=NR/NR/9 KL4/5=NR/38
PG11/4/5=NR/56/12 MLB.com=8
One of the biggest risers.四月排名还没在Top50,没多久已经上升到BA的前十名.draft-
eligible sophomore.smooth swing,very good bat speed.make consistently hard
contact and good pitch recognition,plus raw power which didn't show before.
Above-average speed allow him to stick in CF.Basketball guard in high school.
Short track record(only around 200AB) and size(5'10").绿帽早先盯上的人选但是现
在已经藏不住.如果多只club想起来他缺点的话才有机会掉下来
13.
Tyler Jay LHP College:Illinois
5-1 0.64ERA 56.1IP 29H 6BB/65SO
BA10/4/5=32/29/13 KL4/5=39/16
PG11/4/5=33/27/11 MLB.com=9
93-96 mph with his fastball,touching as high as 97,plus slider and interesting
changeup&curveball.Good command,quick arm,ability to hold his velocity for
extended outings.这次安全的人太少排名往上的受益者,BA一次mock排他#1 overall.
最大问题是Illinois让他大学通通待在bullpen.但是提过的这次选秀过於特别,没办法知道
他会落在哪.
19.
James Kaprielian RHP College:UCLA
10-4 1.98ERA 104.2IP 84H 32BB/113SO
BA10/4/5=22/19/19 KL4/5=26/27
PG11/4/5=27/46/28 MLB.com=22
稳定的UCLA Ace.Long track record of success.Strongly built and durable.89-92
mph range fastbll,solid command.Sharp,late break curveball,capable slider,
improved velocity in April/May starts.Pitchability.Perceived price tag.Safer
bet.大部分的scouting report围绕在他的速度
24.
Ian Happ S/R OF/2B College:Cincinnati
.369/.492/.672,14HR,49/49 BB/SO,12SB-20ATT
BA10/4/5=16/17/24 KL4/5=6/7
PG11/4/5=20/9/8 MLB.com=20
One of the best college hitter(and from both sides of the plate) and performer.
Driving the ball to all fields,excellent bat speed,average power.above-average
runner,average arm.Question around what position he plays.A chance to stick at
2B.大学好棒子不容易在一轮後半偷到的但这次是个机会
25.
Jon Harris RHP College:Missouri State
8-1 1.85ERA 97.1IP 66H 35BB/113SO
BA10/4/5=50/22/25 KL4/5=23/22
PG11/4/5=71/21/10 MLB.com=10
91-94 mph touching 95 fastball,plus 12-to-6 79-81 mph range hammer curveball
with downward break,slider/changeup flashing plus at times.Plus command.Repeat
his delivery well.Early ankle injury.他跟Tyler Jay这次很类似,喜欢大学的人不知道
会多久出手
26.
Nathan Kirby LHP College:Virginia
5-2 2.28ERA 59.1IP 50H 30BB/75SO
BA10/4/5=10/7/26 KL4/5=19/20
PG11/4/5=14/15/31 MLB.com=26
Polish pitcher.Lively 91-94 mph fastball,84-86 mph changeup which takes a major
step forward,sharp 81-86 mph slider,fastball command issue at times.Strained
his left lat muscle and miss the rest of the season but should not be a long-
term issue.季初的Top10仍有一定的吸引力
27.
Phil Bickford RHP Junior College:JC of Southern Nevada
9-1 1.45ERA 86.2IP 45H 21BB/166SO
BA10/4/5=20/20/27 KL4/5=34/39
PG11/4/5=10/20/21 MLB.com=21
No.10 overall two years ago(widely believed that his deal fell apart due to
shoulder concerns).Up to 97 mph plus-plus fastball.Inconsistent 80-82 mph
flashed plus slider.Developing changeup.Very young(won't turn 20 until after
the draft).Very dominate against JC(SO/9=17.2) while throwing 90 percent
fastballs for most of his starts.Considered signable.听说绿帽有一些兴趣距离又
不远
30.
D.J. Stewart L/R OF College:Florida State
.320/.511/.580,13HR,69/42 BB/SO,11SB-14ATT
BA10/4/5=21/21/30 KL4/5=NR/69
PG11/4/5=26/25/30 MLB.com=36
Strongly built 6-foot,230-pound,advanced hit tool to complement his plus power,
very good plate discipline,crouches very low at the plate(see Kevin Youkilis).
Average speed(all-state running back in HS),below-average arm limits him to LF
or 1B.绿帽铁定有兴趣又组队去看的走路神二代,八成选的到的fallback plan
66.
Donnie Dewees L/L OF College:North Florida
.422/.483/.749,18HR,30/16 BB/SO,23SB-26ATT
BA10/4/5=NR/NR/66 KL4/5=NR/72
PG11/4/5=163/58/48 MLB.com=35
大量绿帽rumor.Plus hitter who has compact swing,hitting line drives.Plus
runner,below-average arm.Three-sport star in HS.Top performer and consistent,
though not against elite pitching(small school player in Atlantic Sun
Conference).Above-average defender.Older players in his class(closer to 22).
如果挑的话应该是认为他有机会待在CF.听说NYY/STL有些兴趣
Other notable guys:
7.
Garrett Whitley HS OF high-level athleticism.elite bat speed,plus hitter,
plus speed,top student.不太容易出Top15
10.
Trenton Clark HS OF plus hit.excellent bat speed.70 speed.golf-style grip
11.
Nick Plummer HS OF plus hitter with average to plus power.这次大学
available太多怀疑会去拿高中生
12.
Walker Buehler RHP four above-average offerings.very good curveball and
changeup.slim build(170lbs).Season was delayed by
elbow soreness, 近况较不佳,不过不太容易出Top15
14.
Kyle Funkhouser RHP mid-90s plusfastball,mid-80s plus slider.Need more
consistent command.Struggled in his last few outings.
近几周stock down dramatically但是他仍有good stuff,麻
烦的是他的adviser是Scott Boras
20.
Cornelius Randolph HS SS polished hitter.Above-average hit and power
28.
Chris Betts HS C local guy,has hard contact and above-average power
potential.plus raw arm strength.Has been shut down
from throwing of late with a sore elbow
29.
Kevin Newman SS pure hitter who may stick at SS.Career 2HR in Pac12
league.某些家特别喜欢
31.
Richie Martin SS smooth defensive actions,above-average speed.Questions
about his bat
36.
Cody Ponce RHP plus fastball,plus slider from a Division II school.
Shoulder soreness and some minor injuries have
limited his innings
40.
Scott Kingery 2B plus line drive hitter,70 speed,solid defender
171.
Thomas Eshelman RHP Stock rise recently.有绿帽rumor.No plus pitch but
crazy command(0.42 BB/9 in his college career)
伤兵组:Brady Aiken(TJ)Michael Matuella(TJ)Kolby Allard(back injury,stress
reaction in his lower back) 这个还牵扯到medical info的问题
Mock
BA: 0508/0517/0522/0530 :Tyler Jay/Garrett Whitley/Ian Happ/Walker Buehler
mlb.com: 0512/0521/0529 :Andrew Benintendi/Donnie Dewees/Chris Betts
PG: 0514/0527 :CHRIS BETTS/KEVIN NEWMAN
Keith Law: 0522/0528 :Donnie Dewees/Chris Betts
Matt Garrioch: 0515 :Nick Plummer
scout.com: 0313/0403/0509 :Cody Ponce/Kevin Newman/D.J.STEWART
fangraph: 0528 :Kevin Newman
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※ 文章网址: https://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/Athletics/M.1433082716.A.0BC.html
※ 编辑: ThomasHSNU (59.120.12.253), 05/31/2015 22:35:08
1F:推 Zamned: Tyler Jay是SP, 估计他的顺位很前面。 05/31 23:31
2F:→ Zamned: Nick Plummer 1B/LF 05/31 23:32
3F:→ Zamned: Kaprielian最好最好是三号 05/31 23:33
4F:推 Zamned: Walker Buehler我满喜欢的。以他的stuff不该被打得这麽惨 05/31 23:36
5F:→ Zamned: 。 05/31 23:36
6F:推 condition0: 推 该找个时间爬选秀文了~ 06/07 11:37
10F:推 condition0: 不少评论 Walker Buehler 都是TOP 15 06/08 20:42