https://reurl.cc/MzbKmp 夏联对球探的价值 （免费文章，加入会员即可） The rosters are random. The stats are messy. Half the players won’t be on an NBA team come October. However, for scouts sitting courtside in Las Vegas, these games are as good as gold. NBA Summer League isn’t about box scores — it’s a live evaluation ground where scouts search for translatable skills, development potential and hidden value beyond the surface stats. Some fans treat summer-league performances as little more than playful sparring, while others see them as definitive statements about a player’s future. However, in reality, how important is it? Do the stats, wins and individual performances matter? For NBA scouts, the summer league is far from meaningless. It’s one of the most critical evaluation periods outside of the regular season. While box scores don’t tell the whole story, the games offer real insight into player development, coachability, and potential fit, not just with their current team, but for the 29 others watching courtside. 球员名单混杂（首轮、次轮、落选、二年级生、边缘人跟寻求重返），数据意义不明，到了十月，其中一半的球员可能连NBA球队都待不上。 但对坐在拉斯维加斯场边的球探来说，这些比赛却如金子般宝贵的存在。 NBA夏季联赛并不是为了看谁得了几分，它是一个实战评估场，让球探们能观察哪些技能能转化到NBA赛场、球员的成长潜力，以及数据表面下隐藏的价值。 有些球迷把夏联当成是场轻松的游戏；也有人把它当成球员未来的定论依据。 但在现实中，夏季联赛到底有多重要？数据、胜负、个人表现真的关键吗？ 对NBA球探来说，夏季联赛绝非毫无意义。它是例行赛之外最关键的评估时期之一。 尽管数据不能说明一切，但比赛确实提供了关於球员成长、可训练性与适配潜力的重要洞察——而且不只是对现有球队而言，更是对场边29支球队的球探来说。 The Athletic interviewed several scouts, granting them anonymity to allow them to speak freely about their evaluation process. “It’s extremely valuable. Before the draft, no matter what your opinion is about a player or how analytics project him to be, it’s always interesting to see how competitive they are once they get to summer league,” said one scout for a Western Conference team. “How quickly they pick up terminology, are they culture fits and can they keep the main thing the main thing? Can they be attentive, on time and professional, especially with all the distractions in Vegas?” A poor summer performance doesn’t necessarily mean a player won’t turn into a quality NBA player. Jalen Brunson (7.1 points per game on 38.3 shooting), Derrick Rose (9.5 points and 4.5 turnovers per game, shooting 29.4 percent) and Nikola Joki (8.0 points in five games) didn’t wow fans or scouts right away. 《The Athletic》访问了数位球探，并在匿名的前提下让他们能更自由地谈论评估过程。 「这真的非常有价值。在选秀之前，不管你对某个球员的看法如何，或是数据模型怎麽预测他，夏季联赛一开始，最有趣的就是观察他们到底有多具竞争力，」一位西区球队的球探说道。「他们学战术的速度快不快？适不适合我们的文化？能不能专注在最重要的事情上？在充满诱惑的拉斯维加斯，他们是否还能准时、有专业态度、注意力集中？」 表现不佳的夏季联赛也不代表球员未来无望成为优秀的NBA球员。Jalen Brunson（场均7.1分，命中率38.3%）、Derrick Rose（场均9.5分、4.5次失误，命中率仅29.4%）和Nikola Joki （五场比赛场均8分）当初也没有让球迷或球探立刻惊艳。 Summer league stats can be inflated or misleading, but scouts don’t completely ignore the numbers. Efficiency, decision-making, rebounding effort, assist-to-turnover ratio, and defensive metrics are all evaluated in context, especially when paired with film and in-person observation. “All stats matter,” one scout said. “This is the last professional setting until training camp starts. Everything is relevant.” An Eastern Conference scout said specific statistics validate the eye test. “Plus/minus is considered in context to gauge overall impact,” he said. “More than the totals, scouts focus on how these stats are generated and whether they align with winning habits. The stats should validate what you’re watching and seeing a real time.” Scouts aren’t just watching to see who puts up 20 points. They’re studying how players react to coaching, how they communicate on the floor and whether their skill sets translate to defined NBA roles. For rookies, it’s often the first time they’re judged on more than just potential. 夏季联赛的数据有时会被夸大或容易误导，但球探并不会完全忽略这些数字。效率、决策判断、抢篮板的积极程度、助攻失误比以及防守数据，这些都会在影片和现场观察的脉络中被评估。 「所有数据都有意义，」一位球探说。「这是进训练营前最後的职业赛事环境，所有表现都值得关注。」 一位东区球探表示，特定数据能帮助验证肉眼观察到的印象。 「正负值会搭配比赛内容来看，判断一个球员的整体影响力，」他说。「比起总数，球探更在意这些数据是怎麽打出来的，以及它们是否符合赢球习惯。数据应该能印证你在场上看到的东西。」 球探不是只看谁得了20分。他们观察球员如何回应教练、在场上的沟通方式，以及他们的技术能不能对应到明确的NBA角色。对於新人来说，这往往是他们第一次被以「实际表现」而非「潜力」作为评判标准。 「你想看到的是他们能多快适应职业赛场——不只是身体上，还包括心理层面，」另一位评估者表示。「这不只是关於得分，而是他们是否专注、能否学习体系，以及那些细节是否做到位。」 夏季联赛同时也是那些双向合约球员或正在争取名额的球员的进度检查点。 「对於那些较资深的年轻球员来说——通常他们去年就参加过夏联，因此不会被场面吓到，」一位球探解释。「你会期待他们展现领导力、稳定性与执行力。」 在新的CBA时代，边缘球员与季後赛贡献者之间的薪资差距比以往更小，球队更需要从双向合约和底薪中挖掘出真正的价值。夏季联赛变成了一个人才市场，不只是观察自家替补，更是在全面评估其他球队的整个名单。 「新的CBA让这件事变得更加重要，我们得从底层角度去寻找合适人选，」一位球探说。「那些开放的名额或双向合约球员，搞不好到最後真的打进季後赛。像勇士的Pat Spencer——很多人当初还问他是谁、从哪冒出来的？结果他打进了准决赛。每支球队都在观察其他球队的阵容，就为了找到那个被忽略的宝石。」 One scout emphasized the importance of keeping an open mind at summer league, while another noted the need to “watch the game within the game.” “(There is) no blank canvas because you’ve already seen 90 percent of these guys in college,” he said. “You come in with your biases good or bad, but the key is to be open-minded to how they can help you.” Scouts work year-round, so it’s challenging to find a hidden gem. If they find such a player, they may need to sweeten the deal to sign him before another team secures his services. Only around two or three players from every summer league team will make an NBA roster. The remaining guys sign two-way or Exhibit 10 (one-year, non-guaranteed minimum contracts) deals, play overseas or remain free agents. “It’s hard to spot someone that no one else sees, because every team has scouts at every game for that reason,” a scout explained. “If a team gets credit for discovering a player, usually that means they offered a better deal (e.g., two-way with incentives) than the other six or seven teams that were interested in that player. “This is like being in a petri dish. Every scouting department sees every player. The best you can do is find players who are two-way worthy.” 有位球探强调，在夏季联赛保持开放心态非常重要，另一位则提醒要「看懂比赛中的比赛」。 「这不是一张白纸，因为你早就看过这些球员九成以上在大学的表现，」他说。「你带着既有印象进来，不管好坏，但关键在於是否愿意开放心态去看他们能怎麽帮助你的球队。」 球探们全年无休地工作，要发现真正的遗珠并不容易。如果真的找到了，他们可能得提出更有吸引力的条件，在其他球队出手之前抢先签下。每支夏联球队大概只有两到三位球员最终能打进NBA名单，其余的人会签下双向合约或Exhibit 10（一年期、无保障的底薪合约），或是转战海外、继续自由身。 「要发现一个没人注意到的球员其实很难，因为每场比赛每支球队都有球探在场，」一位球探解释。「如果某队被说发掘了一个球员，通常是因为他们提出了比其他六七队更好的条件（例如：带奖励的双向合约），才成功签下来。」 「这就像在培养皿里工作。每支球队的球探部门都看过每个球员。你能做到的最佳成果，就是找到值得签下双向合约的那几位。」 - - 简单说就是每队能用的筹码是相同的（正式合约、双向、训练营邀请、10天短约 ） 而球员池对大家都开放，球探的工作是建议球队把有限的筹码用在最需要的球员身上。 ----- Sent from JPTT on my iPhone --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 42.79.21.0 (台湾) ※ 文章网址: https://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/NBA/M.1753232663.A.57F.html ※ waderu:转录至看板 G-S-WARRIORS 07/24 09:43