http://tinyurl.com/y2xoru By Derrick Goold ST. LOUIS POST-DISPATCH 01/07/2007 PLEDGE CLASS There are 20 members of the 500 home run club, and all 15 who have been eligible for the Hall of Fame before this year's vote have been inducted. But a flood of hitters is poised to swell the ranks of this elite club, including an unprecedented four this season. A look at the next wave of sluggers and one hammering Cardinal, ordered by current all-time rank in career homers: Rank Player Age Total HR 162 avg* Yrs** Prediction*** 23 Frank Thomas 38 487 38 <1 574 26 Jim Thome 35 472 41 <1 619 27 Manny Ramirez 34 470 42 <1 691 29 Alex Rodriguez 30 464 43 <1 772 31 Gary Sheffield 37 455 33 1+ 554 39 Mike Piazza 37 419 37 2+ 494 41 Carlos Delgado 34 407 39 2+ 583 67 Chipper Jones 34 357 33 4+ 516 72 Jim Edmonds 35 350 33 4 1/2 492 72 Jason Giambi 35 350 35 4+ 500 76 Jeff Kent 38 345 27 5 1/2+ 433 77 Andruw Jones 29 342 34 4 1/2+ 677 83 Vlad Guerrero 30 338 38 4+ 633 177 Albert Pujols 26 250 43 5 1/2+ 867 Sources: Baseball-Reference.com; The Bill James Handbook (2007 edition); MLB.com. * Average home runs hit in a 162-game season, as calculated by Baseball-Reference.com. 打162场比赛的平均HR数 ** Approximate number of seasons needed to reach 500 at that pace. 达到500HR还需要几年 *** Predicted career total supplied by the current edition of The Bill James Handbook, which assumes health but factors in an age-related decline in production for its projections. 预测生涯HR数 --

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