作者Neptunium (第九十三号元素)
看板HatePolitics
标题[讨论] 2020总统选举各立委选区得票
时间Mon Jan 20 23:09:27 2020
完成しました！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！
选区
宋 韩 蔡 宋% 韩% 蔡% 2020基本盘 2016基本盘
台北01 8621 81709 119658 4.11% 38.91% 56.98% K+ 0.15% K+ 0.79%
台北02 8470 67998 125289 4.20% 33.70% 62.10% D+ 4.97% D+ 5.44%
台北03 9718 92976 117688 4.41% 42.19% 53.40% K+ 3.73% K+ 4.04%
台北04 11765 105405 135238 4.66% 41.76% 53.58% K+ 3.55% K+ 4.86%
台北05 7976 75516 101349 4.32% 40.85% 54.83% K+ 2.30% K+ 2.75%
台北06 7534 85490 88977 4.14% 46.97% 48.89% K+ 8.24% K+ 9.17%
台北07 7963 81786 95826 4.29% 44.07% 51.64% K+ 5.49% K+ 6.51%
台北08 8722 94950 91829 4.46% 48.57% 46.97% K+10.16% K+11.87%
基隆01 11878 99360 114966 5.25% 43.92% 50.82% K+ 6.31% K+ 7.91%
新北01 12451 104874 146415 4.72% 39.76% 55.51% K+ 1.62% K+ 2.61%
新北02 9883 68291 139084 4.55% 31.43% 64.02% D+ 6.89% D+ 6.74%
新北03 9099 64608 126160 4.55% 32.33% 63.12% D+ 5.99% D+ 5.28%
新北04 10366 73784 138650 4.65% 33.12% 62.23% D+ 5.10% D+ 4.46%
新北05 9234 66238 116454 4.81% 34.51% 60.68% D+ 3.55% D+ 2.39%
新北06 7422 58723 98733 4.50% 35.62% 59.88% D+ 2.75% D+ 1.97%
新北07 8297 65199 105401 4.64% 36.44% 58.92% D+ 1.79% D+ 1.45%
新北08 9955 97030 111297 4.56% 44.45% 50.99% K+ 6.14% K+ 7.12%
新北09 8397 92662 84082 4.54% 50.05% 45.42% K+11.72% K+13.09%
新北10 9926 78089 123520 4.69% 36.92% 58.39% D+ 1.26% D+ 0.34%
新北11 9268 111066 100541 4.20% 50.28% 45.52% K+11.61% K+12.22%
新北12 8322 79067 103599 4.36% 41.40% 54.24% K+ 2.89% K+ 2.98%
桃园01 11815 87899 135957 5.01% 37.30% 57.69% D+ 0.56% K+ 1.67%
桃园02 10805 83933 128597 4.84% 37.58% 57.58% D+ 0.45% K+ 1.74%
桃园03 10420 92602 113465 4.81% 42.77% 52.41% K+ 4.72% K+ 8.30%
桃园04 10249 83756 121044 4.77% 38.95% 56.29% K+ 0.84% K+ 2.89%
桃园05 10105 91450 106777 4.85% 43.90% 51.25% K+ 5.88% K+ 8.93%
桃园06 9738 90109 112420 4.59% 42.45% 52.96% K+ 4.17% K+ 7.51%
宜兰01 7458 61893 120820 3.92% 32.55% 63.53% D+ 6.40% D+ 5.94%
竹县01 8488 74482 73662 5.42% 47.55% 47.03% K+10.10% K+12.43%
竹县02 9947 79742 78718 5.91% 47.35% 46.74% K+10.39% K+14.79%
竹市01 14103 102725 144274 5.40% 39.34% 55.26% K+ 1.87% K+ 4.90%
苗栗01 7205 66717 77409 4.76% 44.09% 51.15% K+ 5.98% K+ 5.21%
苗栗02 8017 97628 69625 4.57% 55.70% 39.72% K+17.41% K+15.54%
台中01 7858 57789 96620 4.84% 35.61% 59.54% D+ 2.41% D+ 1.49%
台中02 12015 83447 129328 5.34% 37.12% 57.53% D+ 0.40% K+ 0.92%
台中03 9951 73053 116592 4.99% 36.60% 58.41% D+ 1.28% D+ 0.34%
台中04 12211 94415 132227 5.11% 39.53% 55.36% K+ 1.77% K+ 3.80%
台中05 12809 106837 141873 4.90% 40.85% 54.25% K+ 2.88% K+ 4.68%
台中06 10084 77741 117713 4.91% 37.82% 57.27% D+ 0.14% K+ 0.54%
台中07 12249 88095 140678 5.08% 36.55% 58.37% D+ 1.24% D+ 0.56%
台中08 7623 64989 92273 4.62% 39.41% 55.96% K+ 1.17% D+ 0.16%
彰化01 8895 68284 110426 4.74% 36.40% 58.86% D+ 1.73% D+ 0.92%
彰化02 9193 73023 103456 4.95% 39.33% 55.72% K+ 1.41% K+ 1.66%
彰化03 8450 74926 109606 4.38% 38.83% 56.80% K+ 0.33% D+ 1.34%
彰化04 8522 75602 112848 4.33% 38.38% 57.29% D+ 0.16% D+ 0.72%
南投01 6614 67259 72454 4.52% 45.96% 49.52% K+ 7.62% K+ 5.18%
南投02 6701 66532 79592 4.38% 43.53% 52.08% K+ 5.05% K+ 2.75%
云林01 7529 65774 116764 3.96% 34.61% 61.43% D+ 4.30% D+ 5.95%
云林02 7802 72567 129352 3.72% 34.60% 61.68% D+ 4.55% D+ 8.52%
嘉县01 4943 45170 93705 3.44% 31.41% 65.16% D+ 8.02% D+ 8.40%
嘉县02 6195 53640 103637 3.79% 32.81% 63.40% D+ 6.27% D+10.08%
嘉市01 6204 56269 99265 3.84% 34.79% 61.37% D+ 4.24% D+ 3.74%
澎湖01 2583 20911 27410 5.07% 41.08% 53.85% K+ 3.28% K+ 5.31%
台南01 5634 50211 125246 3.11% 27.73% 69.16% D+12.03% D+14.19%
台南02 5802 49673 134980 3.05% 26.08% 70.87% D+13.74% D+16.13%
台南03 7522 55920 136216 3.77% 28.01% 68.22% D+11.09% D+11.57%
台南04 7336 58623 128372 3.78% 30.17% 66.06% D+ 8.93% D+ 9.54%
台南05 7478 62525 131680 3.71% 31.00% 65.29% D+ 8.16% D+ 8.40%
台南06 7303 62750 129977 3.65% 31.37% 64.98% D+ 7.85% D+ 8.86%
高雄01 4710 60688 105943 2.75% 35.42% 61.83% D+ 4.70% D+ 9.06%
高雄02 6891 63553 132800 3.39% 31.27% 65.34% D+ 8.21% D+ 9.89%
高雄03 8036 92617 137329 3.38% 38.92% 57.71% D+ 0.57% D+ 1.18%
高雄04 6200 63073 132895 3.07% 31.20% 65.73% D+ 8.60% D+12.06%
高雄05 7498 80712 149450 3.15% 33.96% 62.88% D+ 5.75% D+ 7.63%
高雄06 7748 90764 146592 3.16% 37.03% 59.81% D+ 2.68% D+ 4.64%
高雄07 7295 82432 138172 3.20% 36.17% 60.63% D+ 3.50% D+ 5.17%
高雄08 6931 77057 154440 2.91% 32.32% 64.77% D+ 7.64% D+ 9.86%
屏东01 7519 93111 156967 2.92% 36.15% 60.94% D+ 3.80% D+ 5.75%
屏东02 6502 86242 160709 2.57% 34.03% 63.41% D+ 6.28% D+ 9.02%
花莲01 6869 111834 66509 3.71% 60.38% 35.91% K+21.22% K+19.18%
台东01 4163 67413 44092 3.60% 58.28% 38.12% K+19.01% K+17.71%
金门01 1636 35948 10456 3.41% 74.83% 21.77% K+35.37% K+38.12%
连江01 188 4776 1226 3.04% 77.16% 19.81% K+37.32% K+39.58%
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※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 114.44.6.28 (台湾)
※ 文章网址: https://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/HatePolitics/M.1579532970.A.3DC.html
※ 编辑: Neptunium (114.44.6.28 台湾), 01/20/2020 23:10:16
1F：推 cycling: YA 不用做了（快逃） 1.174.2.173 01/20 23:10
这次基本盘变化很明显
※ 编辑: Neptunium (114.44.6.28 台湾), 01/20/2020 23:11:55
2F：→ victoryman: 中部真的摇摆州 1.173.104.59 01/20 23:11
3F：→ victoryman: 台北都淡蓝色居多 1.173.104.59 01/20 23:12
※ 编辑: Neptunium (114.44.6.28 台湾), 01/20/2020 23:14:34
4F：推 hugoyo: 如果把 得票率 除以 投票率，就可以得到催 132.180.105.45 01/20 23:14
5F：→ hugoyo: 票率了，用这个比加减比较有意义 132.180.105.45 01/20 23:15
6F：→ hugoyo: 乘以XD 讲错 132.180.105.45 01/20 23:15
用催票率的话会忽略中间选民
※ 编辑: Neptunium (114.44.6.28 台湾), 01/20/2020 23:16:29
7F：→ Wayne75: 上色的标准是什麽，为何蔡过半还是蓝色 1.162.49.174 01/20 23:41
8F：推 Wayne75: 台北4居然变得比台北3还绿了 1.162.49.174 01/20 23:46
9F：推 ake83611: 桃园的绿化程度有够恐怖 36.232.228.43 01/20 23:51
10F：→ elainakuo: 国民党真的有够惨 220.137.35.174 01/21 00:11
11F：推 Conpana: 台北3蔡的得票率只比16年多了0.08%，绿 223.137.19.184 01/21 00:57
12F：→ Conpana: 化程度有够少的 223.137.19.184 01/21 00:57
13F：推 Conpana: 南投1应该是唯一由绿翻蓝的选区，蔡的得 223.137.19.184 01/21 01:04
14F：→ Conpana: 票率由16年的50.95%减少到49.52% 223.137.19.184 01/21 01:04
15F：推 drhkc: 毕竟是绑立委选举，立委个人魅力也会连带影 39.12.32.112 01/21 10:42
16F：→ drhkc: 响 39.12.32.112 01/21 10:42
17F：推 ask77887788: 板桥一个一个票匦翻心hen累 XD 223.140.92.105 01/22 01:45
18F：推 insomeday: 可以请你解释一下，最右边两栏的基本盘 42.72.143.46 01/23 12:37
19F：→ insomeday: 要怎麽看 42.72.143.46 01/23 12:37
该区域蔡英文得票率-全国蔡英文得票率
※ 编辑: Neptunium (114.44.8.143 台湾), 01/23/2020 16:19:43
20F：推 fsu0401: 请问有2012.2016年的数据吗？223.136.181.220 01/23 23:42
2016我记得过去有(abc06的文)但不知道是否还找的到？
2012就不知道了
※ 编辑: Neptunium (114.44.8.143 台湾), 01/24/2020 15:12:10
21F：推 cycling: 我有DPP各选区2008以来得票 但相对我没打 111.255.21.104 01/25 22:51
22F：→ Akun: 连自己的国民都受害 还敢在网路上带风向 良 49.216.42.233 01/26 20:04
23F：→ Akun: 心都被狗啃了 49.216.42.233 01/26 20:04
24F：→ yun0112: 都讲不好 36.235.55.101 01/26 20:05
25F：→ squalljack: 了，希望这波结束之後还能看到这群柯 101.136.14.70 01/26 20:06
26F：→ squalljack: 莲娜的中国人，不然都变成共产党历史 101.136.14.70 01/26 20:06
27F：→ squalljack: 的一部分而已 101.136.14.70 01/26 20:07
28F：→ fun5566: 今天鼠年大年初2 112.104.138.80 01/26 20:16
29F：推 kenic: 这样的算法至少一半左右都会说蓝的吧 172.56.44.183 01/29 19:28
30F：推 shenyi9185: 苗二韩国瑜拿55%比永和新店都高5%到 220.141.2.192 02/02 18:36
31F：→ shenyi9185: 底是在想什麽 220.141.2.192 02/02 18:36
32F：推 iphone15: 寄件人 吴秉叡立法委员？ 111.83.216.174 02/03 12:36
33F：推 inmatao: 这不就网军？ 101.12.61.17 02/13 16:02
34F：嘘 cal629195: 又是一只五毛 36.227.74.91 02/13 20:04
35F：→ emma9956: .. 123.194.10.195 02/14 12:04
※ 编辑: Neptunium (115.165.225.229 台湾), 01/09/2022 14:55:13