作者FreeFly ( )
看板Astros
标题NL central prospect about Towles
时间Thu Jan 24 07:59:44 2008
这篇截自rotoworld 他写了各个分区里今年会冲击到球队的prospect
有些观点当然是FB导向 有些数据在平常比较少看到
J.R. Towles, C, Houston Astros
Despite limited high minor league experience, Justin Towles impressed upon
his call-up to Houston last season, batting .375/.432/.575 over 45 plate
appearances, hitting one home run while only striking out once. Towles has
rocketed up many prospect lists due to his ability to steal bases, and
reminded some of the next Russell Martin.
虽然大联盟经验不多 但是令人印象深刻 45PA .375/.432/.575 只被K过一次
他因为有速度所以评价快速超越许多新秀 让人联想到Russell Martin
The problem is that the two catchers have very different bodies, with Martin
four inches shorter and about 35 pounds heavier. Martin is simply much more
powerful right now. And while Towles is fast, he was also caught 14 of the
28 times he ran last season, leading one to temper their expectations for his
success rates in the big leagues – he did not even attempt one steal in 40
at bats in Houston.
两个人的体格有很大的不同 Martin矮4寸胖35磅 简单的说Martin目前比较有power
而Towles速度比较快 但是他去年14/28的成功率让人对他在大联盟盗垒的能力有所保留
去年他观光时 连一次盗垒尝试都没有
What Towles does have going for him (and against him) is that he does
everything well and nothing spectacular. His pitch recognition and plate
presence are sound (as evidenced by an 84% contact rate at Double-A), he's
adding strength, suggesting that he'll hit for moderate power and a decent
average. His speed is above average for a catcher, but his instincts on the
base paths need refining. He calls a good game and has soft hands, which is
what will keep him up this season under the tutelage of Brad Ausmus. All of
these traits do place him as an above average catcher, and definitely worthy
of taking a flier on draft day in the final rounds.
Towles的优点也可能是他的缺点 他每样都做的很好 但是没有一样特别好
他好坏球和球种的判断很好 (84% contact rate at Double-A - 低挥空率)
当他逐渐强化力量後 他会有不错的power并且维持高的打击率
他的速度以捕手来讲是高於平均的 但是他跑垒的观念需要加强
他掌控比赛的能力很好而且手腕相当柔软 而且今年在Ausmus指导下会有更大的进步
这麽多的优点摆在一起 他是个平均以上的捕手 绝对值得在在後几轮好好偷一把
What one needs to take pause with is that he has proven little in the high
minors due to limited time there. And while his stats last year in the majors
look nice on paper, he did it during mop up time and against the following
pitchers: Matt Morris, Paul Maholm, Braden Looper (his 8 RBI game),
Joel Pineiro, Brad Thompson, Homer Bailey, Kirk Saarloos, Matt Belisle
(who he went hitless against) and Jo Jo Reyes. It's likely he needs more
time polishing up his skills before he faces superior pitching, and prolonged
slumps could be in order in the immediate future. But due to the amount of
at bats he's destined to get, and a superior contact skill, he's more than
likely to hit for average, suggesting you could do much worse at catcher on
draft day. However, the Russell Martin steal totals are a dream right now,
and his power still needs a full season to develop.
不过他在高层级的样本还是太少 他去年call-up的成绩虽然很棒
但是他面对的投手都不是顶尖的对手 他可能需要更多对顶级投手的经验来磨练
说不定他会很快的遭遇到低潮 不过他会有很多的打数加上他优秀的打击技巧
还是有很大的可能可以打的不错 想想看你在选捕手会遇到远比他的糟糕情况多的很
Martin目前只是个梦想罢了 他还需要完整的球季去加强他的power
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