今年在第11选由於revenue sharing recipient最多连两年拿Top 6 pick,不过就摇 奖的结果(https://bit.ly/3Ihy6OX)来说也只是从8th变11th,不如得到下次再抽的机会. 今年就整体来说水准是average(https://bit.ly/45QmaNQ),但前段品质不如以往,所以是 一个排中後段或多draft pick理想的年份.(有些人比喻今年像2016 Draft). 今年有几个大学生排名变动的关系(Aiva, Marek, Curley...),所以站11也有talent可以 捞到. 今年可能是各队看法最不一致的年份,一队的第一轮前半可能只是另一队的中段或後段. 现在选秀改成只有两天(https://bit.ly/407hIqm),以前当天选後可以检查漏网之鱼或是 跑去谈价钱的方式就不能用. 今年bonus pool是第十九的$10,563,500(https://bit.ly/46sxLCY) 时间 July 13 6:00 p.m. (ET) Rounds 1-3 (CB Round and FA compensation picks) July 14 11:30 a.m. (ET) Rounds 4-20 官网和BA都写六点,不知是和以前一样六点开始一小时Preview或六点开始选 顺位 1st(27) COMP(16) 2nd(22) COMP(10) 3rd(29) COMP(1) 4th(30) COMP(1) 5th(29) after6th #11 #48 #110 #141 #170 Revenue sharing发的#42 traded to TB in Jeffrey Springs trade. 3rd round pick forfeited to sign Luis Severino. 以下老样子以#11为主 12.Ike Irish L/R C/OF College: Auburn Age:21.6 .364/.469/.710 19HR 33BB/37SO 11SB-12ATT Bat-first Catcher/corner OF. Plus hit, plus power, polished hitter. Great underlying data: Contact%/90th%EV/Chase% = 80.3%/108.1%/22.5% are all above prospect average(https://bit.ly/4l6vBxe) and it is in the SEC. 61% hard-hit rate, 20.5% chase rate vs changeups or splitters, hit premium velocity. Used the whole field and hit the opposite field. Launch angle 9.6 degree is flatter. 60 arm. Hit in Cape Cod League. Receive and framing will need some work. He isn't guaranteed 75% of slot value because he didn't attend the Draft Combine and have a medical exam there like Eli Willits.(Doyle went there but didn't have medical done). Contact%/90th%EV/HardHit%全部名列前茅,只有Chase%是中等,重点是评估在corner OF( 特别是本季大部分待的RF)手套会扣多少分回来,虽说平常是选Best player available,绿 帽1B/LF的人确实有出赛机会重叠的问题,但棒子本身是很有吸引力的. https://x.com/PeytonStats/status/1935403912145608751/photo/1 https://youtu.be/utpAk4XV0H4 https://youtu.be/wVlAcA0r7Hg https://www.mlb.com/video/2025-draft-ike-irish-c 13.Tyler Bremner RHP College: UC Santa Barbara Age:21.2 5-4 3.49ERA 77.1IP 60H 19BB/111SO Top prospect entering the year. Athletic, easy delivery with low effort. Modest before April but dominant lately. Arsenal similar to other first tier arms: 95-98mph FB with 19.2 inches IVB, 13.5 inches HB. 84-87mph 70-grade changeup with some late fade, 8.8 inches IVB, 18.6 inches HB, 48% swing-and-miss rate, 35% chase rates. 86mph fringe-average slider. 绿帽也派人去看过.季初Command跑掉但Control还在,後期回稳,若是相信季初是暂时的不 稳会是一个steal...比起他的前段轮值天分是值得的赌注.既使只用两种去丢RP也应可以 立足.今年前面有好几个大学P,可以趁机选到或是他先被选挤其他人下来. https://youtu.be/2Yyb4EHt6zg https://youtu.be/lRIShs2qOK8 https://x.com/kileymcd/status/1807105937565475171 14.Marek Houston R/R SS College: Wake Forest Age:21.3 .354/.458/.597 15HR 46BB/46SO 19SB-21ATT Reliable SS, contact hitter: 55 hit, 45 power, 60 or 65 glove, fluid actions to both sides. Strong performance track record. Contact%/90th%EV/Chase% = 84.1%/102.5mph/21.3%, 90th%EV in 2025 still below prospect average but improved from 2024 (99.4mph). 90.2% zone-contact rate, 95.9% zone contact rate vs FB. 39% hard-hit rate. Improved swing, bigger and stronger in '25. Athletic genes (dad played football and mom played tennis). Hit in Cape Cod League. 60 arm, 55 run. 首先手套部分是没什麽异议的,打击讲究Exit Velocity派的不会先选他不过讲究contact 的会排第一轮前中段. Contact是优良的, 90th%EV有进步,整体而言是high floor的型. https://x.com/PeytonStats/status/1935470566712164407/photo/1 https://youtu.be/6if7X59kM3A https://youtu.be/qR5ZJ_vSiwc https://youtu.be/l-0pBkBwS0s 24.Luke Stevenson L/R C College: North Carolina Age:21.0 .251/.414/.552 19HR 59BB/70SO 2SB-3ATT Draft-eligible sophomore, left-handed Catcher. 55 or 60 power, solid plate discipline, 61% hard-hit rate. Had contact issue: Contact%/90th%EV/Chase% = 72.7%/106.8mph/13.2%, zone contact 79.2% is very low, 35% vs. miss rate lefthanded breaking balls. Struggles to hit premium velocity. 55 arm, receiving is improving, may eventually be an above-average catcher on defense. Age 21.0 on draft date. 整体型态像Shea Langeliers,打到的球(尤其是zone内)太少是大问题,打不到Premium Volicity是大问题,跟Jace LaViolette不一样的是他守的是Premium position. 虽然他不 Chase. Left-handed Catcher也不好得到,但要成长到Regular需要进步较长的一段路. https://x.com/PeytonStats/status/1935374959658025055/photo/1 https://youtu.be/ve1f2TgljRU https://www.mlb.com/video/2025-draft-luke-stevenson-c https://youtu.be/f7d8TzGLaJk Other notable guys: 3.Eli Willits S/R HS SS Switch hitting SS, above average at almost everything, 55 hit, 1.4 year (!) younger than Carlson and Kayson, while age is an important historical indicator(https://bit.ly/44jT5Jq https://bit.ly/44DLuEA) 8.Liam Doyle LHP 95-100mph FB from the left side, 19.5 inches IVB, 40% miss rate, 33% in-zone miss rate and 32% chase rate. Fringe-average cutter and slider, reliever risk (https://bit.ly/4kpOpXd) 9.Billy Carlson R/R HS SS plus-plus glove, plus-plus arm, low swing-and-miss rate, some concerns on his swing, age 19.0 on draft day. 11.Kayson Cunningham L/R HS SS 60 Hit, low whiff rate in summer and fall events (9%). age 19.1 on draft day. 17.Jace LaViolette L/L OF 1-1 candidate entering the year. 70 power, low contact rate (74.7%), extreme low AVG as a 1st ronder (https://bit.ly/45hJ6p4) 21.Brendan Summerhill L/R OF one of the rumors linked to A's. Great contact (and zone contact) rate (86.9%/92.1%), fractured his right hand and missed a month. Multiple 50/55 tools. Obviously he is our Plan B this year (saving money to spend elsewhere). 39.Dean Curley R/R SS Offensive track record, good Chase%(16.6%) and 90th%EV(107.9mph), real throwing issue. Mock BA:1210/0310/0331/0414/0428/0512/0609/0630/0707/0709 Ike Irish/Jace LaViolette/Eli Willits/Kayson Cunningham/Ethan Conrad/JoJo Parker/Brendan Summerhill/Tyler Bremner/Kayson Cunningham/ Tyler Bremner MLB.com:1211/0507/0516/0530/0606/0614/0621/0627/0704/0710 Cam Cannarella/Kyson Witherspoon/Kyson Witherspoon/ Brendan Summerhill/Gavin Kilen/Ike Irish/ Gavin Kilen/Gavin Kilen/Brendan Summerhill/ Gavin Kilen PG:0314/0328 Seth Hernandez/Gavin Fien KL:0508/0612/0708 Jace LaViolette/Wehiwa Aloy/ Tyler Bremner ESPN:0514/0528/0618/0630 JoJo Parker/Brendan Summerhill/Brendan Summerhill/Gage Wood --

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